Cubs vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into your seats this afternoon as the Chicago Cubs, boasting a solid 23-17 record, storm into PNC Park to clash with the Pittsburgh Pirates, who are trying to find their sea legs at 18-22. It’s a showdown set for 01:35 PM EST that promises not just a bat-cracking good time but also a chance to see if the Cubs can claw back from yesterday’s nail-biter loss to these very Pirates. With the stakes set high in the National League rankings and the betting lines buzzing (Cubs at -115 and Pirates close behind at -105), today’s game under the overcast Pittsburgh skies could flip the script on recent performances. And with the wind whispering secrets at a mere 2.2 mph, who knows what twists and turns this game might take? So, as the Cubs try to plant their flag and the Pirates aim to commandeer the victory, let’s see whose flag will be flying high by the ninth inning!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 12, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Overcast with winds from the NW at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 55.0° with 64% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-115	-105	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-118	-102	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-3	+3	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

116W-145L

54.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

118W-142L

45.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/10/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+1.0
05/10/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+1.0
05/11/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	9	Over	+11.0
05/11/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	10	Over	+11.0
06/13/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+6.0
06/13/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	11	Over	+6.0
06/14/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+8.0
06/14/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+8.0
06/15/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+1.0
06/15/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+1.0
06/19/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	8	Push	-0.0
06/19/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Push	-0.0
06/20/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-4.0
06/20/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-4.0
06/21/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	8	Over	+3.0
06/21/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+3.0
08/24/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+1.0
08/24/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Over	+1.0
08/25/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-5.0
08/25/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-5.0
08/26/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+8.0
08/26/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+8.0
08/27/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+3.0
08/27/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+3.0
09/19/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+7.0
09/19/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	14	Over	+7.0
09/20/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	13	Over	+12.0
09/20/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+12.0
09/21/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+6.0
09/21/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+6.0

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Kyle Hendricks

ERA 12.0 | IP 21.0 | 0.0W-3.0L | KO 16.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-21-24	vsMIA	6-3L	4.0	6	4	5	Push
04-16-24	@ARI	11-12L	4.3	5	7	3	Over
04-10-24	@SD	2-10L	5.0	9	7	2	Over
04-05-24	vsLAD	7-9W	4.0	8	5	4	Over
03-30-24	@TEX	2-11L	3.7	9	5	2	Over
09-29-23	@MIL	3-4L	4.3	5	3	2	Under
09-21-23	vsPIT	8-6L	6.0	7	3	5	Over
09-16-23	@ARI	6-7L	5.3	7	3	3	Over
09-10-23	vsARI	2-5W	5.7	7	2	4	Under
09-05-23	vsSF	8-11W	5.3	7	5	5	Over

Bailey Falter

ERA 4.339 | IP 37.3 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 26.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-05-24	vsCOL	3-5W	5.3	6	3	3	Under
04-29-24	@OAK	1-5L	5.0	6	5	5	Under
04-23-24	vsMIL	1-2W	7.0	3	1	8	Under
04-17-24	@NYM	1-9L	5.0	4	2	4	Over
04-12-24	@PHI	5-2W	5.0	4	1	3	Under
04-06-24	vsBAL	4-5W	6.0	1	0	1	Push
03-31-24	@MIA	9-7W	4.0	5	6	2	Over
09-23-23	@CIN	13-12W	2.0	9	8	1	Over
09-19-23	@CHC	1-14L	1.0	1	2	1	Over
09-12-23	vsWAS	1-5W	6.0	4	1	4	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/13	vs PIT	9-10L	10	1	Over
05/12	vs PIT	7-2W	14	1	Push
05/10	@ SD	0-3L	1	0	Under
05/09	@ SD	3-2W	10	2	Under
05/08	@ SD	3-6L	7	2	Push
05/07	@ MIL	5-0W	7	1	Under
05/06	@ MIL	6-5W	8	3	Over
05/05	@ MIL	1-3L	8	1	Under
05/04	vs NYM	6-7L	9	1	Over
05/03	vs NYM	1-0W	5	0	Under
05/02	vs NYM	2-4L	4	0	Under
05/01	vs NYM	3-1W	3	1	Under
04/30	vs BOS	4-5L	7	1	Push
04/29	vs BOS	0-17L	5	0	Over
04/28	vs BOS	7-1W	14	0	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/13	@ CHC	10-9W	11	5	Over
05/12	@ CHC	2-7L	7	0	Push
05/10	@ LAA	4-5L	6	0	Push
05/09	@ LAA	0-9L	3	0	Push
05/08	@ LAA	4-1W	6	1	Under
05/07	@ COL	5-3W	9	1	Under
05/06	@ COL	1-0W	6	0	Under
05/05	@ COL	2-3L	4	1	Under
05/03	vs OAK	0-4L	4	0	Under
05/02	vs OAK	2-5L	5	1	Under
05/01	vs OAK	1-5L	2	0	Under
04/30	vs SF	2-3L	5	0	Under
04/29	vs SF	4-3W	11	2	Under
04/28	vs SF	0-3L	8	0	Under
04/27	@ MIL	5-7L	8	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	9.3	12.1	0.265	0.391	39.1%	78.1%	1.3%
#2 Seiya Suzuki	9.7	12.9	0.312	0.516	43.8%	95.3%	4.7%
#3 Cody Bellinger	9.2	12.3	0.257	0.515	39.6%	91.1%	6.9%
#4 Christopher Morel	8.3	11.1	0.22	0.426	34.8%	77.3%	5.7%
#5 Ian Happ	8.3	11.1	0.217	0.297	39.9%	69.6%	0.7%
#6 Patrick Wisdom	8.2	11.2	0.25	0.542	45.8%	100.0%	4.2%
#7 Nick Madrigal	6.8	9.0	0.208	0.264	26.4%	52.8%	0.0%
#8 Mike Tauchman	6.7	9.0	0.279	0.441	51.4%	95.5%	2.7%
#9 Miguel Amaya	5.8	7.8	0.197	0.289	30.3%	59.2%	1.3%

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	8.1	10.7	0.187	0.327	34.6%	67.3%	3.7%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.2	10.7	0.24	0.39	39.6%	78.6%	2.6%
#3 Oneil Cruz	9.1	11.6	0.268	0.444	33.8%	78.2%	4.2%
#4 Connor Joe	7.3	9.7	0.284	0.466	39.7%	86.2%	3.4%
#5 Rowdy Tellez	6.7	8.7	0.194	0.255	30.6%	56.1%	1.0%
#6 Nick Gonzales	5.9	8.7	0.143	0.143	28.6%	42.9%	0.0%
#7 Jack Suwinski	7.2	9.6	0.171	0.27	27.9%	55.0%	1.8%
#8 Jared Triolo	5.9	7.5	0.213	0.252	33.9%	59.1%	0.8%
#9 Joey Bart	5.2	7.2	0.195	0.463	39.0%	85.4%	7.3%