Marlins vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Citi Field tonight as the underdog Miami Marlins, trying to find their fins in the standings, dive into the Big Apple to clash with the New York Mets, who are looking to swing back into the playoff race. It’s a 07:10 PM start, and with the Mets smarting from a recent stumble against Oakland and the Marlins trying to shake off their own slip-up in Philly, both teams are hungry for a win. The stakes are high, the bats are ready, and with the odds stacked and the over/under teasing a close game, fans are in for a treat. As the sun sets over Queens, bringing mild winds and perfect baseball weather, tonight’s game promises to be more than just peanuts and Cracker Jacks. So, will the Marlins swim upstream against the odds, or will the Mets catch a big win in their net?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 16, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SSE at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 87.1° with 42% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+185	-225	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+205	-250	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+20	-25	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

113W-183L

32.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

171W-127L

67.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/17/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-0.5
05/17/24	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Under	-0.5
05/18/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+10.5
05/18/24	Miami Marlins MIA	10	Over	+10.5
05/19/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+1.5
05/19/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+1.5
06/11/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
06/11/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
06/12/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+5.5
06/12/24	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+5.5
06/13/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-3.5
06/13/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-3.5
07/19/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.5
07/19/24	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+1.5
07/20/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-7.5
07/20/24	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-7.5
07/21/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
07/21/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
07/22/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+1.5
07/22/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+1.5
03/30/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-0.5
03/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-0.5
03/31/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.5
03/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-5.5
04/01/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Under	-0.5
04/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-0.5
04/02/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.5
04/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-2.5
04/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+3.5
04/07/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+3.5
04/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.5
04/08/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.5
04/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+0.5
04/09/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+0.5
09/18/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-5.5
09/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-5.5
09/19/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-1.5
09/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
09/20/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+2.5
09/20/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+2.5
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+4.5
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+4.5
10/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-7.5
10/02/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-7.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Roddery Munoz

ERA 5.665 | IP 74.7 | 2.0W-6.0L | KO 62.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-10-24	vsSD	9-8L	5.0	6	3	3	Over
08-05-24	vsCIN	10-3L	3.7	7	6	2	Over
07-31-24	@TB	6-2W	5.0	4	2	7	Under
07-25-24	vsBAL	7-6L	5.0	6	6	3	Over
07-20-24	vsNYM	1-0L	5.0	3	1	5	Under
07-11-24	@HOU	3-6L	6.7	5	6	2	Over
07-05-24	vsCWS	3-2L	4.0	4	2	2	Under
06-29-24	@PHI	3-2W	4.7	5	2	4	Under
06-24-24	@KC	1-4L	6.0	6	4	4	Under
06-18-24	vsSTL	8-9W	4.0	8	7	3	Over

Sean Manaea

ERA 3.439 | IP 123.0 | 8.0W-5.0L | KO 125.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-10-24	@SEA	0-4L	3.0	4	3	3	Under
08-05-24	@STL	6-0W	7.0	6	0	10	Under
07-30-24	vsMIN	0-2W	7.0	2	0	11	Under
07-24-24	@NYY	12-3W	4.7	3	2	4	Over
07-19-24	@MIA	4-6L	5.0	8	5	1	Over
07-12-24	vsCOL	6-7W	7.0	5	3	9	Over
07-07-24	@PIT	3-2W	6.0	2	0	6	Under
07-02-24	@WAS	7-2W	7.0	5	2	5	Over
06-26-24	vsNYY	2-12W	5.0	2	0	3	Over
06-19-24	@TEX	3-5L	5.7	2	3	6	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/16	vs PHI	5-9L	11	1	Over
08/15	vs PHI	5-0W	8	2	Under
08/13	@ SD	7-6W	10	2	Over
08/12	@ SD	8-9L	11	2	Over
08/11	@ SD	2-6L	4	2	Under
08/10	@ CIN	4-10L	9	0	Over
08/09	@ CIN	6-4W	8	3	Over
08/08	@ CIN	2-8L	4	0	Over
08/07	@ CIN	3-10L	11	1	Over
08/06	vs ATL	7-0W	9	1	Under
08/05	vs ATL	4-3W	10	1	Under
08/04	vs ATL	3-5L	8	2	Under
08/03	vs ATL	2-4L	6	0	Under
08/02	vs TB	6-2W	8	2	Under
08/01	vs TB	3-9L	10	2	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/17	@ OAK	6-7L	9	2	Over
08/16	@ OAK	9-1W	11	2	Over
08/15	@ OAK	4-9L	9	0	Over
08/13	vs SEA	1-12L	6	1	Over
08/12	vs SEA	0-4L	4	0	Under
08/11	vs SEA	0-6L	7	0	Under
08/10	vs COL	9-1W	13	3	Over
08/09	vs COL	5-3W	11	0	Under
08/08	vs COL	3-6L	9	0	Over
08/07	vs STL	6-0W	9	1	Under
08/06	vs LAA	2-3L	5	0	Under
08/05	vs LAA	4-5L	8	1	Over
08/04	vs LAA	5-1W	13	1	Under
08/02	@ MIN	3-8L	6	1	Over
08/01	@ MIN	2-0W	5	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	7.3	9.1	0.352	0.428	0.503	0.931	0.367	0.007
#2 Jake Burger	8.5	11.1	0.251	0.472	0.328	0.800	0.328	0.061
#3 Jonah Bride	6.2	8.4	0.265	0.470	0.458	0.928	0.365	0.060
#4 Derek Hill	6.6	8.6	0.256	0.442	0.302	0.744	0.308	0.047
#5 Emmanuel Rivera	5.9	7.7	0.211	0.268	0.335	0.603	0.252	0.005
#6 Otto Lopez	5.9	7.5	0.229	0.300	0.277	0.577	0.243	0.012
#7 Kyle Stowers	5.2	6.8	0.188	0.275	0.237	0.512	0.219	0.013
#8 David Hensley	4.9	6.7	0.182	0.273	0.455	0.727	0.290	0.000
#9 Jhonny Pereda	4.8	5.9	0.214	0.214	0.214	0.429	0.183	0.000

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	11.1	14.5	0.261	0.462	0.371	0.833	0.339	0.047
#2 Brandon Nimmo	10.3	13.9	0.228	0.401	0.406	0.808	0.324	0.038
#3 J.D. Martinez	9.2	12.2	0.255	0.433	0.393	0.825	0.333	0.037
#4 Jesse Winker	9.2	12.1	0.265	0.416	0.439	0.855	0.341	0.031
#5 Pete Alonso	9.2	12.2	0.245	0.468	0.376	0.845	0.341	0.055
#6 Jeff McNeil	7.9	10.3	0.236	0.382	0.318	0.700	0.290	0.029
#7 Mark Vientos	7.2	9.5	0.279	0.566	0.368	0.934	0.378	0.074
#8 Francisco Alvarez	6.8	8.9	0.257	0.411	0.351	0.762	0.312	0.025
#9 Harrison Bader	6.5	8.4	0.262	0.391	0.325	0.716	0.298	0.025

Marlins Notable Injuries

Nick Fortes OUT (C): Avg: 0.213 SLG:0.28 Last game: 08/07/24. Impact: 2.5
Anthony Bender OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/12/24. Impact: 1.5

Mets Notable Injuries

Kodai Senga OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/28/24. Impact: 10.4
Christian Scott OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 4.0
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.6