Marlins vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into a sizzling showdown at Citi Field as the underdog Miami Marlins, swimming against the tide of their season, take on the New York Mets in a classic East Coast clash today at 12:05 PM EST! With the Marlins trying to find their fins late in the season and the Mets looking to secure their spot in the National League playoff coral, this matchup is set to be a barn burner. The stakes are high, the bats are hot, and the odds are tantalizing with an over/under of 8.5. Mother Nature is throwing a curveball too, with a light drizzle and a gentle breeze setting the stage. After the Mets netted a smooth 4-0 victory yesterday, the Marlins are hungry for redemption. So, whether you’re a fan of the fins or the kings of Queens, today’s game is sure to make some waves!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 18, 2024 12:05PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Light rain with winds from the SSE at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 73.9° with 94% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+158	-193	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+164	-199	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+6	-6	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

113W-185L

37.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

173W-127L

62.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/17/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-0.5
05/17/24	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Under	-0.5
05/18/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+10.5
05/18/24	Miami Marlins MIA	10	Over	+10.5
05/19/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+1.5
05/19/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+1.5
06/11/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
06/11/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
06/12/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+5.5
06/12/24	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+5.5
06/13/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-3.5
06/13/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-3.5
07/19/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.5
07/19/24	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+1.5
07/20/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-7.5
07/20/24	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-7.5
07/21/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
07/21/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
07/22/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+1.5
07/22/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+1.5
08/16/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+1.5
08/16/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+1.5
08/17/24	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-4.5
08/17/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-4.5
03/30/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-0.5
03/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-0.5
03/31/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.5
03/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-5.5
04/01/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Under	-0.5
04/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-0.5
04/02/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.5
04/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-2.5
04/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+3.5
04/07/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+3.5
04/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.5
04/08/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.5
04/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+0.5
04/09/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+0.5
09/18/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-5.5
09/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-5.5
09/19/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-1.5
09/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
09/20/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+2.5
09/20/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+2.5
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+4.5
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+4.5
10/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-7.5
10/02/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-7.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Valente Bellozo

ERA 2.277 | IP 27.7 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 23.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-13-24	@PHI	5-0W	7.0	4	0	4	Under
08-07-24	vsCIN	4-6W	5.7	5	0	4	Over
08-02-24	@ATL	3-5L	5.0	2	2	5	Push
07-02-24	vsBOS	8-3L	5.0	7	5	8	Over
06-26-24	@KC	1-5L	5.0	2	0	2	Under

Paul Blackburn

ERA 4.433 | IP 67.0 | 5.0W-3.0L | KO 54.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-13-24	vsOAK	9-4L	4.0	6	7	4	Over
08-07-24	@COL	5-3W	6.0	5	2	6	Push
08-02-24	@LAA	5-1W	6.0	6	1	6	Under
07-26-24	@LAA	5-4L	5.0	5	4	2	Over
05-10-24	@SEA	1-8W	4.0	7	7	5	Over
05-04-24	@MIA	4-20W	7.0	4	1	3	Over
04-28-24	@BAL	7-6L	4.0	7	6	5	Over
04-23-24	@NYY	3-4W	6.0	5	4	5	Under
04-17-24	@STL	3-6W	5.7	6	3	7	Over
04-12-24	@WAS	1-2W	6.3	5	0	4	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/19	vs NYM	0-4L	4	0	Under
08/18	vs NYM	3-7L	6	1	Over
08/16	vs PHI	5-9L	11	1	Over
08/15	vs PHI	5-0W	8	2	Under
08/13	@ SD	7-6W	10	2	Over
08/12	@ SD	8-9L	11	2	Over
08/11	@ SD	2-6L	4	2	Push
08/10	@ CIN	4-10L	9	0	Over
08/09	@ CIN	6-4W	8	3	Over
08/08	@ CIN	2-8L	4	0	Over
08/07	@ CIN	3-10L	11	1	Over
08/06	vs ATL	7-0W	9	1	Under
08/05	vs ATL	4-3W	10	1	Under
08/04	vs ATL	3-5L	8	2	Push
08/03	vs ATL	2-4L	6	0	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/19	@ MIA	4-0W	7	2	Under
08/18	@ MIA	7-3W	10	2	Over
08/17	@ OAK	6-7L	9	2	Over
08/16	@ OAK	9-1W	11	2	Over
08/15	@ OAK	4-9L	9	0	Over
08/13	vs SEA	1-12L	6	1	Over
08/12	vs SEA	0-4L	4	0	Under
08/11	vs SEA	0-6L	7	0	Under
08/10	vs COL	9-1W	13	3	Over
08/09	vs COL	5-3W	11	0	Push
08/08	vs COL	3-6L	9	0	Over
08/07	vs STL	6-0W	9	1	Under
08/06	vs LAA	2-3L	5	0	Under
08/05	vs LAA	4-5L	8	1	Over
08/04	vs LAA	5-1W	13	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	8.6	10.8	0.342	0.421	0.493	0.914	0.361	0.007
#2 Jake Burger	8.8	11.5	0.251	0.479	0.330	0.809	0.332	0.063
#3 Jonah Bride	6.8	9.2	0.253	0.451	0.429	0.879	0.350	0.055
#4 Jesus Sanchez	7.0	9.1	0.239	0.416	0.315	0.731	0.302	0.041
#5 Derek Hill	6.4	8.3	0.245	0.426	0.287	0.713	0.296	0.043
#6 Emmanuel Rivera	6.2	8.1	0.208	0.264	0.330	0.594	0.249	0.005
#7 Kyle Stowers	4.9	6.4	0.181	0.265	0.241	0.506	0.216	0.012
#8 Otto Lopez	5.8	7.3	0.232	0.305	0.282	0.587	0.247	0.012
#9 Nick Fortes	4.8	6.1	0.215	0.285	0.252	0.537	0.228	0.009

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	9.0	11.8	0.263	0.471	0.373	0.844	0.343	0.048
#2 Mark Vientos	7.7	10.2	0.283	0.566	0.377	0.943	0.381	0.072
#3 Brandon Nimmo	7.8	10.5	0.230	0.412	0.405	0.816	0.327	0.040
#4 Pete Alonso	7.8	10.4	0.243	0.469	0.372	0.841	0.340	0.056
#5 Starling Marte	8.0	10.3	0.278	0.416	0.355	0.771	0.316	0.029
#6 Jesse Winker	6.6	8.7	0.266	0.415	0.440	0.854	0.340	0.031
#7 Jose Iglesias	6.5	8.3	0.322	0.476	0.392	0.867	0.355	0.021
#8 Tyrone Taylor	6.7	8.7	0.236	0.397	0.302	0.698	0.290	0.025
#9 Luis Torrens	5.1	6.7	0.276	0.448	0.356	0.805	0.330	0.034

Marlins Notable Injuries

Anthony Bender OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/12/24. Impact: 1.5

Mets Notable Injuries

Kodai Senga OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/28/24. Impact: 10.4
Christian Scott OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 4.0
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.6