Cubs vs Royals Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some prime-time baseball action as the Chicago Cubs, sitting with a 49-55 record, gear up to storm the field at Kauffman Stadium against the 56-46 Kansas City Royals tonight at 08:10 PM EST. With the Cubs clawing their way through the National League and the Royals ruling closer to the top in the American League, this matchup is more than just a game—it’s a cross-conference clash of titans! Both teams are hungry for a win after recent stumbles, setting the stage for an explosive showdown under a perfect sunny sky with a gentle breeze to keep things cool. Vegas has the over/under at 9.0, hinting at some heavy bats and maybe a few fireworks on the field. So, as the Royals look to defend their kingdom, and the Cubs aim to conquer foreign territory, expect every pitch and swing to bear the weight of their legacies. It’s not just a game; it’s a royal rumble with a side of deep-dish drama!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 26, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SSE at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 86.4° with 49% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	KC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+123	-147	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+122	-145	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-1	+2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

127W-164L

45.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

140W-151L

55.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/18/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-2.0
08/18/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-2.0
08/19/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+1.0
08/19/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+1.0
08/20/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-2.0
08/20/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-2.0

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Royals Vs Over/Under

Kyle Hendricks

ERA 6.69 | IP 75.3 | 2.0W-8.0L | KO 52.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-20-24	vsARI	3-0L	5.0	3	3	2	Under
07-12-24	@STL	5-1W	7.0	5	0	3	Under
07-06-24	vsLAA	7-0L	2.0	4	2	1	Under
06-30-24	@MIL	1-7L	3.7	7	7	3	Under
06-25-24	@SF	1-5L	7.0	5	2	4	Under
06-19-24	vsSF	5-6W	5.7	2	1	8	Over
06-14-24	vsSTL	3-0L	4.3	2	0	1	Under
06-06-24	@CIN	4-8L	1.3	1	0	0	Over
06-02-24	vsCIN	5-2L	3.0	3	0	3	Under
05-29-24	@MIL	6-10L	3.7	2	3	1	Over

Will Smith

ERA 4.551 | IP 29.7 | 0.0W-3.0L | KO 18.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-20-24	vsCWS	1-6W	7.0	5	0	7	Under
07-07-24	@COL	10-1W	7.0	6	1	7	Over
07-02-24	vsTB	5-1L	5.0	3	1	4	Under
06-26-24	vsMIA	1-5W	7.3	5	1	5	Under
06-21-24	@TEX	2-6L	5.0	3	1	4	Under
06-16-24	@LAD	0-3L	6.0	5	3	4	Under
06-11-24	vsNYY	10-1L	5.7	7	7	6	Over
06-06-24	@CLE	4-3W	3.7	9	3	2	Under
05-25-24	@TB	7-4W	5.0	4	2	3	Over
05-19-24	vsOAK	4-8W	6.0	6	1	9	Over
07-22-24	vsARI	4-10W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
07-10-24	@STL	6-4W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
07-04-24	vsTB	10-8L	1.0	3	1	0	Over
06-30-24	vsCLE	2-6W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
06-29-24	vsCLE	7-2L	1.0	1	1	0	Push
06-25-24	vsMIA	2-1L	1.0	1	0	0	Under
06-22-24	@TEX	0-6L	1.0	1	0	0	Under
06-18-24	@OAK	5-7L	1.0	0	0	0	Over
06-14-24	@LAD	3-4L	0.7	2	1	1	Under
06-09-24	vsSEA	6-5L	0.3	0	0	1	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/26	@ MIL	2-3L	6	1	Under
07/25	@ MIL	0-1L	7	0	Under
07/24	@ MIL	3-1W	8	1	Under
07/23	@ ARI	2-1W	4	0	Under
07/22	@ ARI	0-3L	4	0	Under
07/21	@ ARI	2-5L	8	0	Under
07/15	vs STL	4-5L	12	1	Push
07/15	vs STL	3-11L	7	2	Over
07/14	vs STL	5-1W	13	0	Under
07/13	vs BAL	8-0W	13	1	Under
07/12	vs BAL	4-0W	11	1	Under
07/11	vs BAL	9-2W	14	2	Over
07/09	@ LAA	5-0W	7	1	Under
07/08	@ LAA	0-7L	4	0	Under
07/07	@ LAA	5-1W	9	1	Under

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/26	@ ARI	6-8L	12	0	Over
07/25	@ ARI	2-6L	7	0	Under
07/24	@ ARI	10-4W	15	3	Over
07/23	@ CWS	4-1W	10	0	Under
07/22	@ CWS	6-1W	9	0	Under
07/21	@ CWS	7-1W	7	1	Under
07/15	vs BOS	0-5L	4	0	Under
07/14	vs BOS	6-1W	9	2	Under
07/12	vs STL	8-5W	12	3	Over
07/12	vs STL	6-4W	9	1	Over
07/09	vs COL	10-1W	12	3	Over
07/08	vs COL	1-3L	8	1	Under
07/07	vs COL	2-4L	10	0	Under
07/06	@ TB	8-10L	10	2	Over
07/05	@ TB	4-2W	7	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	7.5	9.6	0.255	0.347	0.378	0.725	0.298	0.011
#2 Michael Busch	8.1	10.7	0.269	0.461	0.412	0.873	0.350	0.039
#3 Seiya Suzuki	8.1	10.6	0.261	0.472	0.371	0.843	0.341	0.047
#4 Ian Happ	9.2	12.4	0.231	0.433	0.398	0.830	0.333	0.044
#5 Christopher Morel	7.1	9.5	0.195	0.357	0.351	0.708	0.289	0.045
#6 Mike Tauchman	8.0	10.4	0.246	0.358	0.396	0.754	0.305	0.021
#7 Dansby Swanson	6.6	8.6	0.220	0.350	0.322	0.672	0.278	0.028
#8 Miguel Amaya	5.5	7.0	0.223	0.306	0.321	0.627	0.261	0.016
#9 Pete Crow-Armstrong	6.4	8.0	0.174	0.256	0.238	0.494	0.210	0.006

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Adam Frazier	8.7	11.3	0.193	0.265	0.309	0.575	0.242	0.011
#2 Will Smith	5.1	11.2	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	11.5	14.9	0.345	0.596	0.431	1.027	0.412	0.044
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	8.7	11.6	0.258	0.427	0.365	0.792	0.323	0.031
#4 Salvador Perez	8.2	10.8	0.275	0.460	0.372	0.832	0.339	0.047
#5 Michael Massey	8.1	10.6	0.267	0.478	0.292	0.770	0.321	0.050
#6 Hunter Renfroe	7.0	9.4	0.220	0.392	0.343	0.735	0.301	0.037
#7 Drew Waters	7.5	10.1	0.188	0.250	0.375	0.625	0.261	0.000
#8 Maikel Garcia	6.7	8.7	0.235	0.345	0.307	0.652	0.271	0.015
#9 Kyle Isbel	6.2	8.0	0.235	0.391	0.311	0.702	0.289	0.029

Cubs Notable Injuries

Cody Bellinger OUT (OF): Avg: 0.269 SLG:0.41 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 2.6
Hayden Wesneski OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 2.6
Keegan Thompson OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 1.7
Colten Brewer OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 0.7
Luke Little OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 1.2