Diamondbacks vs Cubs Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Wrigley Field as the Arizona Diamondbacks, sporting a respectable 51-48 record, swoop into the Windy City to clash with the Chicago Cubs, who are sitting at 47-53 this season. With the first pitch slated for 02:20 PM EST, the stakes are high as the D-backs are just 7 games behind in the National League race, while the Cubs are trying to claw back from a 10-game deficit. Fresh off a head-to-head, where the Diamondbacks shut out the Cubs 3-0, today’s rematch is set against the backdrop of patchy rain and a gentle breeze, perfect for some dramatic plays. With the betting lines tilting slightly in favor of the Cubs at -132 and an over/under that promises a tight contest, fans are in for a treat. So, as these teams prepare to battle it out, let’s see if the Cubs can bear down or if the Diamondbacks will continue to rattle their rivals!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 21, 2024 02:20PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the NE at 2.7 mph. Temperature is at 75.9° with 56% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ARI ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+110	-132	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+111	-133	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+1	-1	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

119W-169L

47.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

142W-142L

52.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-2.5
04/15/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	2	Under	-2.5
04/16/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	11	Over	+15.5
04/16/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	12	Over	+15.5
04/17/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+0.5
04/17/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Over	+0.5
07/19/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Under	-0.5
07/19/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-0.5
07/20/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-4.5
07/20/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-4.5
09/07/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	6	Over	+0.5
09/07/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Over	+0.5
09/08/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Under	-6.5
09/08/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-6.5
09/09/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-2.5
09/09/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-2.5
09/10/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	2	Under	-0.5
09/10/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Under	-0.5
09/15/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+2.5
09/15/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	6	Over	+2.5
09/16/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+5.5
09/16/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	7	Over	+5.5
09/17/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Over	+0.5
09/17/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	6	Over	+0.5

Diamondbacks Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Brandon Pfaadt

ERA 3.971 | IP 113.3 | 4.0W-6.0L | KO 104.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-11-24	vsATL	0-1W	6.0	3	0	4	Under
07-06-24	@SD	7-5W	4.3	7	1	6	Over
06-30-24	vsOAK	1-5W	6.0	5	1	8	Under
06-25-24	vsMIN	4-5W	6.3	5	4	2	Over
06-19-24	@WAS	1-3L	6.3	5	3	0	Under
06-13-24	vsLAA	1-11W	6.0	6	1	8	Over
06-07-24	@SD	3-10L	5.3	9	5	5	Over
06-02-24	@NYM	5-4W	6.0	5	4	8	Over
05-28-24	@TEX	2-4L	7.0	6	4	5	Under
05-21-24	@LAD	7-3W	6.0	4	3	7	Over

Shota Imanaga

ERA 2.969 | IP 97.0 | 8.0W-2.0L | KO 98.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-10-24	@BAL	4-0W	6.0	6	0	6	Under
07-03-24	vsPHI	5-3L	6.0	6	3	8	Over
06-27-24	@SF	5-3W	6.0	5	3	3	Over
06-21-24	vsNYM	11-1L	3.0	11	10	3	Over
06-15-24	vsSTL	1-5W	7.0	4	1	6	Under
06-09-24	@CIN	4-2W	6.7	5	2	7	Under
06-04-24	vsCWS	6-7W	4.3	7	5	6	Over
05-29-24	@MIL	6-10L	4.3	8	7	1	Over
05-18-24	vsPIT	0-1W	7.0	4	0	7	Under
05-13-24	@ATL	0-2L	5.0	7	0	8	Under

Diamondbacks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/22	vs CHC	3-0W	6	2	Under
07/21	vs CHC	5-2W	12	0	Push
07/15	@ TOR	12-1W	15	3	Over
07/14	@ TOR	5-4W	6	0	Over
07/13	@ ATL	1-0W	6	1	Under
07/12	@ ATL	7-5W	9	2	Over
07/11	@ ATL	2-6L	6	0	Over
07/10	@ ATL	4-5L	4	0	Over
07/09	vs SD	9-1W	12	2	Over
07/08	vs SD	7-5W	9	1	Over
07/07	vs SD	8-10L	12	3	Over
07/06	vs LAD	9-3W	12	3	Over
07/05	vs LAD	12-4W	16	4	Over
07/04	vs LAD	5-6L	10	2	Over
07/02	@ OAK	5-1W	8	0	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/22	@ ARI	0-3L	4	0	Under
07/21	@ ARI	2-5L	8	0	Push
07/15	vs STL	4-5L	12	1	Over
07/15	vs STL	3-11L	7	2	Over
07/14	vs STL	5-1W	13	0	Under
07/13	vs BAL	8-0W	13	1	Over
07/12	vs BAL	4-0W	11	1	Under
07/11	vs BAL	9-2W	14	2	Over
07/09	@ LAA	5-0W	7	1	Under
07/08	@ LAA	0-7L	4	0	Push
07/07	@ LAA	5-1W	9	1	Under
07/06	@ PHI	10-2W	12	2	Over
07/05	@ PHI	3-5L	9	0	Over
07/04	@ PHI	4-6L	5	1	Over
07/02	vs MIL	1-7L	2	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Arizona Diamondbacks	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Ketel Marte	9.2	12.1	0.291	0.504	0.416	0.920	0.368	0.050
#2 Randal Grichuk	8.3	10.8	0.282	0.443	0.369	0.812	0.332	0.020
#3 Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	8.2	10.6	0.264	0.419	0.311	0.731	0.303	0.036
#4 Christian Walker	7.5	10.0	0.262	0.492	0.395	0.886	0.356	0.059
#5 Eugenio Suarez	6.3	8.5	0.206	0.354	0.332	0.686	0.283	0.031
#6 Jake McCarthy	5.9	7.6	0.278	0.388	0.416	0.804	0.325	0.014
#7 Kevin Newman	5.9	7.6	0.286	0.396	0.333	0.729	0.302	0.010
#8 Geraldo Perdomo	5.2	6.7	0.274	0.342	0.376	0.718	0.295	0.000
#9 Jose Herrera	4.1	5.4	0.368	0.421	0.526	0.947	0.372	0.000

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	7.5	9.6	0.256	0.347	0.382	0.729	0.299	0.012
#2 Michael Busch	7.7	10.1	0.275	0.475	0.417	0.892	0.356	0.041
#3 Seiya Suzuki	7.4	9.7	0.261	0.470	0.378	0.848	0.343	0.046
#4 Ian Happ	7.1	9.6	0.232	0.434	0.404	0.838	0.335	0.043
#5 Christopher Morel	7.0	9.3	0.198	0.364	0.353	0.717	0.293	0.047
#6 Mike Tauchman	6.3	8.2	0.252	0.372	0.407	0.779	0.314	0.022
#7 Dansby Swanson	6.0	7.9	0.214	0.350	0.314	0.663	0.275	0.029
#8 Tomas Nido	4.0	5.2	0.197	0.303	0.238	0.541	0.228	0.025
#9 Pete Crow-Armstrong	5.5	6.9	0.185	0.272	0.247	0.519	0.220	0.006

Diamondbacks Notable Injuries

Jordan Montgomery OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/29/24. Impact: 4.0

Cubs Notable Injuries

Cody Bellinger OUT (OF): Avg: 0.269 SLG:0.41 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 2.6
Hayden Wesneski OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 2.6
Keegan Thompson OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 1.7
Colten Brewer OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 0.7
Luke Little OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 1.2