Reds vs Braves Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Truist Park tonight as the Cincinnati Reds, hot off their latest victory, ride into Braves territory for a spicy rematch at 07:20 PM EST. With the Reds trying to claw back from a 9.5-game deficit and the Braves swinging to shorten their 8-game lag in the National League standings, this game is set to boil over. The odds-makers have the lines drawn with the hometown Braves favored heavily, but if yesterday’s upset is any indication, those betting slips might just need a rethink. Atlanta, stung by yesterday’s loss, is looking to flip the script under the patchy rain and breezy conditions forecasted for game time. So, as the temperature heats up to a steamy 87.6°, will the Reds cook up another surprise, or will the Braves chop their way back to dominance? It’s a battle of wills in the Peach State, where it’s all about whether you can out-Red a Brave or out-Brave a Red!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 23, 2024 07:20PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the SW at 6.7 mph. Temperature is at 87.6° with 48% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+200	-245	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+169	-208	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-31	+37	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

134W-152L

37.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

176W-112L

62.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/22/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-3.0
07/22/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-3.0
04/10/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+1.0
04/10/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+1.0
04/11/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+5.0
04/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+5.0
04/12/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+1.0
04/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+1.0
06/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+13.0
06/23/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	11	Over	+13.0
06/24/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+5.0
06/24/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+5.0
06/25/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+5.0
06/25/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+5.0

Reds Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Nick Martinez

ERA 3.93 | IP 71.0 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 55.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-12-24	vsMIA	4-7W	3.0	3	0	2	Over
07-09-24	vsCOL	6-12W	1.3	1	0	3	Over
07-07-24	vsDET	5-1L	2.0	3	1	2	Under
07-04-24	@NYY	8-4W	2.0	2	2	0	Over
07-02-24	@NYY	5-4W	1.3	1	0	0	Over
06-28-24	@STL	0-1L	2.0	2	0	0	Under
06-23-24	vsBOS	7-4L	1.0	1	0	3	Over
06-21-24	vsBOS	2-5W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
06-19-24	@PIT	0-1L	0.7	1	1	1	Under
06-16-24	@MIL	4-5L	1.7	0	0	2	Over

Chris Sale

ERA 2.743 | IP 105.0 | 12.0W-3.0L | KO 136.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-09-24	@ARI	6-2W	5.3	5	2	9	Over
07-03-24	vsSF	1-3W	6.0	3	1	9	Under
06-27-24	@CWS	0-1L	7.0	4	1	11	Under
06-21-24	@NYY	8-1W	5.0	1	1	8	Over
06-14-24	vsTB	3-7W	7.0	5	2	7	Over
06-07-24	@WAS	1-2L	7.0	5	2	10	Under
06-01-24	vsOAK	11-9L	4.0	9	8	4	Over
05-26-24	@PIT	8-1W	7.0	4	1	8	Over
05-20-24	vsSD	0-3W	7.0	5	0	9	Under
05-14-24	vsCHC	0-7W	7.0	2	0	9	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/24	vs ATL	4-1W	9	1	Under
07/23	vs WAS	2-5L	5	2	Under
07/22	vs WAS	4-5L	7	1	Over
07/21	vs WAS	5-7L	7	0	Over
07/15	@ MIA	10-6W	10	6	Over
07/14	@ MIA	7-4W	11	3	Over
07/13	@ COL	8-1W	14	3	Over
07/12	@ COL	5-6L	12	2	Over
07/11	@ COL	12-6W	13	4	Over
07/10	@ COL	6-0W	8	1	Under
07/09	@ DET	1-5L	4	0	Under
07/08	@ DET	3-5L	6	1	Over
07/07	@ DET	4-5L	7	1	Over
07/06	vs NYY	8-4W	9	3	Over
07/05	vs NYY	3-2W	3	2	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/24	@ CIN	1-4L	3	0	Under
07/23	@ STL	2-6L	9	1	Over
07/22	@ STL	5-9L	9	4	Over
07/22	@ STL	3-2W	6	1	Under
07/15	vs SD	0-4L	5	0	Under
07/14	vs SD	6-1W	9	3	Under
07/13	vs ARI	0-1L	5	0	Under
07/12	vs ARI	5-7L	8	1	Over
07/11	vs ARI	6-2W	11	1	Over
07/10	vs ARI	5-4W	8	2	Over
07/09	@ PHI	6-0W	9	4	Under
07/08	@ PHI	5-1W	6	2	Under
07/07	@ PHI	6-8L	8	3	Over
07/06	@ SF	2-4L	8	0	Under
07/05	@ SF	3-1W	10	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	7.1	9.3	0.273	0.416	0.441	0.857	0.342	0.025
#2 Elly De La Cruz	7.5	9.7	0.257	0.480	0.397	0.877	0.351	0.043
#3 Jeimer Candelario	6.9	9.1	0.239	0.454	0.322	0.776	0.319	0.048
#4 Spencer Steer	6.7	8.9	0.238	0.429	0.374	0.803	0.325	0.042
#5 Tyler Stephenson	6.1	8.2	0.229	0.430	0.337	0.767	0.314	0.043
#6 Austin Slater	4.8	6.5	0.192	0.231	0.385	0.615	0.255	0.010
#7 Noelvi Marte	5.2	6.8	0.182	0.286	0.234	0.519	0.221	0.026
#8 Rece Hinds	4.8	6.4	0.400	1.100	0.467	1.567	0.630	0.167
#9 Stuart Fairchild	4.1	5.4	0.229	0.369	0.335	0.704	0.291	0.034

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarred Kelenic	9.0	11.5	0.257	0.433	0.331	0.764	0.314	0.039
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.3	11.1	0.311	0.598	0.438	1.036	0.411	0.077
#4 Matt Olson	9.3	12.3	0.222	0.393	0.341	0.734	0.301	0.036
#5 Travis d’Arnaud	7.5	9.9	0.251	0.435	0.346	0.780	0.320	0.037
#6 Adam Duvall	7.2	9.5	0.182	0.316	0.271	0.587	0.246	0.032
#7 Eddie Rosario	6.1	8.0	0.189	0.343	0.244	0.587	0.246	0.035
#8 Orlando Arcia	5.5	7.0	0.212	0.331	0.264	0.595	0.250	0.021
#9 Zack Short	4.5	6.2	0.119	0.149	0.328	0.478	0.206	0.000

Reds Notable Injuries

Carson Spiers OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 5.4
TJ Friedl OUT (OF): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.354 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 2.4
Nick Martini OUT (OF): Avg: 0.212 SLG:0.37 Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 2.3
Luke Maile OUT (C): Avg: 0.176 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Brent Suter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 1.2

Braves Notable Injuries

Max Fried OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/13/24. Impact: 8.8
Ozzie Albies OUT (2B): Avg: 0.254 SLG:0.402 Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 2.4