Brewers vs Braves Game Breakdown

Get ready to chug your beers and chop some wood, sports fans, because tonight’s MLB showdown is brewing up a storm at Truist Park! The Milwaukee Brewers, sitting pretty at 62-49, are rolling into Atlanta to clash with the 60-51 Braves in a battle that’s as hot as the Georgia summer. With the first pitch slated for 07:20 PM EST, both teams are itching to climb their way up the National League rankings, the Brewers neck and neck with the top spot, while the Braves are hustling to close a 5-game gap. Vegas has the line dancing tonight, setting the over/under at 8.5 in a game where the Brewers are tempting as underdogs at 115, and the Braves are favorites at -138. Both squads are looking to bounce back under partly cloudy skies, with a gentle breeze nudging the ball around the diamond. After their recent stumbles, it’s all to play for, so expect every pitch, hit, and run to be charged with October dreams. Tonight, it’s all about whether the Brewers can barrel through or if the Braves will be tomahawk chopping their way to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 06, 2024 07:20PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Partly Cloudy with winds from the NNE at 8.7 mph. Temperature is at 86.0° with 48% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+115	-138	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+108	-130	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-7	+8	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

161W-138L

48.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

178W-115L

51.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/29/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Over	+2.5
07/29/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	8	Over	+2.5
07/30/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-2.5
07/30/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-2.5
07/31/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-0.5
07/31/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-0.5
07/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+1.5
07/21/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Over	+1.5
07/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-1.5
07/22/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-1.5
07/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-2.5
07/23/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-2.5
07/28/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+8.5
07/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+8.5
07/29/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+7.5
07/29/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	11	Over	+7.5
07/30/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+5.5
07/30/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+5.5

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Colin Rea

ERA 3.611 | IP 109.7 | 8.0W-3.0L | KO 83.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-29-24	vsATL	3-8W	5.3	3	2	6	Over
07-23-24	@CHC	1-0W	5.0	4	0	8	Under
07-09-24	vsPIT	12-2L	5.0	6	7	3	Over
07-03-24	@COL	3-0W	7.0	6	0	4	Under
06-28-24	vsCHC	2-4W	5.3	3	2	8	Under
06-21-24	@SD	5-9L	5.3	6	5	0	Over
06-16-24	vsCIN	4-5W	6.0	4	3	6	Push
06-10-24	vsTOR	1-3W	7.0	3	1	4	Under
06-04-24	@PHI	1-2L	4.0	4	0	2	Under
05-30-24	vsCHC	4-6W	5.3	5	1	5	Over

Bryce Elder

ERA 5.674 | IP 46.0 | 2.0W-4.0L | KO 40.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-30-24	@MIL	5-1W	6.3	5	1	7	Under
07-20-24	vsSTL	9-5L	5.0	8	6	9	Over
07-08-24	@ARI	5-4W	5.0	4	3	1	Push
06-26-24	@STL	1-4L	6.0	4	2	4	Under
05-19-24	vsSD	9-1L	3.0	9	7	3	Over
05-12-24	@NYM	3-4L	5.3	7	2	6	Under
05-04-24	@LAD	2-11L	3.3	7	7	4	Over
04-28-24	vsCLE	3-4W	5.3	4	2	2	Under
04-22-24	vsMIA	0-3W	6.7	8	0	4	Under
09-26-23	vsCHC	6-7W	3.7	7	5	2	Over

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/06	vs WAS	3-4L	7	1	Under
08/05	vs WAS	4-6L	7	1	Over
08/04	vs WAS	8-3W	11	1	Over
08/02	@ ATL	2-6L	8	0	Under
08/01	@ ATL	1-5L	6	0	Under
07/31	@ ATL	8-3W	11	3	Over
07/30	@ MIA	6-2W	9	2	Under
07/29	@ MIA	3-7L	8	1	Over
07/28	@ MIA	2-6L	7	1	Under
07/26	vs CHC	3-2W	10	0	Under
07/25	vs CHC	1-0W	7	0	Under
07/24	vs CHC	1-3L	5	1	Under
07/23	vs MIN	8-7W	11	4	Over
07/22	vs MIN	8-4W	11	0	Over
07/15	@ WAS	5-6L	6	0	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/06	@ MIA	0-7L	6	0	Under
08/05	@ MIA	3-4L	7	1	Under
08/04	@ MIA	5-3W	5	1	Under
08/03	@ MIA	4-2W	7	3	Under
08/02	vs MIL	6-2W	8	4	Under
08/01	vs MIL	5-1W	14	1	Under
07/31	vs MIL	3-8L	4	3	Over
07/30	vs NYM	8-2W	8	4	Over
07/29	vs NYM	4-0W	6	3	Under
07/28	vs NYM	4-8L	7	3	Over
07/27	vs NYM	2-3L	7	0	Under
07/26	@ CIN	4-9L	10	0	Over
07/24	@ CIN	1-4L	3	0	Under
07/23	@ STL	2-6L	9	1	Under
07/22	@ STL	5-9L	9	4	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Brice Turang	9.4	12.0	0.262	0.362	0.357	0.719	0.296	0.016
#2 Jackson Chourio	8.2	10.6	0.265	0.421	0.329	0.750	0.309	0.037
#3 William Contreras	7.7	10.1	0.281	0.428	0.395	0.823	0.333	0.026
#4 Willy Adames	7.8	10.4	0.239	0.413	0.368	0.780	0.317	0.038
#5 Jake Bauers	7.2	9.8	0.215	0.392	0.373	0.766	0.310	0.038
#6 Rhys Hoskins	7.4	10.0	0.217	0.438	0.345	0.783	0.319	0.062
#7 Sal Frelick	7.0	8.9	0.265	0.335	0.378	0.714	0.293	0.006
#8 Joey Ortiz	6.1	8.0	0.237	0.387	0.394	0.781	0.314	0.026
#9 Garrett Mitchell	7.7	9.7	0.311	0.410	0.426	0.836	0.338	0.000

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jorge Soler	8.5	11.4	0.237	0.410	0.379	0.788	0.319	0.034
#2 Austin Riley	9.7	12.7	0.262	0.460	0.362	0.823	0.335	0.041
#3 Marcell Ozuna	9.5	12.7	0.300	0.583	0.422	1.005	0.400	0.078
#4 Matt Olson	9.4	12.4	0.227	0.417	0.348	0.765	0.312	0.044
#5 Orlando Arcia	7.6	9.8	0.225	0.368	0.294	0.662	0.276	0.030
#6 Eddie Rosario	6.9	9.1	0.179	0.324	0.234	0.559	0.235	0.034
#7 Sean Murphy	7.6	9.8	0.221	0.375	0.346	0.721	0.295	0.044
#8 Jarred Kelenic	6.7	8.6	0.241	0.410	0.321	0.731	0.301	0.037
#9 Whit Merrifield	6.2	8.0	0.194	0.294	0.306	0.600	0.250	0.018

Brewers Notable Injuries

Christian Yelich OUT (OF): Avg: 0.316 SLG:0.504 Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 3.3
Bryan Hudson OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.0
Trevor Megill OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.2
Rob Zastryzny OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/26/24. Impact: 0.8