Dodgers vs Cubs Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 5th 2024

Grab your mitts and peanuts, folks, because the heat is on at the Windy City! The red-hot Los Angeles Dodgers, boasting a 7W-2L record, are cruising into Wrigley Field with their eyes set on the prize against the 4W-2L Chicago Cubs. The first pitch is set to fly at 2:20 PM EST, so make sure you’re glued to your screens. In the National League conference, the Dodgers are sitting pretty at the top, while the Cubs are nipping at their heels, just 1.5 games back. The betting gurus have set the over/under at 7.5, with the Dodgers at -174 and the Cubs at +143. Fresh off their respective victories, with the Cubs clawing out a 9-8 win against Colorado and the Dodgers edging past San Francisco 5-4, both teams are raring to keep their momentum going. But keep an eye on the skies, folks! It’s overcast, with winds gusting from the north at 9.4 mph and the mercury barely touching 39.9°. So, will the Dodgers dodge the Cubs’ charge or will the Cubs ‘bear’ down and claw their way to victory? Let’s find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 05, 2024 02:20PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 39.9° with 76% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	LAD ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-174	+143	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-185	+153	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-11	+10	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

148W-94L

64.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

120W-119L

35.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/14/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	8	Over	+2.5
04/14/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	2	Over	+2.5
04/15/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-4.5
04/15/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	2	Under	-4.5
04/16/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-2.5
04/16/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	2	Under	-2.5
04/20/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	6	Over	+0.5
04/20/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Over	+0.5
04/21/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	0	Over	+5.5
04/21/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	13	Over	+5.5
04/22/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	9	Over	+5.5
04/22/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+5.5
04/23/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	7	Over	+2.5
04/23/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+2.5

Dodgers Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Bobby Miller

ERA 3.764 | IP 124 | 11W-4L | KO 119

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-29-24	vsSTL	3-6W	6.0	2	0	11	Over
10-01-23	@SF	5-2W	4.0	1	0	4	Under
09-26-23	@COL	11-2W	7.0	7	2	9	Over
09-20-23	vsDET	4-2L	6.0	3	2	7	Under
09-15-23	@SEA	6-3W	5.7	6	3	7	Over
09-09-23	@WAS	6-7L	7.0	6	5	8	Over
09-03-23	vsATL	1-3W	7.0	3	1	5	Under
08-28-23	vsARI	4-7W	6.0	7	4	4	Over
08-22-23	@CLE	3-8L	6.3	6	4	5	Over
08-15-23	vsMIL	2-6W	6.0	1	1	4	Over

Kyle Hendricks

ERA 3.769 | IP 131 | 6W-8L | KO 88

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-30-24	@TEX	2-11L	3.7	9	5	2	Over
09-29-23	@MIL	3-4L	4.3	5	3	2	Under
09-21-23	vsPIT	8-6L	6.0	7	3	5	Over
09-16-23	@ARI	6-7L	5.3	7	3	3	Over
09-10-23	vsARI	2-5W	5.7	7	2	4	Under
09-05-23	vsSF	8-11W	5.3	7	5	5	Over
08-30-23	vsMIL	2-3W	6.0	4	1	6	Under
08-25-23	@PIT	1-2L	5.7	6	2	4	Under
08-20-23	vsKC	3-4W	6.3	5	1	3	Under
08-15-23	vsCWS	5-3L	6.0	7	3	4	Over

Dodgers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/05	@ SF	5-4W	9	2	Over
04/04	@ SF	5-4W	9	1	Over
04/03	@ SF	8-3W	9	1	Over
04/02	@ STL	5-4W	8	2	Over
04/01	@ STL	5-6L	14	1	Over
03/31	@ STL	6-3W	7	4	Over
03/30	@ STL	7-1W	10	2	Over
10/03	vs SF	5-2W	7	1	Under
10/02	vs SF	1-2L	8	0	Under
10/01	vs SF	6-2W	6	3	Over
09/30	vs COL	5-14L	12	2	Over
09/29	vs COL	8-2W	12	2	Over
09/28	vs COL	1-4L	9	0	Under
09/28	vs COL	11-2W	18	1	Over
09/26	@ SF	3-2W	6	1	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/05	@ COL	9-8W	10	1	Over
04/04	@ COL	12-2W	14	4	Over
04/03	@ COL	5-0W	9	0	Under
04/02	vs TEX	9-5W	12	1	Over
04/01	vs TEX	2-11L	5	1	Over
03/30	vs TEX	3-4L	6	0	Under
10/03	vs MIL	0-4L	5	0	Under
10/02	vs MIL	10-6W	13	3	Over
10/01	vs MIL	3-4L	6	2	Under
09/30	vs ATL	3-5L	6	0	Over
09/29	vs ATL	5-6L	7	2	Over
09/28	vs ATL	6-7L	13	0	Over
09/26	@ COL	4-3W	7	1	Under
09/25	@ COL	6-3W	9	1	Over
09/24	@ COL	6-0W	7	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Los Angeles Dodgers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Mookie Betts	10.8	14.4	0.307	0.579	48.5%	106.3%	6.7%
#2 Shohei Ohtani	10.8	14.8	0.304	0.654	49.3%	114.7%	8.9%
#3 Freddie Freeman	9.7	12.7	0.333	0.568	47.1%	103.9%	4.6%
#4 Will Smith	8.7	11.7	0.261	0.438	42.9%	86.6%	4.1%
#5 Max Muncy	7.8	10.8	0.212	0.475	40.0%	87.6%	7.5%
#6 Teoscar Hernandez	8.0	10.4	0.257	0.434	33.0%	76.4%	4.2%
#7 James Outman	7.3	9.7	0.248	0.437	41.4%	85.1%	4.8%
#8 Chris Taylor	7.3	9.7	0.237	0.42	37.0%	79.0%	4.4%
#9 Gavin Lux	nan	8.8	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	7.4	9.8	0.25	0.43	42.8%	85.8%	3.6%
#2 Seiya Suzuki	7.4	9.6	0.285	0.479	40.4%	88.3%	3.7%
#3 Cody Bellinger	6.5	8.6	0.306	0.526	39.5%	92.1%	5.2%
#4 Christopher Morel	6.8	9.0	0.247	0.51	34.6%	85.7%	6.8%
#5 Dansby Swanson	6.4	8.5	0.244	0.416	37.0%	78.6%	3.9%
#6 Michael Busch	5.4	7.2	0.167	0.292	27.8%	56.9%	2.8%
#7 Nico Hoerner	6.5	8.3	0.286	0.387	38.7%	77.4%	1.5%
#8 Mike Tauchman	4.7	6.3	0.253	0.38	43.4%	81.3%	2.4%
#9 Yan Gomes	4.9	6.4	0.265	0.407	34.4%	75.1%	2.6%