Marlins vs Braves Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 23rd 2024
Marlins
6W-18L
April 23, 2024
07:20PM EST
Odds: 9.0 o/u
Braves
15W-6L
Get ready to dive into the deep end of the pool tonight as the struggling Miami Marlins swim upstream to Truist Park, hoping to make some waves against the high-flying Atlanta Braves. With the Marlins gasping for air at a distant 10.5 games back and the Braves sitting pretty at the top of the National League, this 07:20 PM EST showdown is more than just a game—it’s a quest for redemption and dominance. The stakes? A cool over/under of 9.0 in a partly cloudy Atlanta, where the breeze is as unpredictable as the game’s outcome. While the Marlins are still reeling from a recent 0-3 splash against the Braves, Atlanta is looking to keep their winning stream flowing. So, as the Marlins try to fish for a win, let’s see if the Braves can keep riding the wave, or if Miami can finally make some ripples in Atlanta’s pond!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 23, 2024 07:20PM EST
Location: Truist Park, Atlanta
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SW at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 55.0° with 59% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| MIA ML | ATL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +210 | -260 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +215 | -265 | 8.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +5 | -5 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
31.7% Win Probability
68.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/24 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 8 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 1 | ||||
| 04/13/24 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 1 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | ||||
| 04/14/24 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 9 | Over | +7.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 7 | ||||
| 04/22/24 | Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 3 | ||||
| 04/24/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 11 | ||||
| 04/25/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 7 | ||||
| 04/26/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | ||||
| 04/27/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 4 | ||||
| 05/02/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | ||||
| 05/03/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 14 | Over | +11.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 6 | ||||
| 05/04/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | ||||
| 06/30/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | Over | +11.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 16 | ||||
| 07/01/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 7 | ||||
| 07/02/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | ||||
| 09/15/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | Over | +6.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 9 | ||||
| 09/16/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 5 | Over | +7.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 11 | ||||
| 09/17/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 2 | Over | +9.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 16 |
Marlins Vs Over/Under
Braves Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17-24 | vsSF | 3-1L | 5.7 | 4 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 04-12-24 | vsATL | 8-1L | 5.0 | 8 | 2 | 5 | Over |
| 04-06-24 | @STL | 1-3L | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | Under |
| 03-31-24 | vsPIT | 9-7L | 5.0 | 7 | 4 | 6 | Over |
| 04-19-23 | vsSF | 5-2L | 3.0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | Under |
| 04-14-23 | vsARI | 1-5W | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 04-08-23 | @NYM | 2-5L | 4.7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | Under |
| 04-02-23 | vsNYM | 5-1L | 4.3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | Under |
| 09-17-22 | vsWAS | 5-1L | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | Under |
| 09-12-22 | vsTEX | 5-1L | 6.3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | Under |
| 04-22-24 | @ATL | 0-3L | 5.7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 04-16-24 | vsSF | 3-6W | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | Over |
| 04-10-24 | @NYY | 5-2W | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 04-04-24 | @STL | 5-8L | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | Over |
| 03-30-24 | vsPIT | 9-3L | 4.0 | 7 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 10-01-23 | @PIT | 0-3L | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | Under |
| 08-21-23 | @SD | 2-6L | 3.3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | Under |
| 08-05-23 | @TEX | 8-9L | 3.7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | Over |
| 07-15-23 | @PHI | 4-9W | 4.7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | Over |
| 06-15-23 | @CLE | 8-6L | 1.7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17-24 | @HOU | 5-4W | 5.0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | Over |
| 04-12-24 | @MIA | 8-1W | 6.3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | Over |
| 04-06-24 | vsARI | 8-9W | 4.3 | 10 | 8 | 5 | Over |
| 03-30-24 | @PHI | 12-4W | 0.7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 09-21-23 | @WAS | 10-3W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | Over |
| 09-12-23 | @PHI | 7-6W | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | Over |
| 09-07-23 | vsSTL | 5-8W | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | Over |
| 09-01-23 | @LAD | 6-3W | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | Over |
| 08-26-23 | @SF | 7-3W | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | Over |
| 08-20-23 | vsSF | 4-3L | 5.7 | 9 | 3 | 6 | Under |
Marlins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/24 | vs ATL | 0-3L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/23 | vs CHC | 6-3W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 04/22 | vs CHC | 3-5L | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/22 | vs CHC | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/21 | vs CHC | 3-8L | 6 | 1 | Over |
| 04/19 | @ SF | 1-3L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/18 | @ SF | 6-3W | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 04/17 | @ SF | 3-4L | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 04/16 | @ ATL | 7-9L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 04/15 | @ ATL | 5-1W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/14 | @ ATL | 1-8L | 6 | 0 | Over |
| 04/12 | vs NYY | 5-2W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/11 | vs NYY | 2-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 04/10 | vs NYY | 0-7L | 2 | 0 | Under |
| 04/09 | vs STL | 10-3W | 13 | 2 | Over |
Braves Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/24 | @ MIA | 3-0W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/23 | @ TEX | 4-6L | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 04/22 | @ TEX | 5-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/21 | @ TEX | 8-3W | 6 | 4 | Over |
| 04/19 | vs HOU | 5-4W | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 04/18 | vs HOU | 6-2W | 11 | 1 | Under |
| 04/17 | vs HOU | 6-1W | 11 | 0 | Under |
| 04/16 | vs MIA | 9-7W | 12 | 2 | Over |
| 04/15 | vs MIA | 1-5L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/14 | vs MIA | 8-1W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 04/13 | @ NYM | 4-16L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 04/11 | @ NYM | 6-5W | 11 | 0 | Over |
| 04/10 | @ NYM | 7-8L | 12 | 1 | Over |
| 04/09 | @ ARI | 5-2W | 7 | 3 | Under |
| 04/08 | @ ARI | 9-8W | 15 | 1 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| Miami Marlins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Luis Arraez
|
7.7 | 9.6 | 0.276 | 0.347 | 36.7% | 71.4% | 0.0% |
| 7.8 | 10.0 | 0.273 | 0.465 | 30.3% | 76.8% | 5.1% | |
| 8.1 | 10.6 | 0.244 | 0.372 | 37.2% | 74.4% | 2.3% | |
|
#4
Josh Bell
|
7.3 | 9.9 | 0.193 | 0.33 | 34.1% | 67.0% | 3.4% |
| 7.4 | 9.4 | 0.218 | 0.273 | 27.3% | 54.5% | 1.8% | |
|
#6
Tim Anderson
|
6.3 | 7.7 | 0.25 | 0.276 | 30.3% | 57.9% | 0.0% |
| 7.2 | 8.8 | 0.244 | 0.4 | 26.7% | 66.7% | 4.4% | |
|
#7
Nick Gordon
|
5.8 | 7.9 | 0.22 | 0.44 | 28.0% | 72.0% | 6.0% |
|
#8
Otto Lopez
|
5.8 | 7.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 20.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| 6.2 | 7.7 | 0.225 | 0.225 | 37.5% | 60.0% | 0.0% | |
|
#9
Nick Fortes
|
5.5 | 7.1 | 0.116 | 0.163 | 18.6% | 34.9% | 0.0% |
| 6.4 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlanta Braves | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.8 | 15.3 | 0.305 | 0.39 | 50.0% | 89.0% | 1.2% | |
| 8.9 | 11.3 | 0.338 | 0.494 | 40.3% | 89.6% | 1.3% | |
|
#3
Austin Riley
|
10.5 | 14.1 | 0.25 | 0.432 | 35.2% | 78.4% | 2.3% |
|
#4
Matt Olson
|
9.9 | 13.4 | 0.222 | 0.444 | 39.5% | 84.0% | 3.7% |
| 9.5 | 12.8 | 0.325 | 0.687 | 44.6% | 113.3% | 10.8% | |
|
#6
Adam Duvall
|
7.4 | 10.3 | 0.182 | 0.303 | 36.4% | 66.7% | 3.0% |
| 8.1 | 10.3 | 0.307 | 0.466 | 36.4% | 83.0% | 3.4% | |
| 7.9 | 10.8 | 0.273 | 0.636 | 38.2% | 101.8% | 9.1% | |
| 5.5 | 7.1 | 0.167 | 0.167 | 16.7% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
Marlins Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Braves Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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