Red Sox vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some prime Daily Fantasy action as the Boston Red Sox, boasting an 18-14 record, gear up to clash with the 17-13 Minnesota Twins under the gleaming lights of Target Field tonight at 08:10PM EST! Both teams are neck and neck in the American League, each just 2.5 games shy of the top, setting the stage for a showdown that’s as evenly matched as they come. With the betting gods barely able to pick a favorite—Boston at -105 and Minnesota at -115—and an over/under that screams a tight contest at 8.0, you can bet your bottom dollar this game’s got all the makings of a classic. The Twins are hot off a fiery win, while the Sox are looking to bounce back from a recent stumble, all under a perfect sky with a crisp breeze. So, who will sew up victory in this fabric of fierce competition? Will the Red Sox thread the needle, or will the Twins stitch up a win?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 03, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Sunny with winds from the WSW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 54.0° with 57% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-105	-115	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-110	-110	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-5	+5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

128W-130L

52.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

10W-0L

HOME

134W-114L

47.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/18/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+1.0
04/18/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+1.0
04/19/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	10	Over	+6.0
04/19/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+6.0
04/20/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+8.0
04/20/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	11	Over	+8.0
06/19/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+4.0
06/19/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Over	+4.0
06/20/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	10	Over	+6.0
06/20/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+6.0
06/21/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+1.0
06/21/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+1.0
06/22/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-2.0
06/22/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Under	-2.0

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Tanner Houck

ERA 1.602 | IP 39.3 | 3.0W-2.0L | KO 41.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-28-24	vsCHC	4-5W	6.7	4	1	9	Over
04-23-24	@CLE	1-4L	6.0	5	2	4	Under
04-17-24	vsCLE	0-2W	9.0	3	0	9	Under
04-12-24	vsLAA	7-0L	5.7	12	7	2	Under
04-07-24	@LAA	12-2W	6.0	4	0	7	Over
04-01-24	@OAK	9-0W	6.0	3	0	10	Over
10-01-23	@BAL	6-1W	6.0	1	0	6	Under
09-26-23	vsTB	9-7L	3.0	10	7	2	Over
09-19-23	@TEX	4-6L	4.0	3	2	4	Over
09-14-23	vsNYY	0-5W	6.0	4	0	7	Under

Chris Paddack

ERA 5.885 | IP 26.0 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 21.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-27-24	@LAA	16-5W	5.0	8	4	2	Over
04-22-24	vsCWS	0-7W	7.0	6	0	10	Under
04-16-24	@BAL	3-11L	5.3	12	9	2	Over
04-10-24	vsLAD	2-3W	4.7	6	2	5	Under
04-03-24	@MIL	7-3W	4.0	6	2	2	Over
09-30-23	@COL	14-6W	3.0	2	0	4	Over
09-26-23	vsOAK	3-11W	2.0	4	3	4	Over
09-24-23	vsLAA	3-9W	0.0	0	0	0	Over
05-08-22	vsOAK	3-9W	2.3	5	3	4	Over
05-02-22	vsBAL	3-9W	5.3	4	1	3	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/04	@ SF	1-3L	4	0	Under
05/03	@ SF	6-2W	10	0	Push
05/02	@ SF	4-0W	11	0	Under
04/30	@ CHC	5-4W	9	0	Over
04/29	@ CHC	17-0W	21	2	Over
04/28	@ CHC	1-7L	7	1	Push
04/27	vs CLE	4-5L	10	0	Over
04/26	vs CLE	8-0W	16	3	Push
04/25	vs CLE	1-4L	6	1	Under
04/23	vs PIT	6-1W	8	0	Under
04/22	vs PIT	4-2W	7	1	Under
04/21	vs PIT	8-1W	12	4	Over
04/20	@ CLE	4-5L	6	0	Over
04/19	@ CLE	2-0W	5	1	Under
04/18	@ CLE	7-10L	11	3	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/03	vs CWS	10-5W	12	1	Over
05/02	vs CWS	6-5W	9	0	Over
05/01	vs CWS	3-2W	4	1	Under
04/30	vs LAA	11-5W	17	0	Over
04/29	vs LAA	16-5W	17	3	Over
04/28	vs LAA	5-3W	11	1	Push
04/27	@ CWS	6-3W	10	5	Over
04/26	@ CWS	6-3W	13	1	Over
04/25	@ CWS	6-5W	10	2	Over
04/24	@ CWS	7-0W	11	1	Under
04/23	@ DET	1-6L	7	1	Under
04/22	@ DET	4-3W	7	0	Under
04/21	@ DET	4-5L	5	1	Over
04/19	vs BAL	2-4L	5	0	Under
04/18	vs BAL	3-11L	7	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	8.7	11.2	0.261	0.388	38.1%	76.9%	0.7%
#2 Rafael Devers	10.3	13.5	0.286	0.468	50.6%	97.4%	3.9%
#3 Tyler O’Neill	8.3	11.0	0.309	0.667	51.9%	118.5%	11.1%
#4 Wilyer Abreu	8.8	11.5	0.312	0.512	45.0%	96.2%	2.5%
#5 Connor Wong	7.4	9.5	0.351	0.595	40.5%	100.0%	6.8%
#6 Dominic Smith	7.5	9.7	0.25	0.25	25.0%	50.0%	0.0%
#7 Garrett Cooper	7.1	9.2	0.256	0.395	37.2%	76.7%	2.3%
#8 David Hamilton	6.0	7.7	0.211	0.316	31.6%	63.2%	2.6%
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.8	7.7	0.191	0.345	23.6%	58.2%	1.8%

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Alex Kirilloff	7.6	10.0	0.259	0.471	36.5%	83.5%	2.4%
#2 Edouard Julien	7.6	10.2	0.216	0.485	38.1%	86.6%	7.2%
#3 Ryan Jeffers	6.6	8.9	0.3	0.556	46.7%	102.2%	5.6%
#4 Max Kepler	7.3	9.7	0.25	0.354	35.4%	70.8%	2.1%
#5 Carlos Correa	6.2	8.2	0.271	0.375	47.9%	85.4%	2.1%
#6 Trevor Larnach	6.0	8.0	0.371	0.6	51.4%	111.4%	5.7%
#7 Carlos Santana	5.6	7.5	0.182	0.333	30.3%	63.6%	4.0%
#8 Willi Castro	5.9	7.7	0.27	0.45	38.0%	83.0%	2.0%
#9 Jose Miranda	5.3	6.7	0.315	0.519	35.2%	87.0%	3.7%