Orioles vs Red Sox Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 10th 2024

Get ready for a rip-roaring showdown at Fenway Park as the hard-hitting Baltimore Orioles, boasting a 6W-4L record, swoop into Boston to challenge the formidable 7W-4L Red Sox at their home turf. The first pitch is set to fly at 07:10PM EST, under a sun-kissed sky with a gentle southern breeze of 10.5 mph, making for a perfect baseball evening. Despite the Orioles being 3.0 games behind and the Red Sox trailing by 2.5 in the American League conference, both teams are eager to climb the ladder. The oddsmakers have set the over/under at a tantalizing 9.0, with the Orioles at -105 and the Red Sox at -115. Now, the Red Sox are looking to bounce back from a recent 1-7 loss to the very same Orioles, who are riding high on that victory. With the temperature at a comfy 59.0° and humidity at 41%, it’s going to be a cracking evening of baseball. So, buckle up folks! Tonight, we’ll find out if the Orioles can continue to ‘sox’ it to Boston, or if the Red Sox can ‘clip’ their wings!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 10, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Sunny with winds from the S at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 59.0° with 41% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BAL ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-105	-115	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-105	-115	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

116W-129L

51.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

127W-112L

48.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/09/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Under	-1.0
04/09/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-1.0
03/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	10	Over	+10.0
03/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+10.0
10/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Under	-2.0
10/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-2.0
04/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	8	Over	+8.0
04/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+8.0
04/02/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+5.0
04/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+5.0
04/24/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Push	-0.0
04/24/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Push	-0.0
04/25/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+5.0
04/25/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+5.0
04/26/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-1.0
04/26/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Under	-1.0
09/08/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+4.0
09/08/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+4.0
09/09/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	13	Over	+16.0
09/09/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	12	Over	+16.0
09/10/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+1.0
09/10/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+1.0
09/28/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-7.0
09/28/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-7.0
09/29/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-6.0
09/29/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-6.0
09/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-2.0
09/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Under	-2.0

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Cole Irvin

ERA 4.422 | IP 77.3 | 1.0W-4.0L | KO 68.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	@BOS	7-1W	7.0	2	1	6	Under
04-03-24	vsKC	3-4W	5.7	9	2	3	Under
03-28-24	vsLAA	3-11W	6.0	1	1	11	Over
09-28-23	@STL	0-3W	4.0	5	0	4	Under
09-22-23	@MIA	16-1L	5.0	2	0	6	Over
09-16-23	@WAS	5-9W	5.7	5	4	9	Over
09-10-23	@NYY	3-4W	8.0	0	0	7	Under
09-04-23	@PIT	2-4W	6.0	7	4	7	Under
08-29-23	@CHC	0-1W	7.0	8	1	7	Under
08-23-23	@MIN	7-8W	6.0	8	6	5	Over
04-02-24	vsKC	4-1L	5.0	7	4	3	Under
10-01-23	vsBOS	6-1L	2.0	0	0	1	Under
09-12-23	vsSTL	5-2L	2.0	2	0	1	Under
09-10-23	@BOS	3-7L	2.7	1	3	3	Over
09-06-23	@LAA	10-3W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-01-23	@ARI	2-4L	5.7	8	4	4	Under
08-25-23	vsCOL	4-5W	6.0	6	4	5	Push
08-19-23	@OAK	7-2W	5.0	4	1	3	Push
08-12-23	@SEA	1-0W	5.0	2	0	6	Under
08-06-23	vsNYM	0-2W	1.0	0	0	1	Under

Brayan Bello

ERA 4.242 | IP 157.0 | 12.0W-11.0L | KO 132.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-05-24	@LAA	8-6W	4.7	2	1	5	Over
03-30-24	@SEA	3-4L	6.0	3	1	7	Under
09-30-23	@BAL	2-5L	6.0	1	0	7	Under
09-24-23	vsCWS	3-2L	5.3	4	3	7	Under
09-18-23	@TEX	4-2W	6.0	4	2	7	Under
09-12-23	vsNYY	4-1L	4.7	3	1	7	Under
09-05-23	@TB	6-8L	3.7	3	5	5	Over
08-30-23	vsHOU	7-4L	2.7	7	6	1	Over
08-25-23	vsLAD	7-4L	5.0	4	2	7	Over
08-19-23	@NYY	8-1W	6.0	1	1	5	Push
04-09-24	vsBAL	7-1L	5.3	4	3	3	Under
04-02-24	@OAK	5-4W	5.0	5	4	6	Push
03-28-24	@SEA	6-4W	5.0	5	2	2	Over
09-27-23	vsTB	5-0L	6.0	9	5	3	Under
09-20-23	@TEX	5-15L	3.0	8	8	2	Over
09-15-23	@TOR	0-3L	6.0	4	3	10	Under
09-10-23	vsBAL	3-7W	5.0	7	3	4	Over
09-04-23	@TB	7-3W	6.0	5	3	7	Over
08-29-23	vsHOU	6-2L	4.7	4	3	2	Under
08-24-23	@HOU	17-1W	7.0	9	1	4	Over

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/11	vs BOS	7-1W	13	0	Under
04/09	vs PIT	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/08	vs PIT	4-5L	4	0	Push
04/07	vs PIT	5-2W	12	3	Under
04/05	@ KC	4-3W	6	0	Under
04/04	@ KC	1-4L	3	0	Under
04/03	@ KC	6-4W	9	2	Over
04/02	@ LAA	1-4L	3	0	Under
04/01	@ LAA	13-4W	14	2	Over
03/30	@ LAA	11-3W	10	2	Over
10/03	@ BOS	1-6L	2	0	Under
10/02	@ BOS	5-2W	7	0	Under
10/01	@ BOS	0-3L	3	0	Under
09/30	@ BOS	2-0W	4	1	Under
09/29	@ WAS	5-1W	9	1	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/11	@ BAL	1-7L	2	1	Under
04/09	vs LAA	12-2W	12	4	Over
04/08	vs LAA	1-2L	3	0	Under
04/07	vs LAA	8-6W	9	5	Over
04/05	vs OAK	1-0W	10	0	Under
04/04	vs OAK	5-4W	12	0	Push
04/03	vs OAK	9-0W	9	0	Push
04/02	vs SEA	5-1W	10	2	Under
04/01	vs SEA	3-4L	7	0	Under
03/31	vs SEA	0-1L	4	0	Under
03/30	vs SEA	6-4W	11	2	Over
10/03	vs BAL	6-1W	5	0	Under
10/02	vs BAL	2-5L	14	0	Under
10/01	vs BAL	3-0W	4	1	Under
09/30	vs BAL	0-2L	3	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	10.6	14.0	0.254	0.49	35.9%	84.9%	5.0%
#2 Adley Rutschman	9.1	12.0	0.276	0.43	43.5%	86.5%	3.3%
#3 Anthony Santander	8.8	11.6	0.254	0.46	35.4%	81.4%	4.4%
#4 Ryan O’Hearn	7.6	10.0	0.288	0.48	34.0%	82.0%	4.1%
#5 Ryan Mountcastle	7.9	10.4	0.268	0.45	36.3%	81.3%	4.3%
#6 Cedric Mullins	7.9	10.5	0.231	0.414	34.1%	75.4%	3.8%
#7 Colton Cowser	5.6	8.1	0.103	0.138	36.2%	50.0%	0.0%
#7 Jordan Westburg	6.4	8.3	0.261	0.399	34.5%	74.4%	1.5%
#8 Ramon Urias	6.3	8.1	0.262	0.366	36.1%	72.7%	0.8%
#9 Tony Kemp	6.1	7.9	0.208	0.304	34.6%	65.1%	1.4%

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	8.5	10.9	0.294	0.482	37.6%	85.8%	2.4%
#2 Rafael Devers	8.2	10.9	0.271	0.502	39.8%	89.9%	5.7%
#2 Pablo Reyes	7.1	9.1	0.287	0.377	37.1%	74.9%	1.2%
#3 Tyler O’Neill	8.4	10.9	0.231	0.403	34.9%	75.2%	3.8%
#4 Triston Casas	7.7	10.2	0.263	0.49	42.9%	91.8%	5.6%
#5 Masataka Yoshida	6.5	8.4	0.287	0.439	36.4%	80.3%	2.6%
#6 Ceddanne Rafaela	6.5	8.3	0.241	0.386	30.1%	68.7%	2.4%
#7 Enmanuel Valdez	5.4	7.0	0.266	0.453	33.1%	78.4%	4.3%
#7 Connor Wong	6.2	8.1	0.237	0.391	31.3%	70.4%	2.4%
#8 Romy Gonzalez	6.1	8.0	0.194	0.376	21.5%	59.1%	3.2%
#8 Reese McGuire	5.5	6.9	0.267	0.358	33.2%	69.0%	0.5%
#9 David Hamilton	5.0	6.5	0.121	0.182	30.3%	48.5%	0.0%