Royals vs Reds Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some sizzling MLB action as the Kansas City Royals gallop into Great American Ball Park, ready to duel with the Cincinnati Reds under the lights tonight at 06:40 PM EST! Both teams are coming in hot off recent wins, and with the Royals chasing the pack in the American League and the Reds trying to catch up in the National League, every pitch counts. The stakes are high with the over/under teasing at 9.5, hinting at a potentially explosive scoreboard. As the winds whip across the field and the temperature hovers in the mid-80s, will the Royals continue their royal rampage, or will the Reds paint the town red once again? Tonight, it’s all about crowns and gowns, folks—may the best regalia win!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 16, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SW at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 82.9° with 74% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+119	-142	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+115	-138	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-4	+4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

110W-188L

46.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

143W-157L

53.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/12/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Under	-0.5
06/12/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-0.5
06/13/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Under	-0.5
06/13/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-0.5
06/14/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+1.5
06/14/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+1.5

Royals Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Will Smith

ERA 4.821 | IP 37.3 | 0.0W-4.0L | KO 23.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-09-24	vsSTL	8-5L	4.3	6	3	3	Over
08-03-24	@DET	5-6L	5.7	5	1	5	Over
07-28-24	@TOR	3-7W	4.0	3	1	1	Over
07-27-24	@TOR	3-7W	0.7	5	4	1	Over
07-22-24	@CWS	3-4W	5.0	6	2	8	Under
07-10-24	@LAA	2-7W	5.0	5	5	3	Under
07-05-24	@TB	0-3W	5.0	1	0	4	Under
06-29-24	@BAL	5-6W	5.0	4	5	3	Over
06-24-24	@MIL	3-6W	5.0	5	2	5	Under
06-18-24	@NYM	7-6L	6.0	4	3	3	Over
08-13-24	@MIN	3-13L	1.3	3	3	1	Over
08-09-24	vsSTL	8-5L	0.3	1	2	0	Over
08-07-24	vsBOS	4-8W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
08-06-24	vsBOS	6-5L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
08-04-24	@DET	3-2W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
08-01-24	@DET	7-1W	1.0	0	0	2	Under
07-29-24	@CWS	8-5W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
07-26-24	vsCHC	0-6W	1.0	1	0	0	Under
07-22-24	vsARI	4-10W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
07-10-24	@STL	6-4W	1.0	0	0	0	Over

Nick Martinez

ERA 3.2 | IP 90.0 | 6.0W-5.0L | KO 74.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-10-24	@MIL	0-1L	7.0	1	0	7	Under
08-05-24	@MIA	10-3W	5.0	4	0	5	Over
08-02-24	vsSF	3-0L	1.0	2	1	2	Under
07-30-24	vsCHC	3-6W	4.0	4	0	3	Under
07-26-24	@TB	3-2W	2.0	1	0	2	Under
07-12-24	vsMIA	4-7W	3.0	3	0	2	Over
07-09-24	vsCOL	6-12W	1.3	1	0	3	Over
07-07-24	vsDET	5-1L	2.0	3	1	2	Under
07-04-24	@NYY	8-4W	2.0	2	2	0	Over
07-02-24	@NYY	5-4W	1.3	1	0	0	Under

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/16	vs MIN	4-1W	11	2	Under
08/15	vs MIN	3-13L	7	2	Over
08/14	vs MIN	3-8L	8	1	Over
08/12	@ STL	8-3W	12	1	Over
08/11	@ STL	5-8L	10	0	Over
08/09	@ BOS	8-4W	7	3	Over
08/08	@ BOS	5-6L	8	1	Over
08/07	@ BOS	5-9L	9	1	Over
08/06	vs DET	3-2W	8	1	Under
08/05	vs DET	5-6L	9	2	Over
08/04	vs DET	9-2W	14	1	Over
08/03	vs DET	7-1W	10	3	Under
08/02	vs CWS	10-3W	16	2	Over
08/01	vs CWS	4-3W	4	1	Under
07/31	vs CWS	8-5W	15	3	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/16	@ STL	9-2W	13	5	Over
08/15	@ STL	4-1W	6	2	Under
08/14	@ STL	6-1W	6	3	Under
08/13	vs MIL	4-3W	6	1	Under
08/12	vs MIL	0-1L	3	0	Under
08/11	vs MIL	3-8L	9	2	Over
08/10	vs MIA	10-4W	11	1	Over
08/09	vs MIA	4-6L	10	1	Over
08/08	vs MIA	8-2W	13	2	Over
08/07	vs MIA	10-3W	15	4	Over
08/06	@ SF	2-8L	4	2	Over
08/05	@ SF	6-4W	8	4	Over
08/04	@ SF	0-3L	0	0	Under
08/02	@ CHC	4-13L	6	1	Over
08/01	@ CHC	6-3W	12	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Michael Massey	9.1	12.0	0.263	0.478	0.306	0.785	0.325	0.048
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	11.8	15.3	0.347	0.613	0.437	1.050	0.420	0.050
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	8.3	11.1	0.259	0.446	0.351	0.797	0.326	0.039
#4 Salvador Perez	8.6	11.3	0.275	0.467	0.370	0.836	0.341	0.048
#5 MJ Melendez	8.3	10.9	0.201	0.401	0.285	0.686	0.284	0.045
#6 Hunter Renfroe	7.1	9.4	0.223	0.385	0.330	0.715	0.294	0.036
#6 Will Smith	5.3	11.2	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#7 Adam Frazier	6.2	8.1	0.203	0.275	0.319	0.594	0.249	0.010
#8 Maikel Garcia	6.5	8.4	0.237	0.342	0.305	0.647	0.269	0.013
#9 Kyle Isbel	6.1	7.9	0.236	0.384	0.317	0.701	0.289	0.025

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	8.9	11.8	0.248	0.392	0.410	0.803	0.323	0.028
#2 Elly De La Cruz	10.3	13.2	0.263	0.488	0.389	0.876	0.352	0.044
#3 Tyler Stephenson	8.8	11.7	0.236	0.448	0.350	0.798	0.325	0.049
#4 TJ Friedl	8.2	11.0	0.228	0.418	0.373	0.791	0.322	0.057
#5 Spencer Steer	8.3	11.1	0.240	0.435	0.372	0.807	0.327	0.042
#6 Jeimer Candelario	8.2	10.8	0.228	0.434	0.306	0.740	0.305	0.047
#7 Jake Fraley	7.8	9.8	0.277	0.373	0.358	0.731	0.301	0.012
#8 Will Benson	6.7	8.9	0.197	0.394	0.318	0.713	0.292	0.042
#9 Noelvi Marte	6.3	8.2	0.182	0.299	0.234	0.533	0.226	0.022

Royals Notable Injuries

Hunter Harvey OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/06/24. Impact: 0.4
John Schreiber OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/30/24. Impact: 0.5

Reds Notable Injuries

Austin Wynns OUT (C): Avg: 0.412 SLG:0.647 Last game: 07/30/24. Impact: 2.0
Brent Suter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 1.2