Braves vs Brewers Game Breakdown

Get ready to crack open a cold one and dive into the fantasy frenzy as the Atlanta Braves, boasting a respectable 56-48 record, strut into American Family Field to clash with the top-dog Milwaukee Brewers, who are sitting pretty at 60-45. With the first pitch slated for 08:10 PM EST tonight, the stakes are sky-high. The Braves are hustling to close an 8-game gap in the National League, while the Brewers aim to fortify their stronghold at the top. The odds-makers have the over/under teasingly set at 4.5, with the Braves playing slight underdogs. Fresh off their respective victories, both squads are primed to keep their winning momentum rolling, despite the forecast hinting at a light rain shower with a breeze that might just carry a few homers out of the park. So, as these two titans prepare to battle it out, it’s time to see if the Brewers can craft a win or if the Braves will forge ahead in the standings!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 29, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Light rain shower with winds from the SSW at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 70.5° with 96% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+102	-122	8.5	0.5/-0.5
Recent	-103	-117	8.0	0.5/-0.5
Difference	-205	+5	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

166W-123L

50.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

167W-121L

49.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+5.5
07/21/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Over	+5.5
07/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Over	+2.5
07/22/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Over	+2.5
07/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+1.5
07/23/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Over	+1.5
07/28/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+12.5
07/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+12.5
07/29/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+11.5
07/29/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	11	Over	+11.5
07/30/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+9.5
07/30/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+9.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Grant Holmes

ERA 2.7 | IP 23.3 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 21.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-24-24	vsCIN	9-4L	3.3	3	2	5	Over
07-20-24	vsSTL	9-5L	3.0	4	3	2	Over
07-11-24	@ARI	0-1L	1.3	1	0	1	Under
07-08-24	@ARI	5-4W	3.0	0	0	0	Over
07-04-24	vsSF	4-2L	2.7	1	0	4	Under
06-30-24	vsPIT	4-2L	3.0	1	0	4	Under
06-26-24	@STL	1-4L	2.0	4	2	2	Under
06-21-24	@NYY	8-1W	1.0	1	0	0	Over
06-19-24	vsDET	0-7W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
06-16-24	vsTB	8-6L	3.0	2	0	2	Over

Colin Rea

ERA 3.623 | IP 104.3 | 8.0W-3.0L | KO 77.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-23-24	@CHC	1-0W	5.0	4	0	8	Under
07-09-24	vsPIT	12-2L	5.0	6	7	3	Over
07-03-24	@COL	3-0W	7.0	6	0	4	Under
06-28-24	vsCHC	2-4W	5.3	3	2	8	Under
06-21-24	@SD	5-9L	5.3	6	5	0	Over
06-16-24	vsCIN	4-5W	6.0	4	3	6	Over
06-10-24	vsTOR	1-3W	7.0	3	1	4	Under
06-04-24	@PHI	1-2L	4.0	4	0	2	Under
05-30-24	vsCHC	4-6W	5.3	5	1	5	Over
05-25-24	@BOS	6-3W	5.7	3	2	2	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/30	vs NYM	8-2W	8	4	Over
07/29	vs NYM	4-0W	6	3	Under
07/28	vs NYM	4-8L	7	3	Over
07/27	vs NYM	2-3L	7	0	Under
07/26	@ CIN	4-9L	10	0	Over
07/24	@ CIN	1-4L	3	0	Under
07/23	@ STL	2-6L	9	1	Push
07/22	@ STL	5-9L	9	4	Over
07/22	@ STL	3-2W	6	1	Under
07/15	vs SD	0-4L	5	0	Under
07/14	vs SD	6-1W	9	3	Under
07/13	vs ARI	0-1L	5	0	Under
07/12	vs ARI	5-7L	8	1	Over
07/11	vs ARI	6-2W	11	1	Push
07/10	vs ARI	5-4W	8	2	Over

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/30	@ MIA	6-2W	9	2	Push
07/29	@ MIA	3-7L	8	1	Over
07/28	@ MIA	2-6L	7	1	Push
07/26	vs CHC	3-2W	10	0	Under
07/25	vs CHC	1-0W	7	0	Under
07/24	vs CHC	1-3L	5	1	Under
07/23	vs MIN	8-7W	11	4	Over
07/22	vs MIN	8-4W	11	0	Over
07/15	@ WAS	5-6L	6	0	Over
07/14	@ WAS	2-5L	4	0	Under
07/13	@ PIT	0-1L	2	0	Under
07/12	@ PIT	9-0W	14	2	Over
07/11	@ PIT	2-12L	6	0	Over
07/09	vs LAD	9-2W	12	3	Over
07/08	vs LAD	3-5L	5	2	Push

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarred Kelenic	8.6	11.1	0.246	0.412	0.322	0.734	0.302	0.037
#2 Austin Riley	9.3	12.3	0.254	0.456	0.361	0.817	0.332	0.041
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.8	11.7	0.306	0.594	0.435	1.029	0.408	0.079
#4 Matt Olson	8.5	11.2	0.228	0.407	0.344	0.751	0.307	0.039
#5 Adam Duvall	7.4	9.8	0.189	0.341	0.277	0.617	0.258	0.038
#6 Eddie Rosario	6.3	8.3	0.181	0.337	0.237	0.574	0.241	0.037
#7 Sean Murphy	7.0	9.1	0.208	0.358	0.333	0.692	0.285	0.042
#8 Nacho Alvarez Jr.	5.7	6.8	0.087	0.087	0.174	0.261	0.126	0.000
#9 Orlando Arcia	5.8	7.4	0.219	0.342	0.278	0.620	0.260	0.023

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Brice Turang	7.9	10.1	0.267	0.372	0.364	0.736	0.301	0.017
#3 Jackson Chourio	7.5	9.8	0.258	0.414	0.325	0.738	0.305	0.036
#3 William Contreras	8.4	11.0	0.289	0.432	0.395	0.827	0.335	0.025
#4 Jake Bauers	6.6	9.0	0.230	0.418	0.388	0.806	0.325	0.041
#5 Willy Adames	7.7	10.2	0.237	0.408	0.365	0.773	0.314	0.038
#6 Rhys Hoskins	7.5	10.1	0.214	0.429	0.354	0.782	0.318	0.061
#7 Sal Frelick	6.5	8.2	0.261	0.337	0.376	0.712	0.292	0.007
#8 Joey Ortiz	5.8	7.7	0.243	0.396	0.400	0.796	0.320	0.027
#9 Garrett Mitchell	6.6	8.3	0.271	0.354	0.417	0.771	0.312	0.000

Braves Notable Injuries

Max Fried OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/13/24. Impact: 8.8
Ozzie Albies OUT (2B): Avg: 0.254 SLG:0.402 Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 2.4

Brewers Notable Injuries

Christian Yelich OUT (OF): Avg: 0.316 SLG:0.504 Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 3.3
Bryan Hudson OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.0
Enoli Paredes OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/04/24. Impact: 0.9
Rob Zastryzny OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/26/24. Impact: 0.8