Orioles vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Citi Field as the red-hot Baltimore Orioles swoop into New York to clash with the Mets in a daytime thriller! With the Orioles perched at the top of the American League and the Mets trying to claw back in the National, today’s matchup at 01:10 PM EST is more than just a game—it’s a battle for conference supremacy. The stakes? A juicy over/under of 8.5 and betting lines buzzing with anticipation. Fresh off a decisive victory against these very Mets, the Orioles are flying high, while New York is desperate to flip the script under today’s partly cloudy skies. So, as the winds whip up from the west, will the Mets catch the Birds in a New York minute, or will the Orioles continue to rule the roost? Let’s find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 21, 2024 01:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 71.1° with 44% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BAL ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+108	-130	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-120	-110	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-228	+20	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

151W-152L

54.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

174W-129L

45.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/19/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Under	-1.5
08/19/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-1.5
08/20/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	9	Over	+5.5
08/20/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+5.5
08/04/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+4.5
08/04/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	10	Over	+4.5
08/05/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+1.5
08/05/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+1.5
08/06/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-6.5
08/06/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-6.5

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Cole Irvin

ERA 4.849 | IP 94.7 | 6.0W-5.0L | KO 66.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-29-24	vsTOR	8-4L	3.0	4	1	5	Over
07-27-24	vsSD	9-4L	2.0	5	4	0	Over
07-24-24	@MIA	3-6L	1.0	0	0	0	Over
07-11-24	vsCHC	8-0L	4.0	7	4	1	Over
07-06-24	@OAK	8-19L	4.0	5	5	4	Over
06-30-24	vsTEX	11-2L	3.7	5	5	2	Over
06-25-24	vsCLE	10-8L	4.0	10	8	1	Over
06-20-24	@NYY	17-5W	4.7	5	5	2	Over
06-13-24	vsATL	6-3L	5.7	9	4	8	Over
06-07-24	@TB	6-3W	5.7	8	3	6	Over

Sean Manaea

ERA 3.462 | IP 130.0 | 9.0W-5.0L | KO 129.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-16-24	vsMIA	3-7W	7.0	5	3	4	Over
08-10-24	@SEA	0-4L	3.0	4	3	3	Under
08-05-24	@STL	6-0W	7.0	6	0	10	Under
07-30-24	vsMIN	0-2W	7.0	2	0	11	Under
07-24-24	@NYY	12-3W	4.7	3	2	4	Over
07-19-24	@MIA	4-6L	5.0	8	5	1	Over
07-12-24	vsCOL	6-7W	7.0	5	3	9	Over
07-07-24	@PIT	3-2W	6.0	2	0	6	Under
07-02-24	@WAS	7-2W	7.0	5	2	5	Over
06-26-24	vsNYY	2-12W	5.0	2	0	3	Over

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/22	vs NYM	9-5W	11	2	Over
08/21	vs NYM	3-4L	6	1	Under
08/20	@ BOS	4-2W	3	2	Under
08/19	@ BOS	1-5L	5	1	Under
08/18	@ BOS	9-12L	17	1	Over
08/17	@ BOS	5-1W	8	2	Under
08/16	@ WAS	4-1W	7	1	Under
08/15	@ WAS	3-9L	10	1	Over
08/13	vs TB	1-2L	9	1	Under
08/12	vs TB	7-5W	15	2	Over
08/11	vs TB	4-1W	11	2	Under
08/10	vs TOR	6-7L	8	1	Over
08/09	vs TOR	7-3W	7	3	Over
08/08	vs TOR	2-5L	3	1	Under
08/06	vs CLE	9-5W	15	2	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/22	@ BAL	5-9L	5	1	Over
08/21	@ BAL	4-3W	6	2	Under
08/20	@ MIA	2-3L	9	1	Under
08/19	@ MIA	4-0W	7	2	Under
08/18	@ MIA	7-3W	10	2	Over
08/17	@ OAK	6-7L	9	2	Over
08/16	@ OAK	9-1W	11	2	Over
08/15	@ OAK	4-9L	9	0	Over
08/13	vs SEA	1-12L	6	1	Over
08/12	vs SEA	0-4L	4	0	Under
08/11	vs SEA	0-6L	7	0	Under
08/10	vs COL	9-1W	13	3	Over
08/09	vs COL	5-3W	11	0	Over
08/08	vs COL	3-6L	9	0	Over
08/07	vs STL	6-0W	9	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Austin Slater	6.9	9.1	0.222	0.270	0.421	0.690	0.282	0.008
#2 Adley Rutschman	8.8	11.6	0.266	0.428	0.367	0.795	0.324	0.041
#3 Gunnar Henderson	8.9	11.7	0.288	0.555	0.433	0.988	0.390	0.065
#4 Anthony Santander	8.9	11.9	0.237	0.517	0.338	0.856	0.348	0.078
#5 Ryan Mountcastle	7.7	10.0	0.268	0.430	0.332	0.761	0.314	0.030
#6 Eloy Jimenez	7.7	9.6	0.254	0.358	0.328	0.687	0.284	0.019
#7 Colton Cowser	6.8	9.0	0.244	0.448	0.361	0.809	0.329	0.048
#8 Ramon Urias	5.9	7.7	0.250	0.407	0.356	0.764	0.312	0.037
#9 Jackson Holliday	5.2	7.0	0.183	0.356	0.240	0.596	0.250	0.048

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	9.3	12.2	0.262	0.470	0.372	0.841	0.342	0.047
#2 Mark Vientos	8.8	11.6	0.281	0.554	0.371	0.924	0.375	0.068
#3 J.D. Martinez	8.6	11.5	0.254	0.443	0.388	0.831	0.335	0.041
#4 Brandon Nimmo	7.6	10.2	0.231	0.419	0.405	0.824	0.330	0.041
#5 Pete Alonso	9.5	12.6	0.243	0.466	0.376	0.842	0.340	0.055
#6 Starling Marte	7.3	9.3	0.279	0.414	0.355	0.769	0.316	0.028
#7 Jose Iglesias	6.6	8.5	0.324	0.473	0.405	0.878	0.358	0.020
#8 Luis Torrens	6.5	8.6	0.270	0.438	0.348	0.787	0.323	0.034
#9 Harrison Bader	5.8	7.5	0.254	0.379	0.324	0.703	0.292	0.024

Orioles Notable Injuries

Grayson Rodriguez OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/02/24. Impact: 8.7
Zach Eflin OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/17/24. Impact: 8.5
Jordan Westburg OUT (2B/3B): Avg: 0.269 SLG:0.499 Last game: 08/02/24. Impact: 3.4
Jorge Mateo OUT (2B): Avg: 0.222 SLG:0.397 Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.1
Keegan Akin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/21/24. Impact: 2.2
Jacob Webb OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/04/24. Impact: 1.0

Mets Notable Injuries

Kodai Senga OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/28/24. Impact: 10.4
Christian Scott OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 4.0
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.6