Marlins vs Brewers Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the deep end tonight as the Miami Marlins, swimming upstream this season with a 37W-66L record, splash into American Family Field to challenge the Milwaukee Brewers, who are sitting pretty at the top of the National League with a 59W-43L record. The action kicks off at 08:10 PM EST under clear skies and perfect baseball weather in Milwaukee. With the Brewers fresh off a tight win against the Cubs and the Marlins still reeling from a close shave against the Orioles, the stakes are high and the betting lines hotter than a ballpark frank. The over/under teeters at 8.0, tempting the daring among us. Will the Brewers continue to brew up victories, or will the Marlins manage to fish out a much-needed win? It’s all set for an evening where we’ll see if the Marlins can truly swim with the Brews!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 26, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SE at 4.9 mph. Temperature is at 72.1° with 54% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+190	-230	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+190	-230	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

107W-178L

34.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

166W-119L

65.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/20/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-3.0
05/20/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-3.0
05/21/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+4.0
05/21/24	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+4.0
05/22/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-7.0
05/22/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-7.0
09/11/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Over	+4.0
09/11/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	12	Over	+4.0
09/12/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-4.0
09/12/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-4.0
09/13/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-6.0
09/13/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-6.0
09/14/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-2.0
09/14/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-2.0
09/22/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	16	Over	+9.0
09/22/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Over	+9.0
09/23/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Over	+1.0
09/23/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+1.0
09/24/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-1.0
09/24/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Under	-1.0

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Trevor Rogers

ERA 4.675 | IP 94.3 | 1.0W-9.0L | KO 80.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-21-24	vsNYM	2-4W	4.7	5	2	5	Under
07-09-24	@HOU	3-4L	5.3	6	2	5	Under
07-03-24	vsBOS	7-2L	3.0	5	2	6	Over
06-27-24	@PHI	7-4W	6.0	6	3	4	Over
06-21-24	vsSEA	2-3W	6.3	4	2	5	Under
06-15-24	@WAS	0-4L	7.0	6	2	3	Under
06-09-24	vsCLE	6-3L	5.0	2	1	5	Over
06-02-24	vsTEX	6-0L	6.0	6	4	3	Under
05-27-24	@SD	1-2L	5.3	6	1	3	Under
05-21-24	vsMIL	7-5L	3.7	6	4	4	Over

Freddy Peralta

ERA 3.881 | IP 109.0 | 6.0W-5.0L | KO 138.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-20-24	@MIN	8-4W	6.0	2	0	8	Over
07-12-24	vsWAS	5-2L	5.0	10	4	6	Under
07-06-24	@LAD	3-5L	4.0	4	3	4	Over
06-30-24	vsCHC	1-7W	7.0	2	1	8	Over
06-24-24	vsTEX	3-6W	5.0	4	2	6	Over
06-19-24	@LAA	2-0W	6.0	3	0	8	Under
06-14-24	vsCIN	6-5L	5.3	10	6	6	Over
06-08-24	@DET	5-4W	3.3	4	4	3	Over
06-02-24	vsCWS	3-6W	5.0	4	3	7	Over
05-28-24	vsCHC	6-3L	5.7	3	1	11	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/27	@ BAL	6-7L	9	1	Over
07/26	@ BAL	6-3W	9	1	Over
07/25	@ BAL	6-3W	10	1	Over
07/24	@ NYM	4-6L	9	2	Over
07/23	@ NYM	4-2W	9	2	Under
07/22	@ NYM	0-1L	4	0	Under
07/21	@ NYM	6-4W	10	1	Over
07/15	vs CIN	6-10L	15	2	Over
07/14	vs CIN	4-7L	11	1	Over
07/13	vs HOU	3-6L	11	2	Over
07/12	vs HOU	1-9L	6	0	Over
07/11	vs HOU	3-4L	6	2	Under
07/09	@ CWS	7-4W	7	1	Over
07/08	@ CWS	4-3W	9	1	Under
07/07	@ CWS	2-3L	7	0	Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/26	vs CHC	3-2W	10	0	Under
07/25	vs CHC	1-0W	7	0	Under
07/24	vs CHC	1-3L	5	1	Under
07/23	vs MIN	8-7W	11	4	Over
07/22	vs MIN	8-4W	11	0	Over
07/15	@ WAS	5-6L	6	0	Over
07/14	@ WAS	2-5L	4	0	Under
07/13	@ PIT	0-1L	2	0	Under
07/12	@ PIT	9-0W	14	2	Over
07/11	@ PIT	2-12L	6	0	Over
07/09	vs LAD	9-2W	12	3	Over
07/08	vs LAD	3-5L	5	2	Over
07/07	vs LAD	5-8L	4	1	Over
07/06	vs COL	3-4L	8	0	Under
07/05	vs COL	3-0W	9	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	8.1	10.5	0.245	0.406	0.348	0.755	0.308	0.034
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	7.4	9.5	0.244	0.415	0.309	0.723	0.299	0.042
#3 Jake Burger	7.3	9.5	0.224	0.383	0.287	0.670	0.278	0.040
#4 Josh Bell	6.3	8.2	0.236	0.381	0.333	0.714	0.294	0.031
#5 Jesus Sanchez	6.5	8.4	0.245	0.422	0.316	0.738	0.305	0.041
#6 Otto Lopez	5.6	7.1	0.242	0.332	0.289	0.621	0.260	0.016
#7 Xavier Edwards	5.4	6.8	0.356	0.411	0.507	0.918	0.363	0.000
#8 Nick Gordon	4.6	6.0	0.232	0.386	0.275	0.661	0.276	0.034
#9 Nick Fortes	4.0	5.1	0.183	0.246	0.220	0.466	0.199	0.010

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Joey Ortiz	8.2	10.8	0.247	0.407	0.412	0.819	0.328	0.029
#3 William Contreras	8.8	11.5	0.287	0.431	0.393	0.825	0.335	0.025
#3 Rhys Hoskins	8.4	11.4	0.209	0.407	0.344	0.751	0.306	0.055
#4 Willy Adames	8.6	11.4	0.242	0.418	0.374	0.792	0.321	0.039
#5 Jackson Chourio	7.1	9.3	0.255	0.401	0.323	0.724	0.299	0.034
#6 Garrett Mitchell	7.9	10.1	0.220	0.293	0.366	0.659	0.271	0.000
#7 Gary Sanchez	7.0	9.4	0.216	0.399	0.324	0.723	0.298	0.047
#8 Andruw Monasterio	6.1	8.0	0.198	0.272	0.321	0.593	0.248	0.012
#9 Blake Perkins	6.2	8.0	0.254	0.365	0.369	0.735	0.300	0.023

Marlins Notable Injuries

Dane Myers OUT (OF): Avg: 0.265 SLG:0.422 Last game: 07/15/24. Impact: 2.8

Brewers Notable Injuries

Christian Yelich OUT (OF): Avg: 0.316 SLG:0.504 Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 3.3
Enoli Paredes OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/04/24. Impact: 0.9