Reds vs Brewers Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the Cincinnati Reds, trying to claw their way up the standings, roll into American Family Field to challenge the top-dog Milwaukee Brewers this afternoon at 2:10 PM EST. With the Reds looking to shake off a narrow defeat and the Brewers aiming to keep their winning streak cooking after yesterday’s tight victory, today’s game is set to be a scorcher. The stakes are sky-high with the Brewers defending their throne at the pinnacle of the National League, and the Reds hustling hard, 11.5 games adrift. Vegas has the line buzzing with an 8.5 over/under, hinting at some serious action on the diamond. Under the sunny skies and a brisk breeze in Milwaukee, both teams will battle it out in what promises to be a nail-biter. So, as the Reds try to brew up a storm against Milwaukee, let’s see if they can serve up a victory or if the Brewers will continue to ferment their success!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 11, 2024 02:10PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Sunny with winds from the WNW at 13.2 mph. Temperature is at 70.3° with 54% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+109	-131	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+4	-6	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

139W-157L

47.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

170W-123L

52.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	8	Over	+9.5
04/08/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	10	Over	+9.5
04/09/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	9	Over	+5.5
04/09/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+5.5
04/10/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+0.5
04/10/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Over	+0.5
06/14/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+2.5
06/14/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+2.5
06/15/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-4.5
06/15/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-4.5
06/16/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+0.5
06/16/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+0.5
08/09/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+2.5
08/09/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	8	Over	+2.5
08/10/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-7.5
08/10/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-7.5
06/02/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+0.5
06/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+0.5
06/03/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	10	Over	+9.5
06/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+9.5
06/04/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-2.5
06/04/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-2.5
06/05/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-6.5
06/05/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-6.5
07/07/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+1.5
07/07/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+1.5
07/08/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+4.5
07/08/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+4.5
07/09/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-7.5
07/09/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-7.5
07/14/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-7.5
07/14/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-7.5
07/15/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-5.5
07/15/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-5.5
07/16/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-1.5
07/16/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-1.5
07/24/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-3.5
07/24/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-3.5
07/25/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-1.5
07/25/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-1.5
07/26/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-5.5
07/26/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-5.5

Reds Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Nick Lodolo

ERA 3.936 | IP 98.3 | 9.0W-4.0L | KO 103.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-06-24	@MIA	8-2W	6.0	2	2	7	Over
07-31-24	vsCHC	13-4L	5.7	11	8	6	Over
07-26-24	@TB	3-2W	6.7	5	2	5	Under
07-20-24	@WAS	4-5L	6.3	6	4	8	Over
07-09-24	vsCOL	6-12W	3.7	5	4	4	Over
06-23-24	vsBOS	7-4L	4.7	5	4	3	Over
06-18-24	@PIT	2-1W	7.0	4	1	8	Under
06-12-24	vsCLE	2-4W	6.0	7	2	6	Under
06-07-24	vsCHC	2-3W	6.0	4	1	7	Under
06-02-24	@CHC	5-2W	6.0	7	2	3	Under

DL Hall

ERA 7.714 | IP 16.3 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 13.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	@STL	12-5W	3.7	5	4	3	Over
04-13-24	@BAL	11-5W	3.3	8	5	4	Over
04-06-24	vsSEA	5-3L	5.3	8	3	5	Push
03-30-24	@NYM	7-6W	4.0	6	2	1	Over
10-01-23	@BOS	6-1L	1.0	1	0	3	Under
09-28-23	@BOS	0-2W	1.7	0	0	1	Under
09-24-23	@CLE	5-1L	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-22-23	@CLE	8-9W	0.7	2	0	0	Over
09-21-23	@CLE	2-5W	1.3	0	0	1	Under
09-19-23	@HOU	9-5L	0.7	0	1	1	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/12	vs MIL	0-1L	3	0	Under
08/11	vs MIL	3-8L	9	2	Over
08/10	vs MIA	10-4W	11	1	Over
08/09	vs MIA	4-6L	10	1	Over
08/08	vs MIA	8-2W	13	2	Over
08/07	vs MIA	10-3W	15	4	Over
08/06	@ SF	2-8L	4	2	Over
08/05	@ SF	6-4W	8	4	Over
08/04	@ SF	0-3L	0	0	Under
08/02	@ CHC	4-13L	6	1	Over
08/01	@ CHC	6-3W	12	1	Over
07/31	@ CHC	7-1W	9	3	Push
07/30	vs TB	1-1L	6	0	Under
07/29	vs TB	0-4L	4	0	Under
07/28	vs TB	3-2W	3	0	Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/12	@ CIN	1-0W	2	1	Under
08/11	@ CIN	8-3W	7	2	Over
08/10	vs ATL	16-7W	20	6	Over
08/09	vs ATL	8-5W	16	0	Over
08/08	vs ATL	10-0W	16	2	Over
08/06	vs WAS	3-4L	7	1	Under
08/05	vs WAS	4-6L	7	1	Over
08/04	vs WAS	8-3W	11	1	Over
08/02	@ ATL	2-6L	8	0	Push
08/01	@ ATL	1-5L	6	0	Under
07/31	@ ATL	8-3W	11	3	Over
07/30	@ MIA	6-2W	9	2	Push
07/29	@ MIA	3-7L	8	1	Over
07/28	@ MIA	2-6L	7	1	Push
07/26	vs CHC	3-2W	10	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	9.2	12.2	0.249	0.383	0.417	0.801	0.322	0.024
#2 Elly De La Cruz	10.0	12.8	0.264	0.486	0.392	0.878	0.353	0.044
#3 Tyler Stephenson	7.9	10.5	0.235	0.439	0.352	0.790	0.322	0.045
#4 Spencer Steer	8.7	11.6	0.234	0.420	0.360	0.780	0.317	0.038
#5 Stuart Fairchild	7.1	9.4	0.222	0.384	0.323	0.707	0.292	0.040
#6 Ty France	7.7	10.1	0.230	0.369	0.350	0.719	0.296	0.030
#7 Noelvi Marte	6.5	8.5	0.183	0.310	0.238	0.548	0.232	0.024
#8 TJ Friedl	6.4	8.6	0.215	0.382	0.361	0.743	0.304	0.049
#9 Santiago Espinal	5.7	7.3	0.242	0.381	0.305	0.686	0.285	0.036

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jackson Chourio	7.2	9.4	0.271	0.434	0.340	0.774	0.318	0.040
#2 Rhys Hoskins	8.7	11.7	0.228	0.450	0.356	0.806	0.327	0.062
#3 Gary Sanchez	7.6	10.1	0.237	0.414	0.349	0.763	0.313	0.047
#4 William Contreras	8.6	11.3	0.286	0.444	0.401	0.845	0.341	0.027
#5 Willy Adames	7.5	10.0	0.244	0.440	0.369	0.809	0.327	0.046
#6 Blake Perkins	6.6	8.5	0.263	0.370	0.377	0.747	0.305	0.021
#7 Joey Ortiz	6.2	8.2	0.248	0.398	0.401	0.799	0.322	0.024
#8 Sal Frelick	5.3	6.7	0.269	0.342	0.383	0.725	0.297	0.006
#9 Andruw Monasterio	5.2	6.9	0.209	0.286	0.385	0.670	0.274	0.011

Reds Notable Injuries

Austin Wynns OUT (C): Avg: 0.412 SLG:0.647 Last game: 07/30/24. Impact: 2.0
Brent Suter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 1.2

Brewers Notable Injuries

Christian Yelich OUT (OF): Avg: 0.316 SLG:0.504 Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 3.3
Bryan Hudson OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.0
Trevor Megill OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.2
Rob Zastryzny OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/26/24. Impact: 0.8