Tigers vs Rays Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 22nd 2024

Get ready to rumble at the Trop tonight as the Detroit Tigers, fresh off a dominant win, roar into Tampa Bay to claw at the Rays under the dome of Tropicana Field. It’s a neck-and-neck showdown with both teams looking to climb up the American League ladder, the Tigers just a whisker behind at 4.0 games back and the Rays hot on their heels at 3.5. With the first pitch slated for 06:50 PM EST, the stakes are as high as the humidity, and with a tight over/under of 7, bettors are buzzing. The Rays, stinging from a recent narrow defeat, are eager to shine on their home turf, while the Tigers aim to keep their winning streak purring along. As light rain sets the scene outside, inside, it’s all heating up. So, who will bring the thunder tonight? Will the Tigers’ stripes intimidate, or will the Rays’ glow illuminate their path to victory?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 22, 2024 06:50PM EST

Location: Tropicana Field, Tampa Bay

Weather: Light rain with winds from the NNE at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 46.4° with 81% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	DET ML	TB ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-116	-104	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-112	-108	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+4	-4	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

113W-134L

52.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

162W-94L

47.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/30/23	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Under	-3.0
03/30/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-3.0
04/01/23	Detroit Tigers DET	2	Over	+7.0
04/01/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	12	Over	+7.0
04/02/23	Detroit Tigers DET	1	Under	-1.0
04/02/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-1.0
08/04/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+1.0
08/04/23	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Over	+1.0
08/05/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-1.0
08/05/23	Detroit Tigers DET	4	Under	-1.0
08/06/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	10	Over	+9.0
08/06/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+9.0

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Rays Vs Over/Under

Casey Mize

ERA 2.953 | IP 21.3 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 16.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-17-24	vsTEX	5-4L	6.3	5	4	6	Over
04-12-24	vsMIN	2-8W	5.0	2	0	5	Over
04-05-24	vsOAK	4-5W	6.3	4	4	9	Over
03-28-24	@CWS	1-0W	6.0	3	0	6	Under
09-28-23	vsKC	0-8W	4.0	2	0	8	Over
09-21-23	@OAK	7-3W	7.0	2	0	10	Over
09-15-23	@LAA	11-2W	7.0	3	1	9	Over
09-09-23	vsCWS	1-3W	5.0	2	0	9	Under
09-03-23	@CWS	3-2W	7.0	5	2	7	Under
08-29-23	vsNYY	4-2L	6.0	4	3	9	Under
04-21-24	@MIN	6-1W	6.0	5	0	4	Under
04-16-24	vsTEX	2-4W	6.0	5	2	6	Under
04-09-24	@PIT	5-3W	5.0	5	2	2	Over
04-04-24	@NYM	6-3W	4.3	5	3	4	Over
04-14-22	@KC	6-3W	5.0	6	2	2	Over
04-09-22	@CWS	6-3W	5.0	7	4	2	Over
09-29-21	@MIN	6-3W	4.0	5	3	4	Over
09-24-21	@KC	6-3W	3.0	2	1	3	Over
09-17-21	@TB	6-3W	3.0	3	1	3	Over
09-11-21	@TB	6-3W	2.0	3	3	2	Over

Aaron Civale

ERA 3.904 | IP 27.7 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 31.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-17-24	vsLAA	5-4L	5.7	8	3	7	Over
04-10-24	@LAA	4-2W	4.3	6	1	4	Under
04-05-24	@COL	7-10L	5.0	5	1	5	Over
03-30-24	vsTOR	1-5W	6.0	4	0	6	Under
09-29-23	@TOR	4-11L	1.3	3	3	1	Over
09-23-23	vsTOR	6-7W	5.7	5	2	6	Over
09-17-23	@BAL	4-5L	4.7	4	1	3	Over
09-12-23	@MIN	2-3L	7.0	5	3	8	Under
09-07-23	vsSEA	1-0L	8.0	5	1	4	Under
09-02-23	@CLE	6-7L	4.7	9	4	1	Over
04-21-24	@NYY	4-5L	4.7	8	5	5	Over
04-16-24	vsLAA	6-7W	6.0	5	3	8	Over
04-09-24	@LAA	6-4W	5.0	4	3	4	Over
04-03-24	vsTEX	4-1L	6.0	4	1	8	Under
03-29-24	vsTOR	2-8W	6.0	4	1	6	Over
09-29-23	@TOR	4-11L	1.7	2	1	3	Over
09-20-23	vsLAA	8-3L	3.0	7	6	7	Over
09-14-23	@BAL	4-3W	5.0	4	3	8	Under
09-09-23	vsSEA	5-7W	5.0	4	4	3	Over
09-04-23	vsBOS	7-3L	5.3	2	3	12	Over

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/23	vs MIN	6-1W	7	1	Under
04/22	vs MIN	3-4L	5	0	Under
04/21	vs MIN	5-4W	12	0	Over
04/20	@ TEX	7-9L	11	0	Over
04/19	@ TEX	4-5L	7	2	Over
04/18	@ TEX	4-2W	5	0	Under
04/17	@ TEX	0-1L	5	0	Under
04/16	@ MIN	4-3W	8	1	Under
04/15	@ MIN	1-4L	4	0	Under
04/15	@ MIN	5-11L	8	1	Over
04/14	@ MIN	8-2W	10	1	Over
04/11	vs PIT	5-3W	9	0	Over
04/10	vs PIT	4-7L	9	0	Over
04/09	@ OAK	1-7L	7	1	Over
04/08	@ OAK	0-4L	5	0	Under

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/23	vs NYY	4-5L	5	0	Over
04/22	vs NYY	2-0W	9	0	Under
04/21	vs NYY	3-5L	14	1	Over
04/20	@ LAA	2-1W	5	0	Under
04/19	@ LAA	4-5L	11	1	Over
04/18	@ LAA	7-6W	7	0	Over
04/17	@ LAA	3-7L	6	1	Over
04/16	@ SF	9-4W	10	4	Over
04/15	@ SF	2-11L	8	0	Over
04/14	@ SF	2-1W	6	0	Under
04/12	vs LAA	2-2L	7	1	Under
04/11	vs LAA	6-4W	12	1	Over
04/10	vs LAA	1-7L	8	0	Over
04/09	vs COL	3-2W	8	0	Under
04/08	vs COL	8-6W	9	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Riley Greene	7.7	10.5	0.233	0.438	50.7%	94.5%	4.1%
#2 Mark Canha	6.9	9.4	0.217	0.42	46.4%	88.4%	4.3%
#2 Wenceel Perez	8.2	10.4	0.3	0.55	35.0%	90.0%	0.0%
#3 Spencer Torkelson	8.1	10.8	0.244	0.337	37.2%	70.9%	0.0%
#4 Kerry Carpenter	8.2	10.6	0.318	0.576	39.4%	97.0%	4.5%
#5 Matt Vierling	7.2	9.0	0.268	0.357	30.4%	66.1%	1.8%
#6 Colt Keith	6.6	8.3	0.183	0.197	26.8%	46.5%	0.0%
#7 Javier Baez	6.3	8.0	0.185	0.277	23.1%	50.8%	1.5%
#8 Parker Meadows	5.8	7.8	0.08	0.18	26.0%	44.0%	2.0%
#9 Carson Kelly	5.6	7.4	0.195	0.293	24.4%	53.7%	2.4%

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	10.8	14.1	0.221	0.295	28.4%	57.9%	1.1%
#2 Randy Arozarena	10.7	14.0	0.157	0.241	25.3%	49.4%	2.4%
#3 Richie Palacios	7.7	10.1	0.304	0.478	52.2%	100.0%	4.3%
#4 Isaac Paredes	9.0	12.0	0.263	0.474	42.1%	89.5%	6.6%
#6 Curtis Mead	5.8	6.9	0.232	0.232	32.1%	55.4%	0.0%
#6 Amed Rosario	7.4	9.3	0.351	0.527	36.5%	89.2%	2.7%
#8 Ben Rortvedt	5.9	7.5	0.324	0.382	50.0%	88.2%	0.0%
#9 Jose Caballero	9.2	11.7	0.286	0.429	34.3%	77.1%	1.4%
#9 Rene Pinto	4.2	5.5	0.222	0.444	30.6%	75.0%	5.6%