Braves vs Marlins Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 13th 2024

Get ready to slide into some MLB action as the sizzling Atlanta Braves, boasting an impressive 8-4 record, roll into the sunny climes of LoanDepot Park to face the struggling Miami Marlins, who are desperately fishing for wins at 2-12. It’s a sunny showdown in Miami with the first pitch whipping across the plate at 4:10 PM EST. The Braves, sitting pretty at the top of the National League, are ready to extend their lead, while the Marlins, trailing by seven games, hope to make a splash and turn their fortunes around. With the betting world buzzing, the over/under tantalizingly set at 8.5, and the Braves favored heavily, today’s game promises plenty of action. The Braves are riding the wave of a recent victory against these very Marlins, who are still reeling from yesterday’s blow. With perfect game weather forecasted—73 degrees and a gentle northern breeze—it’s the perfect day for baseball. So, as the Marlins try to net some elusive wins, let’s see if the Braves can keep chopping their way to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 13, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NNE at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 73.0° with 37% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-202	+166	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-215	+175	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-13	+9	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

145W-98L

68.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

118W-128L

31.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/12/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+0.5
04/12/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Over	+0.5
04/24/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Over	+2.5
04/24/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	11	Over	+2.5
04/25/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+2.5
04/25/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+2.5
04/26/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+1.5
04/26/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+1.5
04/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+0.5
04/27/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+0.5
05/02/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-2.5
05/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-2.5
05/03/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	14	Over	+11.5
05/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+11.5
05/04/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+0.5
05/04/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+0.5
06/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+11.5
06/30/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	16	Over	+11.5
07/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-1.5
07/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-1.5
07/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+0.5
07/02/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+0.5
09/15/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+6.5
09/15/23	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+6.5
09/16/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+7.5
09/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	11	Over	+7.5
09/17/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Over	+9.5
09/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	16	Over	+9.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Chris Sale

ERA 4.295 | IP 102.7 | 6.0W-5.0L | KO 125.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-07-24	vsARI	2-5W	5.3	4	2	6	Under
03-31-24	@PHI	4-5L	5.3	5	2	7	Over
09-28-23	@BAL	0-2W	5.0	3	1	2	Under
09-22-23	@CWS	2-3W	5.0	3	0	7	Under
09-16-23	@TOR	3-4W	6.0	2	1	10	Under
09-09-23	@BAL	13-12L	4.0	6	7	5	Over
09-03-23	@KC	7-3L	5.0	2	0	5	Over
08-28-23	@HOU	13-5L	4.7	7	3	6	Over
08-23-23	@HOU	7-5L	5.0	6	4	9	Over
08-17-23	@WAS	7-10W	4.3	2	3	3	Over

Max Meyer

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

No notable injuries to report

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/14	vs MIA	8-1W	14	1	Over
04/13	@ NYM	4-16L	10	0	Over
04/11	@ NYM	6-5W	11	0	Over
04/10	@ NYM	7-8L	12	1	Over
04/09	@ ARI	5-2W	7	3	Under
04/08	@ ARI	9-8W	15	1	Over
04/07	@ ARI	6-5W	12	1	Over
04/04	vs CWS	2-3L	5	2	Under
04/03	vs CWS	9-0W	11	1	Over
04/02	vs PHI	4-5L	7	1	Over
04/01	vs PHI	12-4W	19	4	Over
03/31	vs PHI	9-3W	13	0	Over
10/03	@ WAS	9-10L	11	2	Over
10/02	@ WAS	5-3W	11	1	Under
10/01	@ WAS	6-10L	17	0	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/14	@ ATL	1-8L	6	0	Over
04/12	vs NYY	5-2W	6	1	Under
04/11	vs NYY	2-3L	4	0	Under
04/10	vs NYY	0-7L	2	0	Under
04/09	vs STL	10-3W	13	2	Over
04/08	vs STL	1-3L	8	0	Under
04/06	vs STL	5-8L	9	3	Over
04/05	@ LAA	2-10L	4	0	Over
04/04	@ LAA	1-3L	5	1	Under
04/03	@ LAA	4-7L	9	0	Over
04/02	@ PIT	7-9L	7	3	Over
04/01	@ PIT	3-9L	5	0	Over
03/31	@ PIT	2-7L	9	0	Over
03/30	@ PIT	5-6L	8	0	Over
10/04	vs NYM	2-1W	8	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	11.5	14.9	0.34	0.599	47.9%	107.8%	6.4%
#2 Ozzie Albies	9.6	12.6	0.28	0.515	37.2%	88.7%	5.6%
#3 Austin Riley	9.5	12.6	0.28	0.517	38.8%	90.5%	5.9%
#4 Matt Olson	10.0	13.5	0.283	0.604	46.2%	106.6%	8.9%
#5 Marcell Ozuna	8.3	11.0	0.276	0.565	39.0%	95.4%	7.6%
#6 Michael Harris II	9.6	12.2	0.293	0.478	35.3%	83.1%	3.6%
#7 Orlando Arcia	7.1	9.3	0.267	0.424	35.3%	77.7%	3.5%
#8 Travis d’Arnaud	6.2	8.3	0.224	0.388	31.6%	70.3%	3.8%
#9 Jarred Kelenic	6.9	9.0	0.253	0.418	36.7%	78.5%	3.0%

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.0	8.7	0.356	0.472	42.5%	89.6%	1.8%
#2 Josh Bell	7.0	9.2	0.247	0.419	36.6%	78.6%	4.0%
#3 Jake Burger	7.4	9.8	0.248	0.518	33.8%	85.7%	7.0%
#4 Bryan De La Cruz	6.7	8.7	0.253	0.401	32.5%	72.6%	3.1%
#5 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	6.5	8.4	0.252	0.462	33.1%	79.3%	5.4%
#6 Tim Anderson	6.6	8.2	0.248	0.299	30.7%	60.7%	0.2%
#7 Avisail Garcia	5.8	7.5	0.185	0.315	25.9%	57.4%	2.8%
#8 Emmanuel Rivera	5.6	7.2	0.265	0.364	35.2%	71.5%	1.6%
#9 C. Bethancourt	5.0	6.5	0.228	0.385	26.6%	65.1%	3.5%