Red Sox vs Astros Game Breakdown

Get ready to dial into the heat of Minute Maid Park as the Boston Red Sox, boasting a decent 66-58 record, gear up to throw down against the Houston Astros, who are sitting pretty at the top of the American League with a 68-57 tally. It’s game on at 2:10 PM EST today, and with the stakes as high as the summer temps, you won’t want to miss a single pitch. The Astros, fresh off a narrow defeat to these very Sox, are itching for redemption in their own backyard. With the betting lines tipping slightly in favor of Houston and an over/under that promises some serious action, today’s clash is more than just a game—it’s a showdown under the sizzling Texas sun. So, as the Red Sox aim to paint the town red again, and the Astros look to launch one out of the park, let’s see which team truly has the ‘stars’ align in their favor!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 21, 2024 02:10PM EST

Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston

Weather: Sunny with winds from the E at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 95.0° with 47% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+124	-148	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-145	+110	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-269	+258	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

154W-152L

59.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

177W-123L

40.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/09/24	Houston Astros HOU	8	Over	+3.5
08/09/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+3.5
08/10/24	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+0.5
08/10/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+0.5
08/11/24	Houston Astros HOU	10	Over	+3.5
08/11/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+3.5
08/19/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+0.5
08/19/24	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+0.5
08/20/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+2.5
08/20/24	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+2.5
08/21/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+4.5
08/21/23	Houston Astros HOU	9	Over	+4.5
08/22/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+1.5
08/22/23	Houston Astros HOU	7	Over	+1.5
08/23/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+3.5
08/23/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+3.5
08/24/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	17	Over	+9.5
08/24/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Over	+9.5
08/28/23	Houston Astros HOU	13	Over	+9.5
08/28/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+9.5
08/29/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Under	-0.5
08/29/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-0.5
08/30/23	Houston Astros HOU	7	Over	+2.5
08/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+2.5

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Astros Vs Over/Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-16-24	@BAL	12-10W	3.3	9	6	1	Over
08-05-24	@KC	9-5W	0.7	3	2	1	Over
08-03-24	@TEX	4-7L	2.0	2	0	0	Over
07-30-24	vsSEA	10-6L	3.0	0	0	0	Over
07-28-24	vsNYY	8-2L	1.0	2	1	1	Over
07-23-24	@COL	6-0W	7.0	5	0	4	Under
07-12-24	vsKC	6-1L	6.0	8	5	1	Push
06-15-24	vsNYY	4-8W	4.0	3	2	6	Over
06-07-24	@CWS	2-7L	4.3	5	4	2	Over
06-01-24	vsDET	3-6W	5.0	4	1	5	Over

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-09-24	@LAA	7-9L	5.0	7	4	3	Over
06-03-24	vsSTL	4-7W	5.0	7	4	4	Over
05-29-24	@SEA	1-2L	7.0	3	1	9	Under
05-24-24	@OAK	6-3W	6.0	8	2	9	Over
05-18-24	vsMIL	4-2L	4.7	4	4	3	Under
05-12-24	@DET	9-3W	7.0	2	0	8	Over
05-07-24	@NYY	3-10L	5.0	8	7	2	Over
05-01-24	vsCLE	3-2L	7.0	6	2	2	Under
04-25-24	@CHC	1-3L	4.3	3	0	7	Under
04-19-24	@WAS	5-3W	6.0	4	2	4	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/22	vs HOU	6-5W	9	2	Over
08/21	vs HOU	4-5L	7	2	Over
08/20	vs BAL	2-4L	11	1	Under
08/19	vs BAL	5-1W	10	1	Under
08/18	vs BAL	12-9W	14	4	Over
08/17	vs BAL	1-5L	7	1	Under
08/16	@ TEX	7-9L	10	1	Over
08/15	@ TEX	9-4W	12	1	Over
08/14	@ TEX	5-4W	9	0	Over
08/13	@ HOU	2-9L	6	0	Over
08/12	@ HOU	4-5L	6	2	Over
08/11	@ HOU	4-8L	6	0	Over
08/09	vs KC	4-8L	6	2	Over
08/08	vs KC	6-5W	7	1	Over
08/07	vs KC	9-5W	18	1	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/22	@ BOS	5-6L	7	2	Over
08/21	@ BOS	5-4W	13	1	Over
08/20	@ CWS	2-0W	5	2	Under
08/19	@ CWS	6-1W	13	0	Push
08/18	@ CWS	4-5L	8	2	Over
08/16	vs TB	2-1W	2	1	Under
08/15	vs TB	3-2W	9	2	Under
08/14	vs TB	6-1W	10	2	Push
08/13	vs BOS	9-2W	13	3	Over
08/12	vs BOS	5-4W	10	4	Over
08/11	vs BOS	8-4W	16	2	Over
08/09	vs TEX	6-4W	13	2	Over
08/08	vs TEX	4-2W	11	1	Under
08/07	vs TEX	3-4L	4	1	Push
08/06	@ TB	0-1L	3	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	8.0	10.3	0.288	0.508	0.380	0.888	0.359	0.033
#2 Wilyer Abreu	7.5	9.9	0.268	0.505	0.375	0.880	0.356	0.047
#3 Triston Casas	9.3	12.3	0.265	0.510	0.418	0.929	0.368	0.071
#4 Rafael Devers	9.5	12.6	0.294	0.575	0.425	1.000	0.397	0.061
#5 Luis Garcia	11.6	11.6	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#5 Rob Refsnyder	7.0	9.1	0.300	0.478	0.435	0.913	0.365	0.035
#6 Masataka Yoshida	6.5	8.6	0.301	0.454	0.428	0.881	0.355	0.033
#7 Connor Wong	6.4	8.3	0.290	0.432	0.377	0.809	0.331	0.032
#8 David Hamilton	5.9	7.5	0.250	0.399	0.332	0.731	0.301	0.026
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.8	7.5	0.262	0.408	0.310	0.718	0.298	0.030

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Alex Bregman	9.3	12.1	0.261	0.447	0.348	0.795	0.325	0.041
#2 Yordan Alvarez	9.8	12.9	0.311	0.557	0.466	1.023	0.403	0.057
#3 Yainer Diaz	7.5	9.7	0.304	0.467	0.349	0.816	0.336	0.034
#4 Jeremy Pena	7.3	9.4	0.276	0.402	0.346	0.748	0.309	0.026
#5 Victor Caratini	7.0	9.1	0.288	0.459	0.384	0.842	0.342	0.041
#5 Luis Garcia	11.6	11.6	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#6 Jake Meyers	6.5	8.5	0.223	0.375	0.320	0.694	0.287	0.030
#7 Mauricio Dubon	6.0	7.8	0.251	0.360	0.300	0.660	0.276	0.013
#8 Shay Whitcomb	6.0	7.5	0.308	0.462	0.538	1.000	0.385	0.000
#9 Chas McCormick	5.5	7.2	0.195	0.286	0.290	0.576	0.242	0.019

Red Sox Notable Injuries

James Paxton OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 4.1
Cam Booser OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 0.6

Astros Notable Injuries

Alex Bregman OUT (3B): Avg: 0.261 SLG:0.447 Last game: 08/16/24. Impact: 5.2
Ryan Pressly OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 0.6