Royals vs Reds Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Great American Ball Park as the sizzling Kansas City Royals, boasting a solid 67 wins, charge into Cincinnati to clash with the Reds, who are looking to shake off a recent stumble. The stakes are high with the Royals chasing down the pack in the American League and the Reds trying to find their footing in the National League. With the first pitch flying at 06:40 PM EST under a sunny sky and a gentle southern breeze, the scene is perfectly set for an explosive matchup. The betting lines are buzzing, and with both teams coming off a head-to-head battle just yesterday where the Royals took the crown, today’s game promises another chapter of intense rivalry. So, as the Royals aim to continue their royal reign and the Reds seek redemption, let’s see who truly wears the crown in this regal rumble!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 17, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Sunny with winds from the S at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 82.9° with 77% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+111	-133	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+105	-125	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-6	+8	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

111W-188L

48.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

143W-158L

51.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/16/24	Kansas City Royals KC	7	Under	-1.5
08/16/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-1.5
06/12/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Under	-0.5
06/12/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-0.5
06/13/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Under	-0.5
06/13/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-0.5
06/14/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+1.5
06/14/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+1.5

Royals Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Will Smith

ERA 4.821 | IP 37.3 | 0.0W-4.0L | KO 23.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-10-24	vsSTL	3-8W	7.0	5	2	6	Over
08-04-24	@DET	3-2W	6.0	7	2	2	Under
07-30-24	@CWS	4-3W	7.0	5	2	5	Under
07-24-24	vsARI	8-6L	4.7	6	3	1	Over
07-19-24	vsCWS	1-7W	7.0	4	0	7	Under
07-10-24	@STL	8-5W	5.0	7	4	3	Over
07-03-24	vsTB	2-4W	6.0	2	1	8	Under
06-27-24	vsCLE	1-2W	5.3	7	1	6	Under
06-22-24	@TEX	0-6L	5.0	3	1	5	Under
05-31-24	vsSD	11-8L	5.3	5	2	2	Over
08-13-24	@MIN	3-13L	1.3	3	3	1	Over
08-09-24	vsSTL	8-5L	0.3	1	2	0	Over
08-07-24	vsBOS	4-8W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
08-06-24	vsBOS	6-5L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
08-04-24	@DET	3-2W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
08-01-24	@DET	7-1W	1.0	0	0	2	Under
07-29-24	@CWS	8-5W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
07-26-24	vsCHC	0-6W	1.0	1	0	0	Under
07-22-24	vsARI	4-10W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
07-10-24	@STL	6-4W	1.0	0	0	0	Over

Nick Lodolo

ERA 3.994 | IP 103.7 | 9.0W-4.0L | KO 107.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-11-24	@MIL	4-3W	5.3	3	3	4	Under
08-06-24	@MIA	8-2W	6.0	2	2	7	Over
07-31-24	vsCHC	13-4L	5.7	11	8	6	Over
07-26-24	@TB	3-2W	6.7	5	2	5	Under
07-20-24	@WAS	4-5L	6.3	6	4	8	Under
07-09-24	vsCOL	6-12W	3.7	5	4	4	Over
06-23-24	vsBOS	7-4L	4.7	5	4	3	Over
06-18-24	@PIT	2-1W	7.0	4	1	8	Under
06-12-24	vsCLE	2-4W	6.0	7	2	6	Under
06-07-24	vsCHC	2-3W	6.0	4	1	7	Under

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/18	vs CIN	7-1W	13	2	Under
08/16	vs MIN	4-1W	11	2	Under
08/15	vs MIN	3-13L	7	2	Over
08/14	vs MIN	3-8L	8	1	Over
08/12	@ STL	8-3W	12	1	Over
08/11	@ STL	5-8L	10	0	Over
08/09	@ BOS	8-4W	7	3	Over
08/08	@ BOS	5-6L	8	1	Over
08/07	@ BOS	5-9L	9	1	Over
08/06	vs DET	3-2W	8	1	Under
08/05	vs DET	5-6L	9	2	Over
08/04	vs DET	9-2W	14	1	Over
08/03	vs DET	7-1W	10	3	Under
08/02	vs CWS	10-3W	16	2	Over
08/01	vs CWS	4-3W	4	1	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/18	@ KC	1-7L	4	0	Under
08/16	@ STL	9-2W	13	5	Over
08/15	@ STL	4-1W	6	2	Under
08/14	@ STL	6-1W	6	3	Under
08/13	vs MIL	4-3W	6	1	Under
08/12	vs MIL	0-1L	3	0	Under
08/11	vs MIL	3-8L	9	2	Over
08/10	vs MIA	10-4W	11	1	Over
08/09	vs MIA	4-6L	10	1	Over
08/08	vs MIA	8-2W	13	2	Over
08/07	vs MIA	10-3W	15	4	Over
08/06	@ SF	2-8L	4	2	Over
08/05	@ SF	6-4W	8	4	Over
08/04	@ SF	0-3L	0	0	Under
08/02	@ CHC	4-13L	6	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Maikel Garcia	9.3	12.0	0.237	0.342	0.305	0.647	0.269	0.013
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	12.2	15.9	0.351	0.622	0.442	1.064	0.426	0.052
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	8.0	10.7	0.260	0.452	0.352	0.804	0.328	0.041
#4 Salvador Perez	9.1	11.9	0.276	0.468	0.370	0.838	0.342	0.048
#5 Hunter Renfroe	8.1	10.8	0.223	0.385	0.330	0.715	0.294	0.036
#6 Paul DeJong	7.7	10.1	0.238	0.445	0.312	0.757	0.313	0.055
#6 Will Smith	5.1	10.8	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#7 Freddy Fermin	8.3	10.6	0.304	0.425	0.379	0.804	0.329	0.025
#8 Garrett Hampson	6.6	8.2	0.247	0.331	0.301	0.633	0.264	0.000
#9 Dairon Blanco	6.5	8.3	0.216	0.278	0.278	0.557	0.235	0.010

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	9.3	12.3	0.249	0.395	0.416	0.811	0.326	0.028
#2 Elly De La Cruz	10.0	12.9	0.260	0.484	0.385	0.869	0.349	0.044
#3 Tyler Stephenson	8.4	11.2	0.239	0.455	0.352	0.806	0.328	0.048
#4 TJ Friedl	8.8	11.8	0.222	0.407	0.364	0.772	0.315	0.056
#5 Spencer Steer	8.7	11.6	0.238	0.432	0.372	0.804	0.325	0.042
#6 Jeimer Candelario	7.6	10.0	0.226	0.430	0.303	0.733	0.303	0.046
#7 Ty France	6.6	8.6	0.227	0.372	0.346	0.718	0.296	0.032
#8 Jake Fraley	7.1	9.0	0.276	0.372	0.356	0.728	0.300	0.011
#9 Noelvi Marte	6.0	7.9	0.179	0.293	0.229	0.521	0.222	0.021

Royals Notable Injuries

Hunter Harvey OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/06/24. Impact: 0.4
John Schreiber OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/30/24. Impact: 0.5

Reds Notable Injuries

Austin Wynns OUT (C): Avg: 0.412 SLG:0.647 Last game: 07/30/24. Impact: 2.0
Brent Suter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 1.2