Marlins vs Cubs Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 20th 2024

Hey sports fans, get ready for a clash at Wrigley that’s set to be as unpredictable as Chicago weather! Tonight, under the glow of the lights and a partly cloudy sky, the struggling Miami Marlins, who’ve been swimming against the tide this season, are hoping to make a splash against the high-flying Chicago Cubs. The Cubs, sitting pretty near the top of the National League standings, are looking to keep their winning streak alive after recently sending the Marlins back to the ocean depths with an 8-3 victory. With the first pitch at 07:40 PM EST and the betting lines buzzing, everyone’s wondering if the Marlins can turn the tide or if the Cubs will continue their bearish dominance on the field. Will the Marlins manage to fish out a win, or will the Cubs send them packing with their tails between their fins?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 20, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 39.0° with 52% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+167	-204	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+174	-214	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+7	-10	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

95W-151L

36.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

123W-120L

63.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/19/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+3.0
04/19/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	8	Over	+3.0
04/28/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-3.0
04/28/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-3.0
04/29/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+5.0
04/29/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+5.0
04/30/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-1.0
04/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.0
05/05/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-3.0
05/05/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-3.0
05/06/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-2.0
05/06/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-2.0
05/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+1.0
05/07/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+1.0

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

A.J. Puk

ERA 9.22 | IP 13.7 | 0.0W-4.0L | KO 12.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	vsATL	9-7L	5.0	7	5	4	Over
04-08-24	@NYY	0-7L	4.7	8	7	4	Under
04-02-24	vsLAA	3-1L	5.3	4	3	5	Under
03-28-24	vsPIT	6-5L	5.0	2	2	8	Over
10-02-23	@NYM	0-1L	7.3	4	0	10	Under
09-23-23	vsMIL	4-5W	5.0	3	3	4	Over
09-17-23	vsATL	2-16W	6.0	4	0	8	Over
09-11-23	@MIL	0-12L	5.0	10	6	5	Over
09-05-23	vsLAD	3-6W	6.0	4	2	6	Over
08-30-23	vsTB	3-0L	6.0	1	0	8	Under
04-19-24	@CHC	3-8L	3.0	7	7	4	Over
04-09-24	@NYY	2-3L	4.7	4	2	2	Under
04-03-24	vsLAA	10-2L	4.0	5	4	5	Over
03-29-24	vsPIT	7-2L	2.0	3	4	1	Over
09-30-23	@PIT	7-3W	2.0	3	1	3	Over
09-27-23	@NYM	4-2W	1.7	1	0	2	Under
09-23-23	vsMIL	4-5W	1.0	2	1	1	Over
09-19-23	vsNYM	3-4W	0.7	3	0	1	Under
09-18-23	vsNYM	2-1L	1.7	0	0	2	Under
09-15-23	vsATL	6-9W	1.3	0	0	3	Over

Jameson Taillon

ERA 1.8 | IP 5.0 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 4.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	@SEA	3-2W	5.7	4	2	6	Under
04-08-24	@SD	8-9L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
04-02-24	vsCOL	2-12W	6.0	4	0	5	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	1.7	2	0	4	Over
09-28-23	@ATL	3-5L	2.0	1	1	3	Push
09-26-23	@ATL	6-7L	1.0	1	2	2	Over
09-23-23	vsCOL	3-6W	4.0	2	0	6	Over
09-19-23	vsPIT	1-14W	5.0	5	1	8	Over
09-12-23	@COL	4-6L	3.3	5	4	4	Over
09-07-23	vsARI	6-2L	5.3	7	3	0	Push
04-19-24	vsMIA	3-8W	5.0	3	1	4	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	4.0	3	0	3	Over
09-27-23	@ATL	5-6L	6.0	3	2	3	Over
09-22-23	vsCOL	0-6W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
09-13-23	@COL	3-7L	5.0	7	5	5	Over
09-08-23	vsARI	1-0L	6.0	1	0	9	Under
09-03-23	@CIN	15-7W	5.7	7	5	7	Over
08-28-23	vsMIL	6-2L	6.0	9	5	6	Push
08-23-23	@DET	6-4W	5.7	4	4	6	Over
08-18-23	vsKC	4-3L	6.0	6	4	3	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/21	vs CHC	3-8L	6	1	Over
04/19	@ SF	1-3L	6	1	Under
04/18	@ SF	6-3W	8	0	Over
04/17	@ SF	3-4L	10	1	Under
04/16	@ ATL	7-9L	9	2	Over
04/15	@ ATL	5-1W	8	1	Under
04/14	@ ATL	1-8L	6	0	Over
04/12	vs NYY	5-2W	6	1	Under
04/11	vs NYY	2-3L	4	0	Under
04/10	vs NYY	0-7L	2	0	Under
04/09	vs STL	10-3W	13	2	Over
04/08	vs STL	1-3L	8	0	Under
04/06	vs STL	5-8L	9	3	Over
04/05	@ LAA	2-10L	4	0	Over
04/04	@ LAA	1-3L	5	1	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/21	@ MIA	8-3W	10	0	Over
04/19	vs ARI	5-3W	9	1	Push
04/18	vs ARI	11-11L	14	1	Over
04/17	vs ARI	3-2W	9	1	Under
04/16	vs SEA	3-2W	8	1	Under
04/15	vs SEA	4-1W	6	3	Under
04/14	vs SEA	2-4L	4	1	Under
04/12	vs SD	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/11	vs SD	5-1W	9	2	Under
04/10	vs SD	8-9L	8	0	Over
04/09	@ LAD	8-1W	7	1	Over
04/08	@ LAD	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/07	@ LAD	9-7W	9	2	Over
04/05	@ COL	9-8W	10	1	Over
04/04	@ COL	12-2W	14	4	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	8.0	10.1	0.263	0.325	37.5%	70.0%	0.0%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	8.6	10.9	0.286	0.476	29.8%	77.4%	4.8%
#3 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	9.9	13.0	0.232	0.377	37.7%	75.4%	2.9%
#4 Josh Bell	7.8	10.5	0.192	0.315	34.2%	65.8%	2.7%
#5 Jesus Sanchez	8.4	10.8	0.167	0.167	23.8%	40.5%	0.0%
#6 Tim Anderson	6.7	8.0	0.254	0.27	31.7%	58.7%	0.0%
#7 Nick Gordon	6.3	8.8	0.211	0.474	28.9%	76.3%	7.9%
#8 Emmanuel Rivera	5.8	7.1	0.214	0.214	32.1%	53.6%	0.0%
#9 Nick Fortes	5.4	7.1	0.088	0.118	17.6%	29.4%	0.0%
#9 Jhonny Pereda	7.0	7.0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	9.5	12.7	0.242	0.339	45.2%	79.0%	0.0%
#2 Patrick Wisdom	8.4	13.0	0.0	0.0	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%
#3 Cody Bellinger	8.2	11.0	0.216	0.378	35.1%	73.0%	4.1%
#4 Christopher Morel	8.9	12.0	0.208	0.375	29.2%	66.7%	4.2%
#5 Dansby Swanson	8.9	11.6	0.254	0.408	36.6%	77.5%	2.8%
#6 Ian Happ	7.9	10.7	0.227	0.347	40.0%	74.7%	1.3%
#7 Garrett Cooper	8.2	10.5	0.346	0.577	46.2%	103.8%	3.8%
#8 Yan Gomes	6.0	7.6	0.194	0.323	19.4%	51.6%	3.2%
#8 Nick Madrigal	6.1	8.4	0.25	0.35	30.0%	65.0%	0.0%
#9 Miguel Amaya	6.3	8.4	0.278	0.472	33.3%	80.6%	2.8%
#9 Alexander Canario	4.9	6.9	0.333	0.667	33.3%	100.0%	0.0%