Cubs vs Mariners Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 14th 2024

Get ready to slide into an electrifying showdown as the Chicago Cubs, boasting a solid 8-6 record, gear up to clash with the Seattle Mariners, who are looking to find their sea legs at 6-9, in the stunning T-Mobile Park today! With the first pitch set to fly at 04:10 PM EST, the Cubs are hungry to extend their lead in the National League, while the Mariners aim to hook a much-needed win to buoy their standings in the American League. The stakes are high with the betting lines buzzing—Cubs at +114 underdogs and Mariners favored at -136. The weather gods are smiling too, blessing the game with sunny skies and a gentle northern breeze. Fresh off their respective last encounters, where the Cubs celebrated a victory and the Mariners faced a setback against each other, the tension is palpable. So, as the Cubs try to ‘bear’ down and the Mariners look to ‘sail’ through, today’s game promises to be an epic battle of wills!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 14, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 43.0° with 82% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	SEA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+114	-136	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+120	-143	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+6	-7	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

109W-139L

45.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

134W-110L

54.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/12/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-2.0
04/12/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Under	-2.0
04/13/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-3.0
04/13/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Under	-3.0
04/10/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-3.0
04/10/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-3.0
04/11/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	9	Over	+15.0
04/11/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	14	Over	+15.0
04/12/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Under	-1.0
04/12/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-1.0

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Javier Assad

ERA 3.046 | IP 109.3 | 5.0W-3.0L | KO 94.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-08-24	@SD	8-9L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
04-02-24	vsCOL	2-12W	6.0	4	0	5	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	1.7	2	0	4	Over
09-28-23	@ATL	3-5L	2.0	1	1	3	Over
09-26-23	@ATL	6-7L	1.0	1	2	2	Over
09-23-23	vsCOL	3-6W	4.0	2	0	6	Over
09-19-23	vsPIT	1-14W	5.0	5	1	8	Over
09-12-23	@COL	4-6L	3.3	5	4	4	Over
09-07-23	vsARI	6-2L	5.3	7	3	0	Over
09-02-23	@CIN	1-2L	8.0	7	0	7	Under

Emerson Hancock

ERA 4.5 | IP 12.0 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 6.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-08-24	@TOR	2-5L	5.0	9	4	6	Under
04-02-24	vsCLE	5-2L	5.7	10	4	7	Under
03-28-24	vsBOS	6-4L	5.0	6	4	5	Over
09-30-23	vsTEX	6-1L	2.7	5	4	4	Under
09-25-23	vsHOU	5-1L	6.0	8	5	8	Under
09-19-23	@OAK	7-2W	7.0	5	2	8	Over
09-13-23	vsLAA	2-3W	6.0	3	2	8	Under
09-07-23	@TB	1-0W	6.0	4	0	8	Under
09-02-23	@NYM	8-7W	5.0	8	5	2	Over
08-27-23	vsKC	2-3W	7.0	1	0	6	Under
04-13-24	vsCHC	4-1L	6.0	4	2	4	Under
04-07-24	@MIL	4-12L	3.3	11	8	6	Over
04-01-24	vsCLE	4-5W	5.3	4	3	1	Over
08-20-23	@HOU	7-6W	2.0	2	0	2	Over
08-15-23	@KC	10-8W	5.0	9	5	1	Over
08-09-23	vsSD	1-6W	5.0	2	1	3	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/15	vs SEA	4-1W	6	3	Under
04/14	vs SEA	2-4L	4	1	Under
04/12	vs SD	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/11	vs SD	5-1W	9	2	Under
04/10	vs SD	8-9L	8	0	Over
04/09	@ LAD	8-1W	7	1	Over
04/08	@ LAD	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/07	@ LAD	9-7W	9	2	Over
04/05	@ COL	9-8W	10	1	Over
04/04	@ COL	12-2W	14	4	Over
04/03	@ COL	5-0W	9	0	Under
04/02	vs TEX	9-5W	12	1	Over
04/01	vs TEX	2-11L	5	1	Over
03/30	vs TEX	3-4L	6	0	Under
10/03	vs MIL	0-4L	5	0	Under

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/15	@ CHC	1-4L	6	0	Under
04/14	@ CHC	4-2W	6	0	Under
04/12	vs TOR	6-1W	6	1	Under
04/11	vs TOR	3-5L	6	2	Over
04/10	vs TOR	2-5L	7	2	Under
04/09	vs MIL	4-12L	8	1	Over
04/08	vs MIL	5-3W	10	2	Over
04/07	vs MIL	5-6L	8	0	Over
04/05	@ CLE	0-8L	5	0	Over
04/04	@ CLE	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/03	@ CLE	5-4W	7	1	Over
04/02	@ BOS	1-5L	4	0	Under
04/01	@ BOS	4-3W	7	0	Under
03/31	@ BOS	1-0W	4	1	Under
03/30	@ BOS	4-6L	8	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	8.6	11.5	0.25	0.43	42.8%	85.8%	3.6%
#2 Seiya Suzuki	8.1	10.6	0.285	0.479	40.4%	88.3%	3.7%
#3 Cody Bellinger	9.0	11.8	0.306	0.526	39.5%	92.1%	5.2%
#4 Christopher Morel	8.3	11.0	0.247	0.51	34.6%	85.7%	6.8%
#5 Dansby Swanson	7.9	10.5	0.244	0.416	37.0%	78.6%	3.9%
#6 Michael Busch	7.2	9.6	0.167	0.292	27.8%	56.9%	2.8%
#7 Nico Hoerner	6.9	8.8	0.286	0.387	38.7%	77.4%	1.5%
#8 Mike Tauchman	6.6	8.9	0.253	0.38	43.4%	81.3%	2.4%
#9 Miguel Amaya	5.0	6.8	0.214	0.359	38.9%	74.8%	3.8%
#9 Yan Gomes	5.0	6.6	0.265	0.407	34.4%	75.1%	2.6%

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 J.P. Crawford	6.7	9.0	0.266	0.44	45.3%	89.2%	3.6%
#2 Julio Rodriguez	8.4	11.0	0.275	0.486	36.5%	85.1%	4.9%
#3 Ty France	6.5	8.5	0.253	0.37	38.4%	75.3%	2.1%
#4 Mitch Haniger	7.0	9.3	0.209	0.365	28.9%	65.4%	2.8%
#5 Jorge Polanco	6.6	8.7	0.255	0.454	38.1%	83.4%	4.6%
#6 Mitch Garver	7.0	9.3	0.271	0.503	43.2%	93.5%	6.5%
#7 Cal Raleigh	6.7	8.9	0.232	0.456	34.0%	79.6%	5.9%
#8 Dominic Canzone	5.7	7.6	0.22	0.399	27.2%	67.1%	3.5%
#8 Dylan Moore	5.4	7.2	0.207	0.428	34.5%	77.2%	4.8%
#9 Josh Rojas	5.4	7.1	0.245	0.338	33.4%	67.2%	1.3%
#9 Luis Urias	5.1	6.9	0.194	0.299	41.0%	70.8%	2.1%