Guardians vs Twins Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 7th 2024

Hold onto your baseball caps, folks! The red-hot Cleveland Guardians, boasting a stellar 7-2 record, are storming into Target Field today, ready to lock horns with the Minnesota Twins, who are a tad shaky at 3-4. The first pitch is due to sizzle across the plate at 02:10 PM EST, so you better clear your schedule! With the Guardians breathing down the necks of the American League leaders and the Twins trailing by three games, it’s all to play for. The bookies have set the over/under at a tantalizing 8.0, giving the Guardians a line of 108, while the Twins are sitting at -130. Both teams are fresh off a face-off where the Guardians emerged victorious with a 3-1 win. The weather gods seem to be in a gloomy mood with an overcast sky, winds blowing from the ESE at 21.7 mph, and the mercury dipping to 44.1°. As the humidity sits at 62%, the ball might just be a little slippery out there. So, will the Guardians protect their stronghold, or will the Twins manage to split the difference? Stay tuned, because this game could be a real ‘twin-teresting’ guardian of the American League!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 07, 2024 02:10PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Overcast with winds from the ESE at 21.7 mph. Temperature is at 44.1° with 62% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CLE ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+108	-130	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+107	-128	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-1	+2	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

125W-124L

48.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

128W-110L

51.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/04/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-2.0
04/04/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.0
04/06/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-4.0
04/06/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.0
05/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-6.0
05/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-6.0
05/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-1.0
05/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.0
05/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-6.0
05/07/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-6.0
06/01/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+5.0
06/01/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+5.0
06/02/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-7.0
06/02/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-7.0
06/03/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-2.0
06/03/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.0
06/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-5.0
06/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.0
08/28/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+8.0
08/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	10	Over	+8.0
08/29/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-2.0
08/29/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.0
08/30/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-1.0
08/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.0
09/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	20	Over	+18.0
09/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+18.0
09/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+3.0
09/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Over	+3.0
09/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.0
09/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-5.0

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Triston McKenzie

ERA 5.063 | IP 16 | 0W-3L | KO 16

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-01-24	@SEA	4-5L	3.3	4	5	2	Over
09-30-23	@DET	0-8L	4.3	3	1	1	Over
09-24-23	vsBAL	5-1L	1.7	1	3	0	Under
06-10-23	vsHOU	6-4L	5.0	7	5	5	Over
06-04-23	@MIN	2-1W	5.0	1	0	10	Under
10-03-22	@KC	2-1W	5.0	4	1	4	Under
09-28-22	@TB	2-1W	6.0	3	1	6	Under
09-21-22	@CWS	2-1W	8.0	6	2	13	Under
09-16-22	@MIN	2-1W	7.0	7	3	8	Under
09-10-22	@MIN	2-1W	7.0	6	0	5	Under

Bailey Ober

ERA 3.43 | IP 144 | 8W-6L | KO 146

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-31-24	@KC	0-11L	1.3	9	8	1	Over
10-01-23	@COL	2-3L	6.7	2	1	9	Under
09-26-23	vsOAK	3-11W	5.0	2	0	8	Over
09-20-23	@CIN	5-3W	5.0	3	2	3	Over
09-15-23	@CWS	10-2W	5.0	5	2	6	Over
08-27-23	vsTEX	6-7W	4.0	5	5	4	Over
08-22-23	@MIL	3-7L	5.0	2	2	3	Over
08-15-23	vsDET	3-5W	5.0	4	2	6	Over
08-09-23	@DET	5-9L	5.0	11	5	9	Over
08-04-23	vsARI	2-3W	5.0	6	2	3	Under

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/08	vs MIN	3-1W	7	1	Under
04/06	vs MIN	4-2W	7	0	Under
04/05	vs SEA	8-0W	11	0	Over
04/04	vs SEA	5-2W	12	1	Under
04/03	vs SEA	4-5L	6	2	Over
04/02	vs OAK	3-4L	7	0	Under
04/01	vs OAK	12-3W	15	1	Over
03/31	vs OAK	6-4W	9	1	Over
03/30	vs OAK	8-0W	11	0	Over
10/03	vs DET	2-5L	5	1	Under
10/02	vs DET	0-8L	8	0	Over
10/01	vs DET	7-5W	13	2	Over
09/29	@ CIN	4-3W	11	0	Under
09/28	@ CIN	7-11L	9	3	Over
09/26	@ BAL	1-5L	5	0	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/08	@ CLE	1-3L	2	0	Under
04/06	@ CLE	2-4L	7	1	Under
04/05	vs MIL	7-3W	11	1	Over
04/04	vs MIL	2-3L	3	0	Under
04/02	vs KC	0-11L	4	0	Over
04/01	vs KC	5-1W	7	0	Under
03/30	vs KC	4-1W	10	1	Under
10/03	vs COL	2-2L	9	0	Under
10/02	vs COL	14-6W	12	4	Over
10/01	vs COL	7-6W	13	3	Over
09/30	@ OAK	1-2L	4	0	Under
09/29	@ OAK	6-4W	13	2	Over
09/28	@ OAK	11-3W	8	2	Over
09/26	@ LAA	9-3W	10	3	Over
09/25	@ LAA	0-1L	5	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	7.1	9.1	0.27	0.372	38.5%	75.7%	0.8%
#2 Andres Gimenez	7.3	9.4	0.248	0.394	34.2%	73.6%	2.7%
#3 Jose Ramirez	7.6	9.9	0.28	0.473	40.2%	87.5%	4.0%
#4 Josh Naylor	7.2	9.4	0.31	0.493	39.1%	88.4%	3.8%
#5 Tyler Freeman	6.2	8.1	0.233	0.36	30.7%	66.7%	2.7%
#6 Will Brennan	5.3	6.6	0.269	0.36	31.8%	67.8%	1.2%
#7 Ramon Laureano	6.1	7.9	0.224	0.371	34.1%	71.2%	2.5%
#8 Bo Naylor	5.5	7.4	0.237	0.47	39.4%	86.4%	5.6%
#9 Brayan Rocchio	4.7	6.1	0.247	0.321	29.6%	61.7%	0.0%

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Edouard Julien	7.4	9.8	0.257	0.442	45.4%	89.6%	4.5%
#2 Carlos Correa	7.0	9.2	0.23	0.4	35.1%	75.0%	3.5%
#3 Alex Kirilloff	6.2	8.1	0.271	0.444	39.7%	84.1%	4.0%
#4 Byron Buxton	7.7	10.3	0.21	0.443	34.0%	78.3%	5.7%
#5 Max Kepler	6.1	8.1	0.263	0.488	37.6%	86.4%	5.5%
#6 Carlos Santana	5.8	7.8	0.243	0.435	35.9%	79.4%	4.2%
#7 Matt Wallner	5.9	8.0	0.249	0.507	44.1%	94.8%	6.6%
#8 Christian Vazquez	4.7	6.1	0.225	0.321	30.6%	62.7%	1.9%
#9 Willi Castro	4.9	6.3	0.258	0.413	38.8%	80.1%	2.5%