Dodgers vs Cubs Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 6th 2024

It’s a hardball hoedown in the heart of the Windy City as the sizzling 7W-3L Los Angeles Dodgers roll into Wrigley Field, ready to rumble with the 5W-2L Chicago Cubs. With a first pitch set to fly at 4:05PM EST, we’re looking at a classic National League showdown. The Dodgers are breathing down the necks of the conference leaders, while the Cubs are hot on their tails, just half a game back. The bookies are stirring the pot with an over/under of 8.0, favoring the Dodgers at -190 and giving the Cubs a tempting line at 156. The Cubs are riding high after their recent 9-7 victory against the Dodgers, who are out to settle the score after that stinging defeat. The Chicago weather is set to add an extra layer of drama to the mix, with a partly cloudy sky, a cool 43.0° temperature, and a gentle breeze from the NNE at 5.6 mph. So, as we gear up for this epic clash, remember folks, in this game of Cubs and Dodgers, it’s not just about dodging the ball, it’s about cubbing the odds!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 06, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NNE at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 43.0° with 68% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	LAD ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-190	+156	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-186	+154	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+4	-2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

148W-95L

65.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

121W-119L

35.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/05/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	7	Over	+8.0
04/05/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	9	Over	+8.0
04/14/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	8	Over	+2.0
04/14/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	2	Over	+2.0
04/15/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-5.0
04/15/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	2	Under	-5.0
04/16/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-3.0
04/16/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	2	Under	-3.0
04/20/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	6	Push	-0.0
04/20/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Push	-0.0
04/21/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	0	Over	+5.0
04/21/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	13	Over	+5.0
04/22/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	9	Over	+5.0
04/22/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+5.0
04/23/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	7	Over	+2.0
04/23/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+2.0

Dodgers Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Bobby Miller

ERA 3.764 | IP 124 | 11W-4L | KO 119

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-05-24	@CHC	7-9L	1.7	4	5	3	Over
03-29-24	vsSTL	3-6W	6.0	2	0	11	Over
10-01-23	@SF	5-2W	4.0	1	0	4	Under
09-26-23	@COL	11-2W	7.0	7	2	9	Over
09-20-23	vsDET	4-2L	6.0	3	2	7	Under
09-15-23	@SEA	6-3W	5.7	6	3	7	Over
09-09-23	@WAS	6-7L	7.0	6	5	8	Over
09-03-23	vsATL	1-3W	7.0	3	1	5	Under
08-28-23	vsARI	4-7W	6.0	7	4	4	Over
08-22-23	@CLE	3-8L	6.3	6	4	5	Over

Kyle Hendricks

ERA 3.769 | IP 131 | 6W-8L | KO 88

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-05-24	vsLAD	7-9W	4.0	8	5	4	Over
03-30-24	@TEX	2-11L	3.7	9	5	2	Over
09-29-23	@MIL	3-4L	4.3	5	3	2	Under
09-21-23	vsPIT	8-6L	6.0	7	3	5	Over
09-16-23	@ARI	6-7L	5.3	7	3	3	Over
09-10-23	vsARI	2-5W	5.7	7	2	4	Under
09-05-23	vsSF	8-11W	5.3	7	5	5	Over
08-30-23	vsMIL	2-3W	6.0	4	1	6	Under
08-25-23	@PIT	1-2L	5.7	6	2	4	Under
08-20-23	vsKC	3-4W	6.3	5	1	3	Under

Dodgers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/07	vs CHC	7-9L	12	1	Over
04/05	@ SF	5-4W	9	2	Over
04/04	@ SF	5-4W	9	1	Over
04/03	@ SF	8-3W	9	1	Over
04/02	@ STL	5-4W	8	2	Over
04/01	@ STL	5-6L	14	1	Over
03/31	@ STL	6-3W	7	4	Over
03/30	@ STL	7-1W	10	2	Push
10/03	vs SF	5-2W	7	1	Under
10/02	vs SF	1-2L	8	0	Under
10/01	vs SF	6-2W	6	3	Push
09/30	vs COL	5-14L	12	2	Over
09/29	vs COL	8-2W	12	2	Over
09/28	vs COL	1-4L	9	0	Under
09/28	vs COL	11-2W	18	1	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/07	@ LAD	9-7W	9	2	Over
04/05	@ COL	9-8W	10	1	Over
04/04	@ COL	12-2W	14	4	Over
04/03	@ COL	5-0W	9	0	Under
04/02	vs TEX	9-5W	12	1	Over
04/01	vs TEX	2-11L	5	1	Over
03/30	vs TEX	3-4L	6	0	Under
10/03	vs MIL	0-4L	5	0	Under
10/02	vs MIL	10-6W	13	3	Over
10/01	vs MIL	3-4L	6	2	Under
09/30	vs ATL	3-5L	6	0	Push
09/29	vs ATL	5-6L	7	2	Over
09/28	vs ATL	6-7L	13	0	Over
09/26	@ COL	4-3W	7	1	Under
09/25	@ COL	6-3W	9	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Los Angeles Dodgers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Mookie Betts	10.4	13.9	0.307	0.579	48.5%	106.3%	6.7%
#2 Shohei Ohtani	9.9	13.6	0.304	0.654	49.3%	114.7%	8.9%
#3 Freddie Freeman	10.0	13.1	0.333	0.568	47.1%	103.9%	4.6%
#4 Will Smith	8.1	10.9	0.261	0.438	42.9%	86.6%	4.1%
#5 Max Muncy	7.4	10.2	0.212	0.475	40.0%	87.6%	7.5%
#6 Teoscar Hernandez	7.9	10.3	0.257	0.434	33.0%	76.4%	4.2%
#7 James Outman	6.8	9.0	0.248	0.437	41.4%	85.1%	4.8%
#8 Chris Taylor	7.1	9.4	0.237	0.42	37.0%	79.0%	4.4%
#9 Gavin Lux	nan	8.1	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	7.1	9.4	0.25	0.43	42.8%	85.8%	3.6%
#2 Seiya Suzuki	7.7	10.0	0.285	0.479	40.4%	88.3%	3.7%
#3 Cody Bellinger	7.0	9.2	0.306	0.526	39.5%	92.1%	5.2%
#4 Christopher Morel	7.0	9.3	0.247	0.51	34.6%	85.7%	6.8%
#5 Dansby Swanson	6.7	8.8	0.244	0.416	37.0%	78.6%	3.9%
#6 Michael Busch	5.4	7.3	0.167	0.292	27.8%	56.9%	2.8%
#7 Nico Hoerner	6.1	7.8	0.286	0.387	38.7%	77.4%	1.5%
#8 Mike Tauchman	5.0	6.7	0.253	0.38	43.4%	81.3%	2.4%
#9 Yan Gomes	4.7	6.2	0.265	0.407	34.4%	75.1%	2.6%