Brewers vs Nationals Game Breakdown

Get ready to crack open a cold one and settle in for an electrifying showdown as the sizzling Milwaukee Brewers, boasting a solid 62-47 record, roll into the heart of D.C. to battle the underdog Washington Nationals, who are sitting at 49-61 this season. The stage is set at Nationals Park with the first pitch at a perfect 4:05 PM EST. The Brewers, razor-sharp and tied at the top of their conference, are looking to keep the momentum going against the Nationals, who are trailing far behind in the standings but hungry for redemption. With the betting gods setting the over/under at 9 and a slight edge to the Brewers at -132, today’s game promises to be a scorcher, especially with the D.C. weather playing its part—partly cloudy skies, a gentle southern breeze, and temps nearly hitting the 95-degree mark. After yesterday’s face-off where the Brewers took a decisive 8-3 victory, the Nationals are itching to flip the script. So, will the Brewers brew up another storm, or will the Nationals stage a capital comeback? Let’s find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 03, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Partly Cloudy with winds from the SSW at 9.2 mph. Temperature is at 94.7° with 35% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-132	+110	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-123	+103	9.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+9	-7	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

161W-136L

55.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

115W-175L

44.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/12/24	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Under	-2.0
07/12/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-2.0
07/13/24	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+2.0
07/13/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+2.0
07/14/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+3.0
07/14/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	9	Over	+3.0
08/02/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	8	Over	+2.0
08/02/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+2.0
07/31/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-1.0
07/31/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Under	-1.0
08/01/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+1.0
08/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+1.0
08/02/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-4.0
08/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-4.0
09/15/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-1.0
09/15/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-1.0
09/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+5.0
09/16/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	9	Over	+5.0
09/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-6.0
09/17/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-6.0

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Aaron Civale

ERA 5.083 | IP 108.0 | 2.0W-7.0L | KO 105.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-27-24	vsMIA	7-3L	5.3	7	2	3	Over
07-21-24	@MIN	8-7W	4.3	4	5	4	Over
07-11-24	vsPIT	1-0L	6.3	6	1	6	Under
07-05-24	@LAD	5-8L	5.0	5	4	8	Over
06-29-24	@WAS	8-1L	5.7	6	2	2	Under
06-23-24	@PIT	3-1L	5.0	3	1	3	Under
06-18-24	@MIN	6-7W	3.7	7	4	5	Over
06-12-24	@CHC	4-3L	5.7	5	1	6	Under
06-07-24	@BAL	6-3L	5.0	7	4	8	Under
05-31-24	@BAL	1-3W	5.3	6	1	3	Under

DJ Herz

ERA 4.79 | IP 41.3 | 1.0W-4.0L | KO 53.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-28-24	@STL	3-4L	5.0	3	2	8	Under
07-23-24	vsSD	4-0L	5.0	5	2	4	Under
07-07-24	vsSTL	8-3L	4.3	5	5	4	Over
07-02-24	vsNYM	7-2L	5.7	5	1	10	Under
06-26-24	@SD	5-8L	3.3	6	4	1	Over
06-21-24	@COL	11-5W	3.7	7	4	5	Over
06-15-24	vsMIA	0-4W	6.0	1	0	13	Under
06-09-24	vsATL	5-8W	4.3	4	2	5	Over
06-04-24	vsNYM	6-3L	4.0	7	4	3	Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/04	vs WAS	8-3W	11	1	Over
08/02	@ ATL	2-6L	8	0	Under
08/01	@ ATL	1-5L	6	0	Under
07/31	@ ATL	8-3W	11	3	Over
07/30	@ MIA	6-2W	9	2	Under
07/29	@ MIA	3-7L	8	1	Over
07/28	@ MIA	2-6L	7	1	Under
07/26	vs CHC	3-2W	10	0	Under
07/25	vs CHC	1-0W	7	0	Under
07/24	vs CHC	1-3L	5	1	Under
07/23	vs MIN	8-7W	11	4	Over
07/22	vs MIN	8-4W	11	0	Over
07/15	@ WAS	5-6L	6	0	Over
07/14	@ WAS	2-5L	4	0	Under
07/13	@ PIT	0-1L	2	0	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/04	@ MIL	3-8L	10	1	Over
08/02	vs ARI	4-5L	10	0	Under
08/01	vs ARI	0-17L	4	0	Over
07/31	vs ARI	8-9L	15	1	Over
07/30	vs STL	3-4L	9	0	Under
07/29	vs STL	14-3W	16	1	Over
07/28	vs STL	10-8W	11	0	Over
07/27	@ SD	0-3L	0	0	Under
07/26	@ SD	3-12L	6	1	Over
07/25	@ SD	0-4L	5	0	Under
07/23	@ CIN	5-2W	9	1	Under
07/22	@ CIN	5-4W	9	1	Under
07/21	@ CIN	7-5W	7	2	Over
07/15	vs MIL	6-5W	12	2	Over
07/14	vs MIL	5-2W	12	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jackson Chourio	8.8	11.4	0.260	0.420	0.326	0.746	0.308	0.038
#2 Blake Perkins	8.6	11.1	0.264	0.375	0.383	0.758	0.309	0.022
#3 William Contreras	8.5	11.2	0.284	0.430	0.397	0.827	0.335	0.026
#4 Willy Adames	8.9	11.8	0.243	0.420	0.371	0.791	0.321	0.039
#5 Gary Sanchez	8.0	10.7	0.226	0.400	0.329	0.729	0.300	0.045
#6 Rhys Hoskins	8.7	11.8	0.216	0.432	0.348	0.780	0.317	0.061
#7 Sal Frelick	6.8	8.6	0.268	0.340	0.383	0.723	0.296	0.006
#8 Joey Ortiz	6.5	8.5	0.243	0.396	0.403	0.799	0.320	0.026
#9 Brice Turang	6.2	7.9	0.263	0.364	0.356	0.721	0.296	0.016

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	9.9	13.0	0.256	0.457	0.367	0.824	0.335	0.040
#2 Juan Yepez	8.7	11.4	0.337	0.547	0.430	0.977	0.395	0.023
#3 Luis Garcia Jr.	8.8	11.2	0.282	0.436	0.331	0.767	0.317	0.032
#4 Keibert Ruiz	7.9	10.2	0.220	0.338	0.265	0.603	0.254	0.028
#5 James Wood	7.7	10.2	0.245	0.357	0.378	0.735	0.299	0.020
#6 Travis Blankenhorn	9.2	9.2	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
#7 Alex Call	6.1	8.2	0.360	0.560	0.720	1.280	0.459	0.040
#8 Jacob Young	5.6	7.2	0.252	0.317	0.350	0.667	0.277	0.003
#9 Trey Lipscomb	5.1	6.4	0.211	0.246	0.303	0.549	0.232	0.006

Brewers Notable Injuries

Christian Yelich OUT (OF): Avg: 0.316 SLG:0.504 Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 3.3
Bryan Hudson OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.0
Enoli Paredes OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/04/24. Impact: 0.9
Trevor Megill OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.2
Rob Zastryzny OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/26/24. Impact: 0.8