Tigers vs Twins Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 20th 2024
Tigers
11W-9L
April 20, 2024
02:10PM EST
Odds: 7.5 o/u
Twins
6W-12L
Get ready to roar and howl, sports fans, because today’s MLB showdown is packing more heat than a Minnesota winter! The Detroit Tigers, with a solid 11-9 record, are prowling into the Twin Cities to clash with the Minnesota Twins, who are looking to claw their way out of a 6-12 slump. The action kicks off at the brisk, breezy Target Field at 2:10 PM EST, where the overcast skies and a chilly wind blowing across the diamond set the stage for a dramatic battle. With the Tigers just a whisker away from the top in the American League and the Twins needing to catch up, the stakes are as high as the betting lines. Today’s game is not just a rematch—it’s a chance for the Twins to turn the tide or for the Tigers to cement their dominance. So, as the first pitch draws near, let’s see if the Twins can twin or if the Tigers will take them by the tail!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 20, 2024 02:10PM EST
Location: Target Field, Minnesota
Weather: Overcast with winds from the NNW at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 32.0° with 61% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| DET ML | MIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +111 | -133 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +117 | -140 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +6 | -7 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
46.1% Win Probability
53.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/13/24 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 4 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Detroit Tigers DET | 1 | ||||
| 04/12/24 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 2 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Detroit Tigers DET | 8 | ||||
| 04/13/24 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 11 | Over | +8.5 | |
| Detroit Tigers DET | 5 | ||||
| 04/14/24 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 3 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Detroit Tigers DET | 4 | ||||
| 04/19/24 | Detroit Tigers DET | 5 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 4 | ||||
| 06/15/23 | Detroit Tigers DET | 8 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 4 | ||||
| 06/16/23 | Detroit Tigers DET | 7 | Over | +0.5 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 1 | ||||
| 06/17/23 | Detroit Tigers DET | 0 | Under | -5.5 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 2 | ||||
| 06/18/23 | Detroit Tigers DET | 6 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 4 | ||||
| 06/23/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 4 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Detroit Tigers DET | 1 | ||||
| 06/24/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 2 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Detroit Tigers DET | 3 | ||||
| 06/25/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 6 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Detroit Tigers DET | 3 | ||||
| 08/07/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 9 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Detroit Tigers DET | 3 | ||||
| 08/08/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 0 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Detroit Tigers DET | 6 | ||||
| 08/09/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 5 | Over | +6.5 | |
| Detroit Tigers DET | 9 | ||||
| 08/10/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 0 | Under | -4.5 | |
| Detroit Tigers DET | 3 | ||||
| 08/15/23 | Detroit Tigers DET | 3 | Over | +0.5 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 5 | ||||
| 08/16/23 | Detroit Tigers DET | 8 | Over | +7.5 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 |
Tigers Vs Over/Under
Twins Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-19-24 | @MIN | 5-4W | 6.0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | Over |
| 04-14-24 | vsMIN | 3-4W | 6.3 | 6 | 3 | 8 | Under |
| 04-07-24 | vsOAK | 7-1L | 6.0 | 9 | 6 | 5 | Over |
| 03-31-24 | @CWS | 3-2W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 09-30-23 | @BOS | 2-5W | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | Under |
| 09-19-23 | @HOU | 9-5L | 2.0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | Over |
| 09-15-23 | @TB | 7-1L | 4.0 | 6 | 3 | 6 | Over |
| 09-09-23 | @BOS | 13-12L | 3.3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | Over |
| 09-03-23 | @ARI | 8-5L | 4.7 | 6 | 4 | 7 | Over |
| 08-27-23 | @COL | 4-3L | 5.7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | Under |
| 04-15-24 | vsTEX | 1-0L | 6.3 | 6 | 1 | 8 | Under |
| 04-08-24 | @PIT | 4-7L | 4.3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | Over |
| 04-01-24 | @NYM | 5-0W | 5.7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | Under |
| 09-26-23 | vsKC | 3-6W | 5.7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | Over |
| 09-20-23 | @LAD | 4-2W | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 09-14-23 | vsCIN | 2-8W | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | Over |
| 09-08-23 | vsCWS | 6-0L | 6.7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | Under |
| 09-02-23 | @CWS | 10-0W | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 08-28-23 | vsNYY | 4-1L | 4.3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | Under |
| 08-22-23 | vsCHC | 6-8W | 4.7 | 4 | 6 | 7 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-19-24 | vsDET | 5-4L | 5.3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | Over |
| 04-13-24 | @DET | 11-5W | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 12 | Over |
| 04-06-24 | vsCLE | 3-1L | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Under |
| 03-30-24 | @KC | 5-1W | 5.3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 09-29-23 | @COL | 7-6W | 5.0 | 8 | 6 | 6 | Over |
| 09-24-23 | vsLAA | 3-9W | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 10 | Over |
| 09-18-23 | @CIN | 3-7L | 5.0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | Over |
| 09-12-23 | vsTB | 2-3W | 4.7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | Under |
| 09-06-23 | @CLE | 1-2L | 4.0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 09-01-23 | @TEX | 5-1W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 04-14-24 | @DET | 3-4L | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | Under |
| 04-08-24 | vsLAD | 4-2L | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 03-31-24 | @KC | 0-11L | 1.3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 10-01-23 | @COL | 2-3L | 6.7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | Under |
| 09-26-23 | vsOAK | 3-11W | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | Over |
| 09-20-23 | @CIN | 5-3W | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | Over |
| 09-15-23 | @CWS | 10-2W | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | Over |
| 08-27-23 | vsTEX | 6-7W | 4.0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | Over |
| 08-22-23 | @MIL | 3-7L | 5.0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | Over |
| 08-15-23 | vsDET | 3-5W | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | Over |
Tigers Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/21 | vs MIN | 5-4W | 12 | 0 | Over |
| 04/20 | @ TEX | 7-9L | 11 | 0 | Over |
| 04/19 | @ TEX | 4-5L | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 04/18 | @ TEX | 4-2W | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 04/17 | @ TEX | 0-1L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 04/16 | @ MIN | 4-3W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/15 | @ MIN | 5-11L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 04/15 | @ MIN | 1-4L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 04/14 | @ MIN | 8-2W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 04/11 | vs PIT | 5-3W | 9 | 0 | Over |
| 04/10 | vs PIT | 4-7L | 9 | 0 | Over |
| 04/09 | @ OAK | 1-7L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 04/08 | @ OAK | 0-4L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 04/07 | @ OAK | 5-4W | 8 | 2 | Over |
| 04/06 | vs NYM | 6-3W | 9 | 1 | Over |
Twins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/21 | @ DET | 4-5L | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 04/19 | vs BAL | 2-4L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 04/18 | vs BAL | 3-11L | 7 | 0 | Over |
| 04/17 | vs BAL | 4-7L | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 04/16 | vs DET | 3-4L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/15 | vs DET | 11-5W | 8 | 2 | Over |
| 04/15 | vs DET | 4-1W | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 04/14 | vs DET | 2-8L | 6 | 0 | Over |
| 04/12 | @ LAD | 3-2W | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 04/11 | @ LAD | 3-6L | 6 | 3 | Over |
| 04/10 | @ LAD | 2-4L | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 04/08 | @ CLE | 1-3L | 2 | 0 | Under |
| 04/06 | @ CLE | 2-4L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/05 | vs MIL | 7-3W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 04/04 | vs MIL | 2-3L | 3 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Detroit Tigers | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Mark Canha
|
7.4 | 10.0 | 0.219 | 0.422 | 46.9% | 89.1% | 4.7% |
|
#1
Riley Greene
|
7.0 | 9.4 | 0.235 | 0.456 | 47.1% | 92.6% | 4.4% |
| 7.0 | 8.9 | 0.312 | 0.5 | 37.5% | 87.5% | 0.0% | |
| 6.9 | 8.9 | 0.328 | 0.621 | 39.7% | 101.7% | 5.2% | |
| 7.5 | 9.9 | 0.244 | 0.333 | 38.5% | 71.8% | 0.0% | |
|
#5
Gio Urshela
|
6.8 | 8.3 | 0.298 | 0.333 | 31.6% | 64.9% | 0.0% |
|
#6
Colt Keith
|
6.2 | 7.9 | 0.188 | 0.203 | 27.5% | 47.8% | 0.0% |
|
#7
Javier Baez
|
6.5 | 8.3 | 0.172 | 0.259 | 20.7% | 46.6% | 1.7% |
| 6.1 | 7.2 | 0.206 | 0.206 | 32.4% | 52.9% | 0.0% | |
|
#8
Carson Kelly
|
5.2 | 6.9 | 0.195 | 0.293 | 24.4% | 53.7% | 2.4% |
| 4.7 | 6.4 | 0.095 | 0.214 | 31.0% | 52.4% | 2.4% | |
|
#9
Jake Rogers
|
5.6 | 7.6 | 0.091 | 0.182 | 18.2% | 36.4% | 3.0% |
| Minnesota Twins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1 | 10.8 | 0.169 | 0.407 | 30.5% | 71.2% | 6.8% | |
|
#2
Ryan Jeffers
|
7.0 | 9.5 | 0.255 | 0.491 | 36.4% | 85.5% | 5.5% |
| 7.5 | 9.5 | 0.291 | 0.545 | 38.2% | 92.7% | 1.8% | |
| 6.9 | 8.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 30.0% | 90.0% | 10.0% | |
|
#5
Byron Buxton
|
7.3 | 9.7 | 0.197 | 0.311 | 24.6% | 55.7% | 0.0% |
|
#6
Jose Miranda
|
6.2 | 7.7 | 0.269 | 0.423 | 34.6% | 76.9% | 3.8% |
| 6.9 | 8.9 | 0.125 | 0.143 | 23.2% | 37.5% | 0.0% | |
|
#7
Willi Castro
|
6.1 | 8.1 | 0.135 | 0.212 | 28.8% | 50.0% | 1.9% |
|
#8
Jair Camargo
|
4.3 | 6.7 | nan | nan | inf% | nan% | nan% |
| 4.9 | 6.6 | 0.121 | 0.212 | 15.2% | 36.4% | 3.0% | |
|
#9
Kyle Farmer
|
5.0 | 6.9 | 0.088 | 0.118 | 29.4% | 41.2% | 0.0% |
| 4.8 | 6.4 | 0.242 | 0.333 | 33.3% | 66.7% | 0.0% |
Tigers Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Twins Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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