Tigers vs Rays Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 23rd 2024

Get ready to rumble at Tropicana Field as the Detroit Tigers, clawing their way through the season with a solid 13-10 record, gear up to face the Tampa Bay Rays, balancing at an even 12-12. The first pitch is set to fly at 06:50 PM EST, so make sure you’re glued to your screens for this American League showdown. With the Tigers recently taming the Rays in a dominant 7-1 victory, and Tampa Bay looking to strike back with vengeance, the stakes are as high as the humidity in tonight’s slightly soggy, wind-whipped matchup. With the betting lines drawn and the over/under teasing an 8.0 scoreline, tonight’s game promises to be more than just a typical day at the ballpark. So, as these two teams step up to the plate, will the Tigers continue their roaring success, or will the Rays shine through the storm?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 23, 2024 06:50PM EST

Location: Tropicana Field, Tampa Bay

Weather: Light rain with winds from the S at 16.1 mph. Temperature is at 41.0° with 81% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	DET ML	TB ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+139	-165	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+139	-165	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

114W-134L

41.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

162W-95L

58.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/22/24	Detroit Tigers DET	7	Push	-0.0
04/22/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	1	Push	-0.0
03/30/23	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Under	-4.0
03/30/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-4.0
04/01/23	Detroit Tigers DET	2	Over	+6.0
04/01/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	12	Over	+6.0
04/02/23	Detroit Tigers DET	1	Under	-2.0
04/02/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-2.0
08/04/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Push	-0.0
08/04/23	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Push	-0.0
08/05/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-2.0
08/05/23	Detroit Tigers DET	4	Under	-2.0
08/06/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	10	Over	+8.0
08/06/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+8.0

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Rays Vs Over/Under

Kenta Maeda

ERA 7.642 | IP 17.7 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 12.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-22-24	@TB	7-1W	6.0	3	0	9	Push
04-17-24	vsTEX	5-4L	6.3	5	4	6	Over
04-12-24	vsMIN	2-8W	5.0	2	0	5	Over
04-05-24	vsOAK	4-5W	6.3	4	4	9	Over
03-28-24	@CWS	1-0W	6.0	3	0	6	Under
09-28-23	vsKC	0-8W	4.0	2	0	8	Push
09-21-23	@OAK	7-3W	7.0	2	0	10	Over
09-15-23	@LAA	11-2W	7.0	3	1	9	Over
09-09-23	vsCWS	1-3W	5.0	2	0	9	Under
09-03-23	@CWS	3-2W	7.0	5	2	7	Under
04-18-24	vsTEX	9-7L	2.7	7	6	2	Over
04-13-24	vsMIN	11-5L	6.0	5	2	5	Over
04-06-24	vsOAK	4-0L	5.7	2	3	3	Under
03-30-24	@CWS	7-6W	3.3	7	6	2	Over
09-28-23	@OAK	2-1L	3.3	1	1	5	Under
09-19-23	@CIN	7-0L	5.0	1	0	8	Under
09-14-23	@CWS	10-2L	7.0	4	2	8	Over
09-09-23	@NYM	4-8W	5.3	5	2	2	Over
09-03-23	@TEX	5-6W	5.0	9	3	3	Over
08-28-23	@CLE	6-10W	4.0	7	6	3	Over

Ryan Pepiot

ERA 4.368 | IP 22.7 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-22-24	vsDET	7-1L	6.0	9	6	7	Push
04-17-24	vsLAA	5-4L	5.7	8	3	7	Over
04-10-24	@LAA	4-2W	4.3	6	1	4	Under
04-05-24	@COL	7-10L	5.0	5	1	5	Over
03-30-24	vsTOR	1-5W	6.0	4	0	6	Under
09-29-23	@TOR	4-11L	1.3	3	3	1	Over
09-23-23	vsTOR	6-7W	5.7	5	2	6	Over
09-17-23	@BAL	4-5L	4.7	4	1	3	Over
09-12-23	@MIN	2-3L	7.0	5	3	8	Under
09-07-23	vsSEA	1-0L	8.0	5	1	4	Under
04-18-24	vsLAA	1-2W	6.0	3	1	7	Under
04-13-24	vsSF	11-2L	5.0	5	4	6	Over
04-07-24	@COL	3-2W	6.0	3	0	11	Under
04-01-24	vsTEX	9-3L	5.7	4	6	3	Over
10-01-23	@SF	5-2L	3.0	2	2	3	Under
09-26-23	@COL	1-4W	6.0	5	1	9	Under
09-19-23	@DET	2-3W	6.0	5	1	4	Under
09-13-23	@SD	6-1L	6.0	6	4	5	Under
09-07-23	@MIA	10-0L	7.0	1	0	3	Over
08-30-23	@ARI	0-7W	5.0	2	0	3	Under

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/24	vs TB	7-1W	11	2	Push
04/23	vs MIN	6-1W	7	1	Under
04/22	vs MIN	3-4L	5	0	Under
04/21	vs MIN	5-4W	12	0	Over
04/20	@ TEX	7-9L	11	0	Over
04/19	@ TEX	4-5L	7	2	Over
04/18	@ TEX	4-2W	5	0	Under
04/17	@ TEX	0-1L	5	0	Under
04/16	@ MIN	4-3W	8	1	Under
04/15	@ MIN	1-4L	4	0	Under
04/15	@ MIN	5-11L	8	1	Over
04/14	@ MIN	8-2W	10	1	Over
04/11	vs PIT	5-3W	9	0	Push
04/10	vs PIT	4-7L	9	0	Over
04/09	@ OAK	1-7L	7	1	Push

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/24	@ DET	1-7L	6	1	Push
04/23	vs NYY	4-5L	5	0	Over
04/22	vs NYY	2-0W	9	0	Under
04/21	vs NYY	3-5L	14	1	Push
04/20	@ LAA	2-1W	5	0	Under
04/19	@ LAA	4-5L	11	1	Over
04/18	@ LAA	7-6W	7	0	Over
04/17	@ LAA	3-7L	6	1	Over
04/16	@ SF	9-4W	10	4	Over
04/15	@ SF	2-11L	8	0	Over
04/14	@ SF	2-1W	6	0	Under
04/12	vs LAA	2-2L	7	1	Under
04/11	vs LAA	6-4W	12	1	Over
04/10	vs LAA	1-7L	8	0	Push
04/09	vs COL	3-2W	8	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Riley Greene	7.4	10.0	0.231	0.423	48.7%	91.0%	3.8%
#2 Mark Canha	7.6	10.2	0.247	0.479	49.3%	97.3%	5.5%
#3 Spencer Torkelson	7.6	10.1	0.231	0.319	35.2%	67.0%	0.0%
#4 Kerry Carpenter	8.0	10.4	0.31	0.563	38.0%	94.4%	4.2%
#5 Matt Vierling	7.0	8.8	0.267	0.367	30.0%	66.7%	1.7%
#6 Colt Keith	6.3	8.0	0.173	0.187	25.3%	44.0%	0.0%
#7 Javier Baez	5.8	7.4	0.203	0.29	24.6%	53.6%	1.4%
#8 Parker Meadows	5.3	7.2	0.093	0.241	25.9%	50.0%	3.7%
#9 Carson Kelly	4.6	6.1	0.195	0.293	24.4%	53.7%	2.4%

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	7.7	9.9	0.222	0.293	28.3%	57.6%	1.0%
#2 Randy Arozarena	7.7	10.1	0.149	0.23	24.1%	47.1%	2.3%
#3 Richie Palacios	7.3	9.6	0.304	0.478	52.2%	100.0%	4.3%
#3 Harold Ramirez	7.4	9.3	0.256	0.302	26.7%	57.0%	1.2%
#4 Isaac Paredes	6.6	8.7	0.263	0.475	41.2%	88.8%	6.2%
#5 Amed Rosario	7.6	9.4	0.359	0.526	37.2%	89.7%	2.6%
#6 Curtis Mead	6.3	7.5	0.237	0.237	33.9%	57.6%	0.0%
#7 Jose Caballero	6.0	7.6	0.284	0.459	33.8%	79.7%	2.7%
#8 Jose Siri	5.7	7.5	0.181	0.278	31.9%	59.7%	1.4%
#9 Rene Pinto	4.8	6.4	0.211	0.421	31.6%	73.7%	5.3%
#9 Ben Rortvedt	5.2	6.6	0.324	0.382	50.0%	88.2%	0.0%