White Sox vs Phillies Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 21st 2024

Get ready to slide into today’s MLB showdown as the struggling Chicago White Sox, with a meager 3 wins under their belts, roll into Citizens Bank Park to face the high-flying Philadelphia Phillies, who’ve racked up a solid 13 victories this season. It’s an early bird special with the first pitch at 01:35 PM EST, and the stakes are as contrasting as their records. The Sox are looking to claw back from a hefty 11.5-game deficit in the AL, while the Phillies aim to tighten their grip, just 2 games shy in the NL. With an over/under tantalizingly set at 7.5 and the betting lines tipping heavily in favor of the home team, this game is brewing up more tension than today’s overcast skies in Philly. Fresh off a previous encounter where the Phillies bested the Sox, today’s matchup is not just about the scores but pride. So, as the wind whips lightly across the field, remember, in the city of brotherly love, it’s always a good day for a White-out or a Phil-in victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 21, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Weather: Overcast with winds from the W at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 48.0° with 39% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CWS ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+240	-300	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+240	-300	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

114W-133L

29.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

149W-103L

70.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/19/24	Chicago White Sox CWS	0	Under	-0.5
04/19/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Under	-0.5
04/20/24	Chicago White Sox CWS	5	Over	+6.5
04/20/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+6.5
04/18/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Under	-4.5
04/18/23	Chicago White Sox CWS	3	Under	-4.5
04/18/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+3.5
04/18/23	Chicago White Sox CWS	4	Over	+3.5
04/19/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-0.5
04/19/23	Chicago White Sox CWS	2	Under	-0.5

White Sox Vs Over/Under

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Michael Soroka

ERA 7.5 | IP 24.0 | 0.0W-3.0L | KO 12.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-15-24	vsKC	2-0L	5.0	3	2	5	Under
04-20-24	@PHI	5-9L	4.7	6	5	2	Over
04-14-24	vsCIN	11-4L	4.7	5	5	4	Over
04-09-24	@CLE	7-5W	3.7	4	4	4	Over
04-04-24	@KC	1-10L	6.0	6	2	2	Over
03-30-24	vsDET	7-6L	5.0	7	4	0	Over
09-05-23	@STL	10-6L	3.0	4	5	6	Over
07-21-23	@MIL	6-4L	6.0	6	4	4	Over
07-16-23	@CWS	8-1W	3.0	3	2	3	Over
07-05-23	@CLE	8-1L	4.7	5	0	4	Over
06-30-23	@MIA	4-16W	6.0	5	3	7	Over

Aaron Nola

ERA 3.857 | IP 23.3 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 19.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	vsCWS	5-9W	7.3	1	0	8	Over
04-14-24	vsPIT	9-2L	5.0	5	5	10	Over
04-09-24	@STL	0-3L	7.0	6	3	5	Under
04-03-24	vsCIN	4-1L	6.0	3	3	10	Under
03-29-24	vsATL	9-3L	6.0	5	0	5	Over
09-28-23	vsPIT	3-2L	4.0	4	1	5	Under
09-23-23	vsNYM	5-7W	7.0	8	5	6	Over
09-18-23	@ATL	7-1W	6.0	3	1	5	Over
09-12-23	vsATL	7-6L	5.0	7	6	4	Over
09-06-23	@SD	5-1W	6.0	1	0	7	Under
04-15-24	vsCOL	1-2W	7.3	4	1	9	Under
04-10-24	@STL	4-3W	6.0	3	2	3	Under
04-05-24	@WAS	4-0W	5.7	2	0	4	Under
03-30-24	vsATL	12-4L	4.3	12	7	3	Over
09-26-23	vsPIT	2-3W	6.7	4	1	8	Under
09-20-23	@ATL	6-5W	6.0	6	2	8	Over
09-15-23	@STL	5-4W	4.7	7	3	1	Over
09-09-23	vsMIA	4-8W	4.3	7	4	6	Over
09-02-23	@MIL	5-7L	4.7	8	7	5	Over
08-27-23	vsSTL	0-3W	7.0	1	0	9	Under

White Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/22	vs PHI	5-9L	7	0	Over
04/21	vs PHI	0-7L	2	0	Under
04/19	@ KC	2-1W	6	1	Under
04/19	@ KC	2-4L	5	1	Under
04/17	@ KC	0-2L	4	0	Under
04/16	@ CIN	4-11L	8	0	Over
04/15	@ CIN	0-5L	2	0	Under
04/14	@ CIN	1-11L	4	0	Over
04/12	vs CLE	6-7L	10	1	Over
04/11	vs CLE	7-5W	12	0	Over
04/10	vs CLE	0-4L	4	0	Under
04/09	vs KC	3-5L	12	0	Over
04/08	vs KC	0-3L	3	0	Under
04/07	vs KC	1-2L	4	1	Under
04/06	vs KC	1-10L	8	0	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/22	@ CWS	9-5W	12	1	Over
04/21	@ CWS	7-0W	7	3	Under
04/19	@ COL	7-6W	12	3	Over
04/18	@ COL	5-0W	7	2	Under
04/17	@ COL	2-1W	6	0	Under
04/16	@ PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
04/15	@ PIT	4-3W	9	1	Under
04/14	@ PIT	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/13	@ PIT	5-1W	7	3	Under
04/12	vs STL	4-3W	8	0	Under
04/11	vs STL	0-3L	8	0	Under
04/10	vs STL	5-3W	10	1	Over
04/09	vs WAS	2-3L	5	1	Under
04/08	vs WAS	5-2W	9	1	Under
04/07	vs WAS	4-0W	9	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago White Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Dominic Fletcher	5.8	7.6	0.222	0.296	31.5%	61.1%	0.0%
#2 Andrew Benintendi	6.6	8.1	0.167	0.181	22.2%	40.3%	0.0%
#2 Robbie Grossman	6.5	8.6	0.167	0.194	41.7%	61.1%	0.0%
#3 Andrew Vaughn	5.7	7.4	0.153	0.194	27.8%	47.2%	0.0%
#4 Eloy Jimenez	6.2	7.8	0.154	0.154	26.9%	42.3%	0.0%
#5 Gavin Sheets	5.6	7.5	0.25	0.5	44.2%	94.2%	5.8%
#6 Paul DeJong	4.6	5.9	0.256	0.558	32.6%	88.4%	7.0%
#6 Kevin Pillar	5.2	7.0	0.2	0.333	46.7%	80.0%	0.0%
#7 Braden Shewmake	5.0	6.3	0.156	0.281	18.8%	46.9%	3.1%
#7 Lenyn Sosa	4.5	5.7	0.143	0.2	17.1%	37.1%	0.0%
#8 Nicky Lopez	4.5	5.6	0.17	0.17	34.0%	51.1%	0.0%
#9 Korey Lee	3.3	4.2	0.273	0.424	33.3%	75.8%	3.0%
#9 Martin Maldonado	3.9	4.9	0.057	0.086	11.4%	20.0%	0.0%

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	10.4	13.8	0.207	0.39	34.1%	73.2%	6.1%
#2 Trea Turner	10.8	13.7	0.353	0.518	43.5%	95.3%	2.4%
#3 Bryce Harper	10.4	13.8	0.237	0.447	36.8%	81.6%	5.3%
#4 J.T. Realmuto	9.5	12.4	0.235	0.368	30.9%	67.6%	4.4%
#5 Alec Bohm	7.4	10.1	0.261	0.464	44.9%	91.3%	4.3%
#6 Brandon Marsh	8.3	10.7	0.286	0.571	33.3%	90.5%	7.9%
#7 Nick Castellanos	8.0	10.2	0.187	0.213	28.0%	49.3%	0.0%
#8 Bryson Stott	6.9	8.8	0.222	0.286	33.3%	61.9%	1.6%
#9 Johan Rojas	6.6	8.2	0.245	0.286	34.7%	63.3%	0.0%