Royals vs Mets Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 13th 2024

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Citi Field as the high-flying Kansas City Royals swoop into New York to clash with the Mets in a midday melee that’s got all the trimmings of a classic! With the Royals just a hair away from the top spot in the American League and the Mets trying to claw back in the National League, this game is set to be a pivotal pivot in their seasons. The stakes are as high as the over/under, and with the Royals looking to avenge yesterday’s stumble and the Mets aiming to keep their winning momentum, it’s a perfect storm for drama—overcast skies, a brisk wind, and just the right chill in the air for some hot baseball action. So, as the Royals try to rule their court and the Mets swing for metropolitan mastery, it’s clear this isn’t just a game—it’s a royal rumble in the empire state!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 13, 2024 01:40PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Overcast with winds from the WSW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 51.1° with 48% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+140	-168	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+138	-164	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-2	+4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

83W-162L

42.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

142W-102L

58.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/12/24	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-1.5
04/12/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Under	-1.5
08/01/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+4.5
08/01/23	Kansas City Royals KC	7	Over	+4.5
08/02/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-4.5
08/02/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-4.5
08/03/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+2.5
08/03/23	Kansas City Royals KC	9	Over	+2.5

Royals Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Will Smith

ERA 4.395 | IP 57.3 | 2.0W-7.0L | KO 55.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-07-24	vsCWS	3-5W	4.7	8	3	3	Under
04-02-24	@BAL	4-1W	7.0	2	1	5	Under
09-30-23	vsNYY	5-2L	4.3	6	3	6	Under
09-24-23	@HOU	6-5W	5.3	3	4	6	Over
09-19-23	vsCLE	6-7W	4.3	5	4	2	Over
09-13-23	@CWS	7-1W	4.3	3	1	5	Under
09-08-23	@TOR	4-5L	4.0	3	1	6	Over
09-02-23	vsBOS	9-5L	2.7	7	6	1	Over
08-27-23	@SEA	2-3L	5.7	5	3	9	Under
08-21-23	@OAK	4-6L	5.7	5	3	9	Over
04-12-24	@NYM	1-6L	1.0	4	1	1	Under
04-07-24	vsCWS	3-5W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
04-05-24	vsCWS	1-2W	0.3	1	0	1	Under
04-03-24	@BAL	3-4L	0.7	2	2	1	Under
04-02-24	@BAL	4-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
03-30-24	vsMIN	5-1L	1.0	2	4	0	Under
09-29-23	@SEA	0-8W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-26-23	@LAA	3-9W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-20-23	@BOS	5-15W	1.0	3	1	1	Over
09-18-23	@BOS	4-2L	0.3	2	3	1	Under

Sean Manaea

ERA 4.36 | IP 117.7 | 7.0W-6.0L | KO 128.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-07-24	@CIN	3-1W	5.0	3	1	6	Under
04-01-24	vsDET	5-0L	6.0	1	0	8	Under
09-27-23	@SD	5-2L	6.0	7	2	8	Under
09-22-23	@LAD	5-1L	7.0	3	0	2	Under
09-17-23	@COL	11-10L	5.3	8	3	3	Over
09-12-23	@CLE	3-1L	5.7	2	3	5	Under
09-06-23	@CHC	2-8W	3.0	4	2	1	Over
08-31-23	@SD	7-2L	3.3	3	1	2	Over
08-26-23	@ATL	7-3L	3.7	3	2	5	Over
08-21-23	@PHI	4-10W	2.7	3	3	3	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/14	vs NYM	1-6L	3	1	Under
04/13	@ HOU	13-3W	16	2	Over
04/12	@ HOU	11-2W	11	1	Over
04/11	@ HOU	3-3L	7	0	Under
04/09	@ CWS	5-3W	6	2	Under
04/08	@ CWS	3-0W	10	1	Under
04/07	@ CWS	2-1W	7	0	Under
04/06	@ CWS	10-1W	10	2	Over
04/05	vs BAL	3-4L	10	1	Under
04/04	vs BAL	4-1W	8	0	Under
04/03	vs BAL	4-6L	7	2	Over
04/02	@ MIN	11-0W	14	5	Over
04/01	@ MIN	1-5L	5	0	Under
03/30	@ MIN	1-4L	5	1	Under
10/03	@ NYY	5-2W	11	3	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/14	@ KC	6-1W	14	1	Under
04/13	vs ATL	16-4W	16	2	Over
04/11	vs ATL	5-6L	12	1	Over
04/10	vs ATL	8-7W	11	3	Over
04/09	vs CIN	3-1W	9	1	Under
04/08	vs CIN	6-9L	11	0	Over
04/07	vs CIN	3-2W	4	1	Under
04/06	@ DET	2-1W	3	1	Under
04/06	@ DET	3-6L	6	0	Over
04/03	@ DET	0-5L	5	0	Under
04/02	@ MIL	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/01	@ MIL	6-7L	12	3	Over
03/31	@ MIL	1-3L	1	1	Under
10/04	@ MIA	1-2L	5	0	Under
10/03	@ PHI	1-9L	2	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Maikel Garcia	8.4	10.7	0.272	0.359	35.9%	71.7%	0.9%
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	9.9	12.7	0.276	0.494	34.3%	83.7%	4.7%
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	7.7	10.1	0.247	0.437	36.4%	80.1%	3.9%
#4 Salvador Perez	8.0	10.4	0.254	0.422	31.2%	73.5%	4.3%
#4 Will Smith	6.5	11.6	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#5 Nelson Velazquez	7.9	10.8	0.228	0.58	32.7%	90.7%	10.5%
#6 Nick Loftin	6.2	8.1	0.323	0.435	40.3%	83.9%	0.0%
#7 Hunter Renfroe	6.9	9.1	0.233	0.416	32.7%	74.3%	4.0%
#8 Freddy Fermin	6.7	8.7	0.282	0.46	34.7%	80.8%	4.2%
#9 Garrett Hampson	6.1	7.9	0.275	0.378	39.2%	77.0%	1.4%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	10.5	13.7	0.275	0.469	41.8%	88.6%	4.1%
#2 Starling Marte	9.4	11.8	0.248	0.324	32.4%	64.8%	1.6%
#3 Francisco Lindor	10.2	13.6	0.254	0.472	38.5%	85.6%	5.2%
#4 Pete Alonso	9.2	12.5	0.218	0.506	36.8%	87.4%	8.1%
#5 Brett Baty	7.3	9.5	0.214	0.326	30.0%	62.6%	2.6%
#6 Francisco Alvarez	7.4	10.0	0.208	0.438	31.1%	74.9%	6.6%
#7 Jeff McNeil	7.3	9.3	0.27	0.378	36.6%	74.4%	1.7%
#8 DJ Stewart	8.3	11.1	0.236	0.497	36.9%	86.6%	7.0%
#9 Harrison Bader	6.5	8.4	0.232	0.35	29.6%	64.6%	2.2%