Braves vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Citi Field as the red-hot Atlanta Braves, boasting a stellar 24W-12L record, roll into the Big Apple to face the New York Mets, who are currently sitting at a precarious 18W-20L. The stakes are high with the Braves looking to tighten their grip on the National League, sitting just 2 games shy of the top, while the Mets, lagging 9 games back, are desperate to claw their way up the ranks. Scheduled for a 07:10 PM EST start, tonight’s game promises more twists and turns than a New York subway ride, especially with the over/under teasing at 8.0 and betting lines buzzing with anticipation. Adding to the drama, Mother Nature is playing her part too—expect some light rain and a cool breeze, setting the stage for a game where the Braves aim to repeat their recent 4-1 triumph over the Mets. As the teams prepare to battle it out, one thing’s for sure: in this city that never sleeps, it’s the Braves and Mets who’ll be giving us dreams of victory tonight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 12, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Light rain with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 50.0° with 89% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-130	+108	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-110	-110	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+20	-218	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

152W-104L

52.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

149W-109L

47.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+7.0
04/08/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+7.0
04/09/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+3.0
04/09/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+3.0
04/11/24	New York Mets NYM	16	Over	+12.0
04/11/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+12.0
05/10/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-2.0
05/10/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.0
05/11/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-3.0
05/11/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-3.0
04/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-4.0
04/28/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-4.0
08/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	21	Over	+16.0
08/12/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+16.0
05/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Push	-0.0
05/01/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Push	-0.0
05/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+9.0
05/01/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+9.0
06/06/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+2.0
06/06/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.0
06/07/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+4.0
06/07/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+4.0
06/08/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+15.0
06/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	13	Over	+15.0
08/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-1.0
08/11/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-1.0
08/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-2.0
08/12/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-2.0
08/13/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+5.0
08/13/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+5.0
08/21/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+6.0
08/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+6.0
08/22/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-3.0
08/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-3.0
08/23/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-1.0
08/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-1.0

Braves Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Bryce Elder

ERA 5.283 | IP 15.3 | 1.0W-1.0L | KO 10.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-04-24	@LAD	2-11L	3.3	7	7	4	Over
04-28-24	vsCLE	3-4W	5.3	4	2	2	Under
04-22-24	vsMIA	0-3W	6.7	8	0	4	Under
09-26-23	vsCHC	6-7W	3.7	7	5	2	Over
09-20-23	vsPHI	6-5L	3.7	3	4	0	Over
09-15-23	@MIA	6-9L	5.0	9	4	6	Over
09-08-23	vsPIT	2-8W	7.0	4	2	9	Over
09-02-23	@LAD	4-2W	6.0	5	1	4	Under
08-28-23	@COL	14-4W	6.0	8	4	4	Over
08-22-23	vsNYM	2-3W	5.3	2	1	3	Under

Luis Severino

ERA 3.6 | IP 40.0 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 37.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-05-24	@TB	6-7L	5.0	4	4	6	Over
04-29-24	vsCHC	3-1L	8.0	1	1	5	Under
04-23-24	@SF	1-5L	6.0	5	3	5	Under
04-17-24	vsPIT	1-9W	6.0	5	1	4	Over
04-12-24	vsKC	1-6W	5.0	1	1	4	Under
04-06-24	@CIN	6-9L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
03-30-24	vsMIL	7-6L	5.0	12	6	6	Over
09-08-23	@MIL	8-2L	4.0	4	2	5	Over
09-02-23	@HOU	5-4L	4.0	6	4	3	Over
08-28-23	@DET	4-1L	7.0	5	0	8	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/13	vs NYM	4-1W	7	1	Under
05/12	vs NYM	4-2W	7	3	Under
05/10	@ BOS	5-0W	9	3	Under
05/09	@ BOS	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/07	vs LAD	1-5L	5	1	Under
05/06	vs LAD	2-11L	6	0	Over
05/05	vs LAD	3-4L	6	2	Under
05/03	vs SEA	5-2W	6	0	Under
05/02	vs SEA	2-3L	7	0	Under
05/01	vs SEA	1-2L	3	0	Under
04/30	@ CLE	4-2W	9	0	Under
04/29	@ CLE	2-3L	7	0	Under
04/28	@ CLE	6-2W	8	1	Push
04/26	@ MIA	4-3W	10	0	Under
04/25	@ MIA	5-0W	10	1	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/13	@ ATL	1-4L	2	1	Under
05/12	@ ATL	2-4L	4	1	Under
05/09	vs STL	7-5W	14	2	Over
05/08	vs STL	4-3W	10	1	Under
05/07	vs TB	6-7L	8	1	Over
05/06	vs TB	1-3L	6	0	Under
05/05	vs TB	8-10L	10	2	Over
05/04	@ CHC	7-6W	8	0	Over
05/03	@ CHC	0-1L	5	0	Under
05/02	@ CHC	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/01	@ CHC	1-3L	4	1	Under
04/30	@ STL	4-2W	8	2	Under
04/29	@ STL	4-7L	7	1	Over
04/28	@ STL	2-4L	8	1	Under
04/26	vs SF	8-2W	10	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	11.0	14.3	0.264	0.371	43.6%	80.7%	2.1%
#2 Ozzie Albies	8.4	11.2	0.278	0.435	38.3%	81.7%	2.6%
#3 Austin Riley	9.0	11.9	0.243	0.389	35.4%	74.3%	2.1%
#4 Matt Olson	9.6	13.0	0.2	0.369	36.2%	73.1%	3.1%
#5 Marcell Ozuna	7.9	10.7	0.319	0.637	43.7%	107.4%	8.9%
#6 Orlando Arcia	7.1	9.2	0.263	0.436	30.8%	74.4%	3.0%
#7 Michael Harris II	7.5	9.5	0.264	0.382	31.9%	70.1%	2.1%
#8 Chadwick Tromp	5.3	7.1	0.219	0.312	25.0%	56.2%	0.0%
#9 Jarred Kelenic	6.6	8.3	0.287	0.375	36.2%	73.8%	1.2%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	8.8	11.7	0.207	0.393	30.7%	70.0%	4.7%
#2 Starling Marte	8.0	10.3	0.255	0.376	32.6%	70.2%	2.8%
#3 DJ Stewart	7.3	10.2	0.185	0.415	49.2%	90.8%	6.2%
#4 Pete Alonso	8.1	10.8	0.215	0.444	34.0%	78.5%	6.2%
#5 J.D. Martinez	7.5	9.1	0.267	0.378	33.3%	71.1%	2.2%
#6 Jeff McNeil	6.1	7.8	0.238	0.308	36.2%	66.9%	0.8%
#7 Harrison Bader	6.0	7.5	0.264	0.321	32.1%	64.2%	0.9%
#8 Brett Baty	5.3	6.9	0.244	0.336	33.6%	67.2%	2.5%
#9 Omar Narvaez	4.5	5.9	0.186	0.233	23.3%	46.5%	0.0%