Reds vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the heat of the action as the Cincinnati Reds, boasting a decent 53W-58L record, march into the sizzling atmosphere of LoanDepot Park to face the underdog Miami Marlins, who are sitting at a cooler 42W-70L this season. The clash is set to erupt today at 06:40 PM EST, where the Reds aim to claw back from a 9-game deficit in the National League, while the Marlins look to make a splash despite trailing by 24 games. With an intriguing over/under of 4.5 and betting odds tipping in favor of the Reds at -142, this game is anything but predictable, especially after the Marlins’ recent shutout victory and the Reds’ stumble in their last outing. Under partly cloudy skies, with a brisk southern breeze nudging the mercury to a humid 86.1°, it’s the perfect storm for a baseball battle. So, whether you’re a fan of the hunt or ready to swim with the Marlins, today’s game is set to reel you into a sea of excitement!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 05, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Partly Cloudy with winds from the S at 17.9 mph. Temperature is at 86.1° with 70% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-142	+119	8.5	0.0/0.0
Recent	-140	+117	8.0	0.0/0.0
Difference	+2	-2	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

136W-154L

58.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

140W-154L

41.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/12/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+6.5
07/12/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+6.5
07/13/24	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+11.5
07/13/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	10	Over	+11.5
07/14/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+0.5
07/14/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Over	+0.5
05/12/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+6.5
05/12/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+6.5
05/13/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+6.5
05/13/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+6.5
05/14/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-0.5
05/14/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-0.5
08/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+2.5
08/07/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+2.5
08/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+0.5
08/08/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Over	+0.5
08/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+4.5
08/09/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+4.5

Reds Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Nick Martinez

ERA 3.692 | IP 78.0 | 5.0W-5.0L | KO 62.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-02-24	vsSF	3-0L	1.0	2	1	2	Under
07-30-24	vsCHC	3-6W	4.0	4	0	3	Over
07-26-24	@TB	3-2W	2.0	1	0	2	Under
07-12-24	vsMIA	4-7W	3.0	3	0	2	Over
07-09-24	vsCOL	6-12W	1.3	1	0	3	Over
07-07-24	vsDET	5-1L	2.0	3	1	2	Under
07-04-24	@NYY	8-4W	2.0	2	2	0	Over
07-02-24	@NYY	5-4W	1.3	1	0	0	Over
06-28-24	@STL	0-1L	2.0	2	0	0	Under
06-23-24	vsBOS	7-4L	1.0	1	0	3	Over

Roddery Munoz

ERA 5.455 | IP 66.0 | 2.0W-5.0L | KO 57.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-31-24	@TB	6-2W	5.0	4	2	7	Push
07-25-24	vsBAL	7-6L	5.0	6	6	3	Over
07-20-24	vsNYM	1-0L	5.0	3	1	5	Under
07-11-24	@HOU	3-6L	6.7	5	6	2	Over
07-05-24	vsCWS	3-2L	4.0	4	2	2	Under
06-29-24	@PHI	3-2W	4.7	5	2	4	Under
06-24-24	@KC	1-4L	6.0	6	4	4	Under
06-18-24	vsSTL	8-9W	4.0	8	7	3	Over
06-13-24	@NYM	2-3L	6.0	1	0	5	Under
06-08-24	vsCLE	8-0L	4.0	5	4	3	Push

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/06	@ SF	2-8L	4	2	Over
08/05	@ SF	6-4W	8	4	Over
08/04	@ SF	0-3L	0	0	Under
08/02	@ CHC	4-13L	6	1	Over
08/01	@ CHC	6-3W	12	1	Over
07/31	@ CHC	7-1W	9	3	Push
07/30	vs TB	1-1L	6	0	Under
07/29	vs TB	0-4L	4	0	Under
07/28	vs TB	3-2W	3	0	Under
07/26	vs ATL	9-4W	12	2	Over
07/24	vs ATL	4-1W	9	1	Under
07/23	vs WAS	2-5L	5	2	Under
07/22	vs WAS	4-5L	7	1	Over
07/21	vs WAS	5-7L	7	0	Over
07/15	@ MIA	10-6W	10	6	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/06	vs ATL	7-0W	9	1	Under
08/05	vs ATL	4-3W	10	1	Under
08/04	vs ATL	3-5L	8	2	Push
08/03	vs ATL	2-4L	6	0	Under
08/02	vs TB	6-2W	8	2	Push
08/01	vs TB	3-9L	10	2	Over
07/30	vs MIL	2-6L	7	1	Push
07/29	vs MIL	7-3W	11	1	Over
07/28	vs MIL	6-2W	11	3	Push
07/27	@ BAL	6-7L	9	1	Over
07/26	@ BAL	6-3W	9	1	Over
07/25	@ BAL	6-3W	10	1	Over
07/24	@ NYM	4-6L	9	2	Over
07/23	@ NYM	4-2W	9	2	Under
07/22	@ NYM	0-1L	4	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	9.2	12.1	0.258	0.399	0.427	0.826	0.331	0.025
#2 Elly De La Cruz	12.8	16.5	0.254	0.467	0.386	0.853	0.343	0.042
#3 Spencer Steer	8.9	11.9	0.233	0.420	0.357	0.777	0.316	0.037
#4 TJ Friedl	9.6	12.9	0.207	0.347	0.355	0.702	0.289	0.041
#5 Tyler Stephenson	8.0	10.7	0.233	0.434	0.351	0.785	0.320	0.045
#6 Jeimer Candelario	8.4	11.1	0.229	0.445	0.313	0.757	0.312	0.049
#7 Jake Fraley	8.7	11.0	0.274	0.378	0.352	0.730	0.301	0.013
#8 Noelvi Marte	6.1	8.1	0.170	0.270	0.240	0.510	0.218	0.020
#9 Ty France	5.5	7.2	0.219	0.342	0.345	0.687	0.284	0.026

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	8.7	10.9	0.374	0.467	0.533	1.000	0.390	0.009
#2 Jake Burger	7.9	10.3	0.237	0.426	0.308	0.734	0.303	0.050
#3 Jesus Sanchez	7.9	10.2	0.241	0.409	0.311	0.720	0.298	0.037
#4 Jonah Bride	5.7	7.7	0.226	0.434	0.340	0.774	0.316	0.057
#5 Kyle Stowers	6.5	8.6	0.220	0.360	0.240	0.600	0.254	0.020
#6 Otto Lopez	6.1	7.7	0.227	0.306	0.273	0.579	0.244	0.014
#7 Nick Gordon	5.8	7.5	0.224	0.367	0.270	0.637	0.266	0.031
#8 Emmanuel Rivera	5.4	7.0	0.217	0.278	0.344	0.622	0.259	0.006
#9 Nick Fortes	5.0	6.3	0.211	0.278	0.244	0.522	0.221	0.010

Reds Notable Injuries

Austin Wynns OUT (C): Avg: 0.412 SLG:0.647 Last game: 07/30/24. Impact: 2.0
Will Benson OUT (OF): Avg: 0.196 SLG:0.399 Last game: 08/05/24. Impact: 2.3
Nick Martini OUT (OF): Avg: 0.212 SLG:0.37 Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 2.3
Brent Suter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 1.2