Royals vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at Target Field as the Kansas City Royals, clutching their bats with a 65-54 record, roll into the Twin Cities to face the 66-52 Minnesota Twins in a battle that’s heating up the American League standings. With the first pitch slated for 01:10 PM EST, both teams are swinging for the fences to close the gap in their conference rankings, Royals trailing by 5 and Twins by 3.5 games. After yesterday’s explosive encounter where the Twins trampled the Royals in a 13-3 victory, today’s game promises even higher stakes. With the odds makers setting the over/under at a tantalizing 8.5 and the lines nearly neck and neck, fans are in for a treat. Plus, the weather’s playing ball too—partly cloudy skies, a brisk breeze, and perfect mid-70s temps. So, who will reign supreme? Will the Royals mount a royal comeback, or will the Twins twin their previous success? Tune in as we find out if today’s game can match the majesty of monarchs or the double trouble of twins!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 14, 2024 01:10PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSE at 17.4 mph. Temperature is at 79.0° with 52% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-114	-106	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-185	+140	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-71	+246	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

109W-188L

64.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

164W-131L

35.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/28/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-3.5
03/28/24	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-3.5
03/30/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-2.5
03/30/24	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-2.5
03/31/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Over	+2.5
03/31/24	Kansas City Royals KC	11	Over	+2.5
05/27/24	Kansas City Royals KC	5	Over	+2.5
05/27/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+2.5
05/28/24	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-2.5
05/28/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-2.5
05/29/24	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Under	-1.5
05/29/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-1.5
05/30/24	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Over	+4.5
05/30/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+4.5
08/12/24	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+2.5
08/12/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+2.5
08/13/24	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+7.5
08/13/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	13	Over	+7.5
03/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-6.5
03/30/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-6.5
04/01/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-6.5
04/01/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-6.5
04/02/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+2.5
04/02/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+2.5
04/27/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-0.5
04/27/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Under	-0.5
04/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Over	+5.5
04/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+5.5
04/29/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-3.5
04/29/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-3.5
04/30/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+3.5
04/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+3.5
07/03/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+3.5
07/03/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+3.5
07/04/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+3.5
07/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	9	Over	+3.5
07/05/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-3.5
07/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-3.5
07/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+4.5
07/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	8	Over	+4.5
07/29/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+8.5
07/29/23	Kansas City Royals KC	10	Over	+8.5
07/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.5
07/30/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-5.5

Royals Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Will Smith

ERA 4.821 | IP 37.3 | 0.0W-4.0L | KO 23.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-07-24	vsBOS	4-8W	6.3	6	4	7	Over
08-02-24	@DET	9-2W	5.7	2	2	6	Over
07-28-24	vsCHC	7-3L	5.7	8	4	7	Over
07-22-24	vsARI	4-10W	6.0	6	3	5	Over
07-12-24	@BOS	6-1W	7.0	4	1	7	Push
07-05-24	@COL	2-4L	7.0	5	2	8	Under
06-29-24	vsCLE	7-2L	4.7	6	5	6	Over
06-24-24	vsMIA	1-4W	6.0	4	1	11	Under
06-19-24	@OAK	1-5L	6.0	4	2	7	Under
06-14-24	@LAD	3-4L	7.0	6	3	4	Push
08-13-24	@MIN	3-13L	1.3	3	3	1	Over
08-09-24	vsSTL	8-5L	0.3	1	2	0	Over
08-07-24	vsBOS	4-8W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
08-06-24	vsBOS	6-5L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
08-04-24	@DET	3-2W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
08-01-24	@DET	7-1W	1.0	0	0	2	Over
07-29-24	@CWS	8-5W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
07-26-24	vsCHC	0-6W	1.0	1	0	0	Under
07-22-24	vsARI	4-10W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
07-10-24	@STL	6-4W	1.0	0	0	0	Over

Louie Varland

ERA 6.457 | IP 30.7 | 0.0W-4.0L | KO 29.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-09-24	vsCLE	3-6W	4.7	8	3	4	Over
06-16-24	vsOAK	7-8W	4.3	5	2	4	Over
06-11-24	vsCOL	5-4L	5.0	1	0	3	Over
04-21-24	vsDET	6-1L	2.7	3	4	2	Push
04-15-24	@BAL	4-7L	5.0	11	6	6	Over
04-09-24	vsLAD	6-3L	5.0	7	6	6	Over
04-02-24	@MIL	2-3L	4.0	6	3	4	Under
09-28-23	vsOAK	2-1L	1.7	0	0	3	Under
09-24-23	vsLAA	3-9W	1.0	1	0	2	Over
09-22-23	vsLAA	6-8W	1.0	0	0	1	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/15	vs MIN	3-13L	7	2	Over
08/14	vs MIN	3-8L	8	1	Over
08/12	@ STL	8-3W	12	1	Over
08/11	@ STL	5-8L	10	0	Over
08/09	@ BOS	8-4W	7	3	Over
08/08	@ BOS	5-6L	8	1	Over
08/07	@ BOS	5-9L	9	1	Over
08/06	vs DET	3-2W	8	1	Under
08/05	vs DET	5-6L	9	2	Over
08/04	vs DET	9-2W	14	1	Over
08/03	vs DET	7-1W	10	3	Over
08/02	vs CWS	10-3W	16	2	Over
08/01	vs CWS	4-3W	4	1	Push
07/31	vs CWS	8-5W	15	3	Over
07/30	@ CHC	3-7L	5	1	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/15	@ KC	13-3W	15	3	Over
08/14	@ KC	8-3W	10	2	Over
08/13	@ CLE	3-5L	11	2	Over
08/12	@ CLE	1-2L	4	0	Under
08/11	@ CLE	6-3W	11	1	Over
08/11	@ CLE	4-2W	8	2	Under
08/09	vs CHC	2-8L	6	0	Over
08/08	vs CHC	3-7L	3	2	Over
08/07	vs CHC	3-0W	8	1	Under
08/06	@ CWS	13-7W	14	1	Over
08/05	@ CWS	6-2W	8	2	Over
08/04	@ CWS	10-2W	9	3	Over
08/02	vs NYM	8-3W	10	2	Over
08/01	vs NYM	0-2L	2	0	Under
07/31	vs NYM	2-15L	9	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Adam Frazier	7.5	9.9	0.192	0.266	0.310	0.576	0.243	0.010
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	10.2	13.3	0.346	0.608	0.435	1.042	0.418	0.049
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	8.4	11.2	0.259	0.445	0.350	0.795	0.325	0.040
#4 Salvador Perez	8.6	11.3	0.278	0.472	0.374	0.846	0.344	0.049
#5 Hunter Renfroe	7.5	10.0	0.226	0.390	0.334	0.725	0.297	0.036
#6 MJ Melendez	7.5	9.9	0.203	0.407	0.289	0.695	0.287	0.046
#6 Will Smith	4.6	9.8	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#7 Paul DeJong	6.6	8.6	0.231	0.431	0.304	0.735	0.305	0.054
#8 Freddy Fermin	6.5	8.4	0.297	0.418	0.375	0.793	0.325	0.026
#9 Kyle Isbel	5.9	7.7	0.238	0.388	0.317	0.705	0.290	0.025

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Manuel Margot	7.3	9.5	0.232	0.336	0.315	0.651	0.271	0.017
#2 Royce Lewis	10.1	13.7	0.269	0.641	0.393	1.034	0.412	0.103
#3 Carlos Santana	7.8	10.3	0.245	0.422	0.377	0.799	0.324	0.040
#4 Jose Miranda	7.7	9.9	0.313	0.500	0.380	0.880	0.360	0.030
#5 Ryan Jeffers	7.5	10.1	0.231	0.451	0.354	0.805	0.329	0.055
#6 Willi Castro	6.4	8.4	0.262	0.413	0.389	0.802	0.326	0.021
#7 Kyle Farmer	5.7	7.7	0.188	0.283	0.341	0.623	0.261	0.007
#8 Trevor Larnach	5.1	6.8	0.243	0.413	0.360	0.773	0.315	0.045
#9 Austin Martin	5.4	7.0	0.241	0.337	0.343	0.681	0.281	0.006

Royals Notable Injuries

Hunter Harvey OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/06/24. Impact: 0.4
John Schreiber OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/30/24. Impact: 0.5

Twins Notable Injuries

Joe Ryan OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 7.6
Brooks Lee OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.263 SLG:0.347 Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 2.1
Brock Stewart OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 0.4