Reds vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB action as the Cincinnati Reds, sporting a 54-58 record, roll into the sunny, albeit slightly damp, climes of LoanDepot Park to face the underdog Miami Marlins, who are trying to find their fins with a 42-71 tally. It’s a showdown set for 06:40 PM EST that promises more twists than a pretzel. With the Reds riding the wave of a recent victory and the Marlins looking to flip the script from their last splash, the stakes are high and the betting lines are buzzing. Will the Reds continue their charge or will the Marlins stage a comeback in their own aquarium? It’s a game of inches and miles, and as the first pitch nears, remember – in this aquatic battle, it’s all about seeing who can truly swim upstream.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 06, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Light rain shower with winds from the SW at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 89.4° with 61% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-140	+117	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-136	+114	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+4	-3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

137W-154L

57.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

140W-155L

42.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/12/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+3.0
07/12/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+3.0
07/13/24	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+8.0
07/13/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	10	Over	+8.0
07/14/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-3.0
07/14/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-3.0
08/05/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	10	Over	+5.0
08/05/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+5.0
05/12/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+3.0
05/12/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+3.0
05/13/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+3.0
05/13/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+3.0
05/14/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-4.0
05/14/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-4.0
08/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.0
08/07/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Under	-1.0
08/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-3.0
08/08/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-3.0
08/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+1.0
08/09/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+1.0

Reds Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Nick Lodolo

ERA 3.996 | IP 92.3 | 8.0W-4.0L | KO 96.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-31-24	vsCHC	13-4L	5.7	11	8	6	Over
07-26-24	@TB	3-2W	6.7	5	2	5	Under
07-20-24	@WAS	4-5L	6.3	6	4	8	Over
07-09-24	vsCOL	6-12W	3.7	5	4	4	Over
06-23-24	vsBOS	7-4L	4.7	5	4	3	Over
06-18-24	@PIT	2-1W	7.0	4	1	8	Under
06-12-24	vsCLE	2-4W	6.0	7	2	6	Under
06-07-24	vsCHC	2-3W	6.0	4	1	7	Under
06-02-24	@CHC	5-2W	6.0	7	2	3	Under
05-27-24	vsSTL	1-3W	5.3	5	1	3	Under

Max Meyer

ERA 3.808 | IP 26.0 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 24.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-01-24	@ATL	2-4L	5.0	7	4	7	Under
07-27-24	@MIL	7-3W	4.0	4	3	3	Over
04-13-24	vsATL	1-5W	6.0	6	1	7	Under
04-07-24	@STL	10-3W	6.0	3	1	3	Over
04-01-24	vsLAA	7-4L	5.0	2	2	4	Over
07-23-22	vsPIT	7-4L	0.7	0	0	1	Over
07-16-22	vsPHI	7-4L	5.3	7	5	5	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/07	vs MIA	10-3W	15	4	Over
08/06	@ SF	2-8L	4	2	Over
08/05	@ SF	6-4W	8	4	Over
08/04	@ SF	0-3L	0	0	Under
08/02	@ CHC	4-13L	6	1	Over
08/01	@ CHC	6-3W	12	1	Over
07/31	@ CHC	7-1W	9	3	Push
07/30	vs TB	1-1L	6	0	Under
07/29	vs TB	0-4L	4	0	Under
07/28	vs TB	3-2W	3	0	Under
07/26	vs ATL	9-4W	12	2	Over
07/24	vs ATL	4-1W	9	1	Under
07/23	vs WAS	2-5L	5	2	Under
07/22	vs WAS	4-5L	7	1	Over
07/21	vs WAS	5-7L	7	0	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/07	@ CIN	3-10L	11	1	Over
08/06	vs ATL	7-0W	9	1	Under
08/05	vs ATL	4-3W	10	1	Under
08/04	vs ATL	3-5L	8	2	Push
08/03	vs ATL	2-4L	6	0	Under
08/02	vs TB	6-2W	8	2	Push
08/01	vs TB	3-9L	10	2	Over
07/30	vs MIL	2-6L	7	1	Push
07/29	vs MIL	7-3W	11	1	Over
07/28	vs MIL	6-2W	11	3	Push
07/27	@ BAL	6-7L	9	1	Over
07/26	@ BAL	6-3W	9	1	Over
07/25	@ BAL	6-3W	10	1	Over
07/24	@ NYM	4-6L	9	2	Over
07/23	@ NYM	4-2W	9	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	7.7	10.1	0.260	0.399	0.429	0.828	0.331	0.025
#2 Elly De La Cruz	10.2	13.1	0.261	0.490	0.391	0.882	0.354	0.046
#3 Spencer Steer	8.0	10.6	0.230	0.416	0.356	0.772	0.314	0.037
#4 TJ Friedl	8.0	10.8	0.210	0.347	0.363	0.710	0.292	0.040
#5 Tyler Stephenson	6.7	9.0	0.232	0.430	0.348	0.778	0.318	0.044
#6 Jeimer Candelario	7.2	9.5	0.229	0.441	0.311	0.753	0.310	0.048
#7 Ty France	5.7	7.5	0.225	0.359	0.349	0.708	0.292	0.029
#8 Jake Fraley	6.3	8.0	0.277	0.383	0.353	0.736	0.303	0.013
#9 Noelvi Marte	5.5	7.3	0.171	0.295	0.238	0.533	0.227	0.029

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	8.6	10.8	0.375	0.464	0.527	0.991	0.388	0.009
#2 Jake Burger	8.1	10.6	0.236	0.423	0.306	0.729	0.301	0.050
#3 Jonah Bride	6.0	8.0	0.246	0.439	0.368	0.807	0.328	0.053
#4 Jesus Sanchez	6.3	8.1	0.241	0.416	0.310	0.726	0.300	0.039
#5 Emmanuel Rivera	6.7	8.7	0.219	0.279	0.350	0.628	0.261	0.005
#6 Otto Lopez	6.3	8.0	0.232	0.309	0.277	0.586	0.247	0.014
#7 Cristian Pache	5.8	7.6	0.211	0.275	0.339	0.615	0.255	0.000
#8 David Hensley	4.9	6.9	0.167	0.167	0.500	0.667	0.267	0.000
#9 Nick Fortes	5.1	6.4	0.213	0.280	0.251	0.531	0.225	0.009

Reds Notable Injuries

Austin Wynns OUT (C): Avg: 0.412 SLG:0.647 Last game: 07/30/24. Impact: 2.0
Will Benson OUT (OF): Avg: 0.196 SLG:0.399 Last game: 08/05/24. Impact: 2.3
Nick Martini OUT (OF): Avg: 0.212 SLG:0.37 Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 2.3
Brent Suter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 1.2