Red Sox vs Guardians Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 25th 2024

Red Sox
14W-11L

April 25, 2024
01:10PM EST
Odds: 7.5 o/u
Guardians
17W-7L


Get ready to slide into the excitement as the Boston Red Sox, boasting a solid 14-11 record, gear up to clash with the top-dog Cleveland Guardians, who are sitting pretty at 17-7, at the iconic Progressive Field. As the clock ticks down to the 1:10 PM EST showdown, the stakes are sky-high with the Red Sox looking to close a 3-game gap and the Guardians aiming to maintain their pristine position at the apex of the American League. With a betting line that’s as tight as a well-oiled mitt and an over/under of 7.5, today’s game promises to be as unpredictable as a curveball. Coming off a striking 8-0 victory against the Guardians just yesterday, the Red Sox are hot on their heels, while the Guardians are itching to flip the script under the sunny skies and brisk breezes of a 46-degree day at the ballpark. So, as we count down to the first pitch, let’s see if the Red Sox can sock it out of the park or if the Guardians will guard their turf in this clash of the titans!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 25, 2024 01:10PM EST
Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Weather: Sunny with winds from the NNW at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 46.0° with 68% humidity.
Vegas Odds
BOS ML | CLE ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +130 | -155 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
Recent | +115 | -138 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
Difference | -15 | +17 | 0 | – |
Team Performance

46.5% Win Probability

53.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/15/24 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | 6 | Under | -1.5 | ![]() |
Boston Red Sox BOS | 0 | ||||
04/16/24 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | 10 | Over | +9.5 | ![]() |
Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | ||||
04/17/24 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | 0 | Under | -5.5 | ![]() |
Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | ||||
04/18/24 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | 5 | Over | +1.5 | ![]() |
Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | ||||
04/23/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 1 | Under | -2.5 | ![]() |
Cleveland Guardians CLE | 4 | ||||
04/24/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 8 | Over | +0.5 | ![]() |
Cleveland Guardians CLE | 0 | ||||
04/28/23 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | 5 | Under | -0.5 | ![]() |
Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | ||||
04/29/23 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | 7 | Over | +7.5 | ![]() |
Boston Red Sox BOS | 8 | ||||
04/30/23 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | 1 | Over | +0.5 | ![]() |
Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | ||||
06/06/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 5 | Over | +1.5 | ![]() |
Cleveland Guardians CLE | 4 | ||||
06/07/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | Under | -0.5 | ![]() |
Cleveland Guardians CLE | 5 | ||||
06/08/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | Over | +5.5 | ![]() |
Cleveland Guardians CLE | 10 |
Red Sox Vs Over/Under
Guardians Vs Over/Under

Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-21-24 | @PIT | 6-1W | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Under |
04-19-24 | @PIT | 8-1W | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Over |
04-15-24 | vsCLE | 6-0L | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | Under |
04-12-24 | vsLAA | 7-0L | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Under |
04-07-24 | @LAA | 12-2W | 3.0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | Over |
04-01-24 | @OAK | 9-0W | 3.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Over |
09-26-23 | @LAD | 1-4W | 5.0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | Under |
09-20-23 | @SD | 2-3W | 6.3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | Under |
09-15-23 | @SF | 2-3W | 7.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | Under |
09-09-23 | @SF | 1-9W | 3.3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | Over |

Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-19-24 | vsOAK | 2-10W | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | Over |
04-13-24 | vsNYY | 8-2L | 4.0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | Over |
04-08-24 | vsCWS | 0-4W | 5.7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | Under |
04-01-24 | @SEA | 4-5L | 3.3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | Over |
09-30-23 | @DET | 0-8L | 4.3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | Over |
09-24-23 | vsBAL | 5-1L | 1.7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | Under |
06-10-23 | vsHOU | 6-4L | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | Over |
06-04-23 | @MIN | 2-1W | 5.0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | Under |
10-03-22 | @KC | 2-1W | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | Under |
09-28-22 | @TB | 2-1W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | Under |
Red Sox Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/26 | vs CLE | 8-0W | 16 | 3 | Over |
04/25 | vs CLE | 1-4L | 6 | 1 | Under |
04/23 | vs PIT | 6-1W | 8 | 0 | Under |
04/22 | vs PIT | 4-2W | 7 | 1 | Under |
04/21 | vs PIT | 8-1W | 12 | 4 | Over |
04/20 | @ CLE | 4-5L | 6 | 0 | Over |
04/19 | @ CLE | 2-0W | 5 | 1 | Under |
04/18 | @ CLE | 7-10L | 11 | 3 | Over |
04/17 | @ CLE | 0-6L | 3 | 0 | Under |
04/16 | @ LAA | 5-4W | 7 | 3 | Over |
04/15 | @ LAA | 7-2W | 11 | 1 | Over |
04/14 | @ LAA | 0-7L | 3 | 0 | Under |
04/13 | @ BAL | 4-9L | 8 | 1 | Over |
04/12 | @ BAL | 5-7L | 8 | 1 | Over |
04/11 | @ BAL | 1-7L | 2 | 1 | Over |
Guardians Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/26 | @ BOS | 0-8L | 4 | 0 | Over |
04/25 | @ BOS | 4-1W | 7 | 1 | Under |
04/23 | @ OAK | 6-2W | 7 | 1 | Over |
04/22 | @ OAK | 6-3W | 14 | 1 | Over |
04/21 | @ OAK | 10-2W | 9 | 2 | Over |
04/20 | vs BOS | 5-4W | 8 | 0 | Over |
04/19 | vs BOS | 0-2L | 3 | 0 | Under |
04/18 | vs BOS | 10-7W | 14 | 1 | Over |
04/17 | vs BOS | 6-0W | 9 | 1 | Under |
04/16 | @ NYY | 8-7W | 9 | 3 | Over |
04/15 | @ NYY | 2-3L | 5 | 0 | Under |
04/15 | @ NYY | 2-8L | 7 | 2 | Over |
04/12 | @ CWS | 7-6W | 8 | 3 | Over |
04/11 | @ CWS | 5-7L | 8 | 1 | Over |
04/10 | @ CWS | 4-0W | 10 | 1 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
Boston Red Sox | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1
Jarren Duran
|
7.7 | 9.8 | 0.257 | 0.371 | 36.2% | 73.3% | 1.0% |
8.1 | 10.9 | 0.231 | 0.481 | 44.2% | 92.3% | 5.8% | |
7.8 | 10.3 | 0.298 | 0.667 | 52.6% | 119.3% | 12.3% | |
#4
Wilyer Abreu
|
7.6 | 9.9 | 0.322 | 0.542 | 47.5% | 101.7% | 3.4% |
5.3 | 7.2 | 0.143 | 0.257 | 20.0% | 45.7% | 2.9% | |
#6
Pablo Reyes
|
6.0 | 7.8 | 0.17 | 0.208 | 22.6% | 43.4% | 0.0% |
#7
Bobby Dalbec
|
5.8 | 7.9 | 0.054 | 0.081 | 13.5% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
4.6 | 6.1 | 0.25 | 0.396 | 33.3% | 72.9% | 4.2% | |
4.9 | 6.4 | 0.171 | 0.293 | 23.2% | 52.4% | 1.2% |
Cleveland Guardians | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1
Steven Kwan
|
7.5 | 9.4 | 0.347 | 0.455 | 39.6% | 85.1% | 2.0% |
6.5 | 8.8 | 0.212 | 0.394 | 31.8% | 71.2% | 4.5% | |
#3
Jose Ramirez
|
8.6 | 11.4 | 0.24 | 0.43 | 26.0% | 69.0% | 4.0% |
#4
Josh Naylor
|
6.8 | 9.1 | 0.306 | 0.576 | 42.4% | 100.0% | 7.1% |
#5
David Fry
|
6.3 | 8.7 | 0.303 | 0.485 | 63.6% | 112.1% | 3.0% |
6.8 | 9.0 | 0.27 | 0.348 | 39.3% | 74.2% | 0.0% | |
#7
Will Brennan
|
5.3 | 7.0 | 0.233 | 0.383 | 33.3% | 71.7% | 3.3% |
5.9 | 7.6 | 0.298 | 0.468 | 31.9% | 78.7% | 2.1% | |
4.6 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 31.4% | 61.4% | 0.0% |
Red Sox Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Guardians Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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