Dodgers vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Petco Park tonight as the high-flying Los Angeles Dodgers, sitting pretty at the top of the National League, clash with the gritty San Diego Padres, who are looking to climb up from their mid-pack hangout. With the first pitch slated for 08:40PM EST, the scene is set under a moody overcast sky, promising a game as unpredictable as the weather. The stakes are high with the betting lines buzzing—the Dodgers are the favorites, but remember, the Padres just edged them out in their last encounter. So, as the cool breeze from the NNW whips through the stadium, fans are buckling up for a game that’s expected to be as tightly contested as the coastal fog is thick. And tonight, it’s all about whether the Dodgers can ‘pad’ their lead or if the Padres will ‘dodge’ another loss and keep the suspense building in the National League!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 11, 2024 08:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Overcast with winds from the NNW at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 61.0° with 90% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	LAD ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-155	+130	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-145	+122	9.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+10	-8	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

158W-100L

59.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

138W-121L

40.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/20/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-2.0
03/20/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-2.0
03/21/24	San Diego Padres SD	15	Over	+17.0
03/21/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	11	Over	+17.0
04/12/24	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+6.0
04/12/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	7	Over	+6.0
04/13/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-2.0
04/13/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-2.0
04/14/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Push	-0.0
04/14/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	3	Push	-0.0
05/10/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	1	Under	-6.0
05/10/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-6.0
05/05/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	2	Under	-2.0
05/05/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Under	-2.0
05/06/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	2	Under	-6.0
05/06/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-6.0
05/07/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-2.0
05/07/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-2.0
05/12/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-3.0
05/12/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Under	-3.0
05/13/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-3.0
05/13/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Under	-3.0
05/14/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-5.0
05/14/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Under	-5.0
08/04/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	10	Over	+6.0
08/04/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+6.0
08/05/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	3	Over	+2.0
08/05/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+2.0
08/06/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	8	Over	+1.0
08/06/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Over	+1.0
08/07/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	13	Over	+11.0
08/07/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+11.0
09/11/23	San Diego Padres SD	11	Over	+10.0
09/11/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	8	Over	+10.0
09/12/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Over	+4.0
09/12/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	11	Over	+4.0
09/13/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-2.0
09/13/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	1	Under	-2.0

Dodgers Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

James Paxton

ERA 3.062 | IP 32.3 | 4.0W-0.0L | KO 18.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-05-24	vsATL	1-5W	6.7	5	1	3	Under
04-29-24	@ARI	8-4W	5.0	6	4	4	Over
04-23-24	@WAS	4-1W	4.7	5	1	1	Under
04-14-24	vsSD	6-3L	5.0	3	3	1	Under
04-08-24	@MIN	4-2W	6.0	3	2	4	Under
04-01-24	vsSF	3-8W	5.0	4	0	5	Over
09-01-23	@KC	2-13W	1.3	5	6	0	Over
08-26-23	@LAD	5-8L	4.3	4	4	4	Over
08-21-23	@HOU	4-9W	4.0	9	7	4	Over
08-16-23	@WAS	2-6W	6.0	5	2	3	Under

Matt Waldron

ERA 5.824 | IP 34.0 | 1.0W-4.0L | KO 29.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-05-24	@ARI	4-11L	3.0	8	8	2	Over
04-29-24	vsCIN	5-2L	6.0	6	4	4	Under
04-24-24	@COL	5-2W	6.0	4	1	5	Under
04-19-24	vsTOR	5-1L	4.7	7	5	2	Under
04-13-24	@LAD	2-5L	5.0	3	1	4	Under
04-07-24	@SF	2-3L	5.3	3	1	5	Under
04-01-24	vsSTL	6-2L	4.0	9	4	7	Under
09-27-23	@SF	5-2W	6.0	5	2	2	Under
09-22-23	vsSTL	2-4W	5.7	3	1	9	Under
09-16-23	@OAK	5-2W	5.3	7	2	5	Under

Dodgers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/12	vs SD	1-2L	4	0	Under
05/10	@ MIA	3-1W	6	1	Under
05/09	@ MIA	8-2W	5	2	Over
05/08	@ MIA	6-3W	9	4	Under
05/07	@ ATL	5-1W	5	3	Under
05/06	@ ATL	11-2W	16	5	Over
05/05	@ ATL	4-3W	9	1	Under
05/03	vs ARI	8-0W	10	2	Under
05/02	vs ARI	3-4L	5	0	Under
05/01	vs ARI	8-4W	10	1	Over
04/30	vs TOR	1-3L	6	1	Under
04/29	vs TOR	4-2W	11	0	Under
04/28	vs TOR	12-2W	19	3	Over
04/27	vs WAS	2-1W	9	1	Under
04/26	vs WAS	11-2W	20	1	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/12	@ LAD	2-1W	3	1	Under
05/10	vs CHC	3-0W	8	0	Under
05/09	vs CHC	2-3L	9	1	Under
05/08	vs CHC	6-3W	11	0	Under
05/07	vs ARI	4-11L	12	1	Over
05/06	vs ARI	13-1W	18	2	Over
05/05	vs ARI	7-1W	12	3	Under
05/03	@ CIN	6-2W	8	1	Under
05/02	@ CIN	6-4W	10	0	Over
05/01	@ CIN	2-5L	4	1	Under
04/30	@ PHI	6-8L	9	2	Over
04/29	@ PHI	1-5L	3	1	Under
04/28	@ PHI	3-9L	7	1	Over
04/27	vs COL	9-10L	11	2	Over
04/26	vs COL	5-2W	8	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Los Angeles Dodgers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Mookie Betts	11.7	15.3	0.327	0.517	51.7%	103.4%	3.4%
#2 Shohei Ohtani	13.6	17.7	0.363	0.705	50.0%	120.5%	7.5%
#3 Freddie Freeman	11.1	14.7	0.307	0.464	47.9%	94.3%	2.1%
#4 Will Smith	8.8	11.8	0.308	0.487	42.7%	91.5%	3.4%
#5 Max Muncy	9.3	12.7	0.241	0.545	41.1%	95.5%	8.0%
#6 Teoscar Hernandez	8.4	11.2	0.266	0.517	35.7%	87.4%	7.0%
#7 Andy Pages	7.0	9.2	0.3	0.512	37.5%	88.8%	5.0%
#8 Gavin Lux	6.8	9.0	0.181	0.241	27.7%	51.8%	1.2%
#9 James Outman	8.0	10.5	0.169	0.303	25.8%	56.2%	3.4%

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jurickson Profar	7.5	10.0	0.323	0.523	46.2%	98.5%	4.6%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	9.7	12.8	0.243	0.434	35.5%	78.9%	4.6%
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.1	9.3	0.273	0.475	38.1%	85.6%	4.3%
#4 Manny Machado	8.7	11.3	0.243	0.368	29.4%	66.2%	2.9%
#5 Xander Bogaerts	8.1	10.4	0.195	0.275	26.8%	54.4%	1.3%
#6 Donovan Solano	6.7	8.3	0.429	0.429	57.1%	100.0%	0.0%
#7 Luis Campusano	6.0	8.0	0.282	0.436	34.5%	78.2%	2.7%
#8 Ha-Seong Kim	6.7	8.9	0.219	0.387	37.2%	75.9%	3.6%
#9 Jose Azocar	5.2	6.4	0.31	0.333	38.1%	71.4%	0.0%