Reds vs Nationals Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB action as the Cincinnati Reds take a swing at redemption against the Washington Nationals today at Nationals Park! With both teams fighting to climb out of the middle of the pack in the National League, this showdown at 01:35 PM EST is more than just a game; it’s a battle for conference respect. The Reds, just shy of the .500 mark, are looking to steal the spotlight back after yesterday’s narrow defeat, while the Nationals aim to keep their winning momentum from the same game. With the odds-makers setting the stakes with an over/under of 9, and the sun shining down on a perfect 86-degree day, it’s anyone’s game. So, as the Reds try to paint the Nationals red in their own yard, let’s see if they can truly ‘capture the flag’ in this capital showdown!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 21, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NNW at 3.4 mph. Temperature is at 86.0° with 46% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+100	-120	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-104	-116	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-204	+4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

133W-151L

51.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

114W-171L

49.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/28/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+1.0
03/28/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+1.0
03/30/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+4.0
03/30/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+4.0
03/31/24	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+2.0
03/31/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+2.0
07/19/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+4.0
07/19/24	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+4.0
07/20/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Push	-0.0
07/20/24	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Push	-0.0
07/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-4.0
07/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-4.0
07/04/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+3.0
07/04/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+3.0
07/05/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+2.0
07/05/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+2.0
07/06/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Push	-0.0
07/06/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Push	-0.0
08/04/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Push	-0.0
08/04/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Push	-0.0
08/05/23	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+1.0
08/05/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+1.0
08/06/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Push	-0.0
08/06/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Push	-0.0

Reds Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Andrew Abbott

ERA 3.386 | IP 106.3 | 9.0W-6.0L | KO 86.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-13-24	vsMIA	6-10W	3.3	7	5	4	Over
07-08-24	vsCOL	0-6W	7.0	3	0	8	Under
07-03-24	@NYY	3-2W	6.3	3	1	2	Under
06-27-24	@STL	11-4W	5.0	2	2	2	Over
06-21-24	vsBOS	2-5W	5.7	4	2	10	Under
06-15-24	@MIL	1-3L	5.0	4	3	3	Under
06-08-24	vsCHC	3-4W	5.0	5	1	5	Under
06-03-24	@COL	13-3W	6.0	7	3	6	Over
05-28-24	vsSTL	7-1L	6.0	7	6	3	Under
05-21-24	vsSD	0-2W	7.0	4	0	2	Under

Jake Irvin

ERA 3.134 | IP 112.0 | 7.0W-7.0L | KO 96.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-09-24	@NYM	5-7L	6.0	9	6	2	Over
07-04-24	vsNYM	0-1W	8.0	1	0	8	Under
06-29-24	@TB	8-1W	6.0	1	1	5	Push
06-23-24	@COL	2-1W	6.0	3	1	10	Under
06-18-24	vsARI	5-0L	5.0	8	4	2	Under
06-12-24	@DET	7-5W	6.0	6	1	5	Over
06-07-24	vsATL	1-2W	6.0	4	0	4	Under
06-02-24	@CLE	5-2W	6.0	5	2	6	Under
05-28-24	@ATL	0-2L	6.0	2	0	10	Under
05-22-24	vsMIN	3-2L	6.3	5	2	6	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/22	vs WAS	4-5L	7	1	Push
07/21	vs WAS	5-7L	7	0	Over
07/15	@ MIA	10-6W	10	6	Over
07/14	@ MIA	7-4W	11	3	Over
07/13	@ COL	8-1W	14	3	Push
07/12	@ COL	5-6L	12	2	Over
07/11	@ COL	12-6W	13	4	Over
07/10	@ COL	6-0W	8	1	Under
07/09	@ DET	1-5L	4	0	Under
07/08	@ DET	3-5L	6	1	Under
07/07	@ DET	4-5L	7	1	Push
07/06	vs NYY	8-4W	9	3	Over
07/05	vs NYY	3-2W	3	2	Under
07/04	vs NYY	5-4W	5	2	Push
07/02	vs STL	0-2L	2	0	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/22	@ CIN	5-4W	9	1	Push
07/21	@ CIN	7-5W	7	2	Over
07/15	vs MIL	6-5W	12	2	Over
07/14	vs MIL	5-2W	12	1	Under
07/13	vs NYM	0-7L	6	0	Under
07/12	vs NYM	2-6L	5	0	Under
07/11	vs NYM	5-7L	6	2	Over
07/10	@ STL	0-6L	8	0	Under
07/09	@ STL	3-8L	11	0	Over
07/08	@ STL	14-6W	15	3	Over
07/07	@ STL	6-7L	14	1	Over
07/06	@ NYM	1-0W	5	1	Under
07/05	@ NYM	7-5W	9	2	Over
07/04	@ NYM	2-7L	6	0	Push
07/03	@ NYM	7-9L	11	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	8.7	11.5	0.274	0.420	0.446	0.866	0.345	0.025
#2 Elly De La Cruz	10.4	13.4	0.254	0.473	0.391	0.863	0.346	0.044
#3 Jeimer Candelario	9.5	12.5	0.239	0.456	0.324	0.780	0.320	0.049
#4 Spencer Steer	8.3	11.1	0.244	0.439	0.382	0.822	0.332	0.042
#5 Jake Fraley	9.2	11.5	0.276	0.355	0.360	0.714	0.294	0.005
#6 Noelvi Marte	6.3	8.3	0.174	0.246	0.232	0.478	0.206	0.014
#7 Stuart Fairchild	5.5	7.2	0.225	0.347	0.329	0.676	0.280	0.029
#8 Will Benson	7.2	9.6	0.191	0.383	0.316	0.699	0.287	0.039
#9 Austin Wynns	4.8	6.1	0.462	0.769	0.462	1.231	0.514	0.000

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	8.2	10.7	0.267	0.479	0.382	0.861	0.348	0.042
#2 Lane Thomas	10.0	13.0	0.249	0.403	0.355	0.758	0.310	0.029
#3 Juan Yepez	8.1	10.5	0.357	0.571	0.476	1.048	0.416	0.024
#4 Harold Ramirez	7.3	9.2	0.270	0.330	0.295	0.625	0.262	0.010
#5 Keibert Ruiz	7.2	9.3	0.223	0.343	0.275	0.618	0.259	0.028
#6 Ildemaro Vargas	6.8	8.8	0.259	0.356	0.351	0.707	0.292	0.006
#7 James Wood	5.9	7.8	0.228	0.298	0.351	0.649	0.269	0.018
#8 Trey Lipscomb	5.4	6.8	0.221	0.255	0.309	0.564	0.238	0.007
#9 Jacob Young	5.6	7.2	0.259	0.321	0.354	0.675	0.281	0.004

Reds Notable Injuries

Carson Spiers OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 5.4
TJ Friedl OUT (OF): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.354 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 2.4
Nick Martini OUT (OF): Avg: 0.212 SLG:0.37 Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 2.3
Luke Maile OUT (C): Avg: 0.176 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Brent Suter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 1.2