Cubs vs Braves Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some major league excitement as the Chicago Cubs, boasting a solid 24-19 record, gear up to challenge the Atlanta Braves, who are sitting pretty with 26 wins and 13 losses, at the electrifying Truist Park tonight at 7:20 PM EST. It’s a clash of the titans with both teams swinging hard to climb up the National League rankings—the Cubs are just a whisker away, trailing by 1.5 games, while the Braves are hot on their heels, only 2.0 games back. The stakes are high and the betting lines are buzzing, setting the over/under at a tantalizing 8.5. In their last showdown, the Braves shut out the Cubs with a 7-0 victory, so the Cubs are thirsty for redemption. With the forecast predicting a slightly breezy and humid evening, it’s the perfect backdrop for what promises to be an explosive game. So, will the Cubs claw their way to victory, or will the Braves wield their tomahawks and keep their winning streak alive? Let’s find out if it’s going to be a bear or a brave ruling the diamond tonight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 15, 2024 07:20PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SW at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 68.0° with 87% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+140	-168	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+147	-179	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+7	-11	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

117W-147L

40.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

161W-96L

59.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/13/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-6.5
05/13/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-6.5
05/14/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-1.5
05/14/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-1.5
08/04/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Under	-0.5
08/04/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-0.5
08/05/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+5.5
08/05/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	8	Over	+5.5
08/06/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+1.5
08/06/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+1.5
09/26/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+4.5
09/26/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+4.5
09/27/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+2.5
09/27/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.5
09/28/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-0.5
09/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-0.5

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Javier Assad

ERA 1.701 | IP 42.3 | 3.0W-0.0L | KO 35.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-10-24	@PIT	7-2W	4.3	4	2	4	Push
05-05-24	vsMIL	0-5W	6.0	4	0	4	Under
04-30-24	@NYM	2-4L	5.0	5	1	1	Under
04-25-24	vsHOU	1-3W	5.7	4	1	5	Under
04-20-24	vsMIA	3-2L	4.7	3	1	3	Under
04-14-24	@SEA	3-2W	5.7	4	2	6	Under
04-08-24	@SD	8-9L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
04-02-24	vsCOL	2-12W	6.0	4	0	5	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	1.7	2	0	4	Over
09-28-23	@ATL	3-5L	2.0	1	1	3	Under

Charlie Morton

ERA 3.164 | IP 42.7 | 3.0W-0.0L | KO 40.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-10-24	@NYM	4-2W	7.0	3	1	7	Under
05-03-24	@LAD	3-4L	6.0	5	2	5	Under
04-27-24	vsCLE	4-2L	6.7	1	0	6	Under
04-20-24	vsTEX	2-5W	6.0	4	2	4	Under
04-14-24	@MIA	9-7W	5.7	7	6	8	Over
04-08-24	vsNYM	8-7L	5.7	5	4	4	Over
04-01-24	@CWS	9-0W	5.7	3	0	6	Push
09-22-23	@WAS	9-6W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-17-23	@MIA	2-16L	4.7	6	6	5	Over
09-11-23	@PHI	10-8W	6.0	6	4	9	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/16	vs ATL	0-7L	3	0	Under
05/15	vs ATL	0-2L	5	0	Under
05/14	vs PIT	5-4W	9	2	Push
05/13	vs PIT	9-10L	10	1	Over
05/12	vs PIT	7-2W	14	1	Push
05/10	@ SD	0-3L	1	0	Under
05/09	@ SD	3-2W	10	2	Under
05/08	@ SD	3-6L	7	2	Push
05/07	@ MIL	5-0W	7	1	Under
05/06	@ MIL	6-5W	8	3	Over
05/05	@ MIL	1-3L	8	1	Under
05/04	vs NYM	6-7L	9	1	Over
05/03	vs NYM	1-0W	5	0	Under
05/02	vs NYM	2-4L	4	0	Under
05/01	vs NYM	3-1W	3	1	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/16	@ CHC	7-0W	9	2	Under
05/15	@ CHC	2-0W	10	0	Under
05/14	vs NYM	3-4L	6	1	Under
05/13	vs NYM	4-1W	7	1	Under
05/12	vs NYM	4-2W	7	3	Under
05/10	@ BOS	5-0W	9	3	Under
05/09	@ BOS	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/07	vs LAD	1-5L	5	1	Under
05/06	vs LAD	2-11L	6	0	Over
05/05	vs LAD	3-4L	6	2	Under
05/03	vs SEA	5-2W	6	0	Under
05/02	vs SEA	2-3L	7	0	Under
05/01	vs SEA	1-2L	3	0	Under
04/30	@ CLE	4-2W	9	0	Under
04/29	@ CLE	2-3L	7	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Mike Tauchman	7.6	10.1	0.26	0.407	48.0%	88.6%	2.4%
#2 Seiya Suzuki	8.3	11.0	0.273	0.442	37.7%	81.8%	3.9%
#3 Cody Bellinger	8.3	11.0	0.254	0.482	37.7%	86.0%	6.1%
#4 Christopher Morel	7.8	10.5	0.219	0.43	35.1%	78.1%	6.0%
#5 Ian Happ	7.8	10.4	0.212	0.295	38.4%	67.8%	0.7%
#6 Nico Hoerner	6.0	7.8	0.263	0.385	41.0%	79.5%	1.3%
#7 Michael Busch	7.1	9.4	0.252	0.474	35.6%	83.0%	5.2%
#8 Miles Mastrobuoni	5.1	7.2	0.13	0.174	26.1%	43.5%	0.0%
#9 Yan Gomes	5.0	6.2	0.2	0.317	21.7%	53.3%	3.3%

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	10.5	13.6	0.257	0.355	42.8%	78.3%	2.0%
#2 Ozzie Albies	8.6	11.4	0.281	0.422	38.3%	80.5%	2.3%
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.6	11.6	0.329	0.629	46.2%	109.1%	8.4%
#4 Matt Olson	8.8	11.9	0.223	0.41	39.6%	80.6%	3.6%
#5 Travis d’Arnaud	6.7	9.0	0.258	0.505	38.1%	88.7%	5.2%
#6 Michael Harris II	8.8	11.2	0.26	0.39	32.5%	71.4%	2.6%
#7 Orlando Arcia	6.3	8.1	0.248	0.407	29.0%	69.7%	2.8%
#8 Jarred Kelenic	6.6	8.3	0.287	0.402	35.6%	75.9%	2.3%
#9 Zack Short	4.4	6.1	0.136	0.182	40.9%	59.1%	0.0%