Twins vs Cubs Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some prime-time action as the Minnesota Twins, boasting a solid 61-48 record, gear up to clash with the Chicago Cubs at the iconic Wrigley Field tonight at 08:05 PM EST! The stakes are high with the Twins just 4.5 games shy of the top in the American League, while the Cubs, sitting 8.5 games back in the National League, are not throwing in the towel just yet. Fresh off their respective victories, both teams are bringing the heat, and with the betting lines drawing a close match (Twins at -120 and Cubs at even money), expect every pitch to count. The weather gods are smiling too—perfect sunny skies with a gentle western breeze, making it an ideal day for some ball. So, as the Twins try to plant victory at Wrigley and the Cubs aim to claw back into contention, it’s safe to say we’re in for a game that promises to go full bear and twin-kle with excitement!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 05, 2024 08:05PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Sunny with winds from the W at 7.8 mph. Temperature is at 77.8° with 79% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-120	+100	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-121	+101	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-1	+1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

133W-163L

54.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

147W-145L

45.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/12/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Push	-0.0
05/12/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Push	-0.0
05/13/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Over	+4.0
05/13/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	11	Over	+4.0
05/14/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+11.0
05/14/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	16	Over	+11.0

Twins Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

David Festa

ERA 6.983 | IP 19.3 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 21.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-30-24	@NYM	0-2L	5.0	3	2	6	Under
07-24-24	vsPHI	4-5W	4.3	4	1	7	Over
07-03-24	vsDET	9-2L	5.0	9	7	6	Over
06-27-24	@ARI	13-6W	5.0	7	5	2	Over

Kyle Hendricks

ERA 6.855 | IP 85.3 | 3.0W-9.0L | KO 60.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-31-24	@CIN	13-4W	5.0	4	3	4	Over
07-26-24	@KC	0-6L	5.0	8	6	4	Under
07-20-24	vsARI	3-0L	5.0	3	3	2	Under
07-12-24	@STL	5-1W	7.0	5	0	3	Under
07-06-24	vsLAA	7-0L	2.0	4	2	1	Under
06-30-24	@MIL	1-7L	3.7	7	7	3	Push
06-25-24	@SF	1-5L	7.0	5	2	4	Under
06-19-24	vsSF	5-6W	5.7	2	1	8	Over
06-14-24	vsSTL	3-0L	4.3	2	0	1	Under
06-06-24	@CIN	4-8L	1.3	1	0	0	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/06	@ CWS	13-7W	14	1	Over
08/05	@ CWS	6-2W	8	2	Push
08/04	@ CWS	10-2W	9	3	Over
08/02	vs NYM	8-3W	10	2	Over
08/01	vs NYM	0-2L	2	0	Under
07/31	vs NYM	2-15L	9	1	Over
07/30	vs DET	5-0W	12	0	Under
07/29	vs DET	2-7L	6	1	Over
07/28	vs DET	9-3W	13	4	Over
07/26	@ PHI	5-4W	9	1	Over
07/25	@ PHI	0-3L	3	0	Under
07/24	@ PHI	7-2W	12	0	Over
07/23	@ MIL	7-8L	9	3	Over
07/22	@ MIL	4-8L	7	1	Over
07/15	vs SF	4-2W	10	1	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/06	@ STL	6-2W	11	2	Push
08/05	@ STL	4-5L	5	1	Over
08/04	@ STL	6-3W	8	2	Over
08/03	@ STL	5-4W	9	2	Over
08/02	vs CIN	13-4W	17	1	Over
08/01	vs CIN	3-6L	7	1	Over
07/31	vs CIN	1-7L	3	1	Push
07/30	vs KC	7-3W	12	1	Over
07/29	vs KC	9-4W	9	2	Over
07/28	vs KC	0-6L	4	0	Under
07/26	@ MIL	2-3L	6	1	Under
07/25	@ MIL	0-1L	7	0	Under
07/24	@ MIL	3-1W	8	1	Under
07/23	@ ARI	2-1W	4	0	Under
07/22	@ ARI	0-3L	4	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Willi Castro	9.2	12.0	0.268	0.420	0.405	0.825	0.334	0.021
#2 Trevor Larnach	7.7	10.3	0.240	0.422	0.360	0.782	0.318	0.049
#3 Byron Buxton	9.5	12.6	0.276	0.517	0.369	0.886	0.361	0.048
#4 Royce Lewis	9.3	12.6	0.280	0.678	0.415	1.093	0.432	0.110
#5 Max Kepler	7.7	10.0	0.271	0.420	0.354	0.774	0.318	0.024
#6 Jose Miranda	7.3	9.4	0.324	0.513	0.396	0.909	0.371	0.033
#7 Matt Wallner	6.9	9.3	0.268	0.634	0.521	1.155	0.439	0.085
#8 Ryan Jeffers	6.5	8.8	0.234	0.459	0.366	0.824	0.335	0.055
#9 Brooks Lee	5.4	7.0	0.261	0.341	0.364	0.705	0.289	0.023

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	8.1	11.0	0.223	0.416	0.387	0.804	0.323	0.042
#2 Michael Busch	7.6	10.0	0.264	0.466	0.402	0.868	0.348	0.044
#3 Seiya Suzuki	8.2	10.8	0.271	0.494	0.390	0.884	0.356	0.048
#4 Cody Bellinger	8.6	11.1	0.274	0.426	0.363	0.789	0.323	0.033
#5 Isaac Paredes	6.6	8.8	0.240	0.426	0.410	0.836	0.335	0.042
#6 Nico Hoerner	7.2	9.2	0.254	0.342	0.364	0.706	0.291	0.010
#7 Dansby Swanson	6.2	8.1	0.225	0.352	0.332	0.685	0.282	0.025
#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong	6.1	7.7	0.195	0.293	0.254	0.546	0.230	0.005
#9 C. Bethancourt	4.8	6.4	0.183	0.323	0.237	0.559	0.236	0.032

Twins Notable Injuries

Chris Paddack OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/10/24. Impact: 4.7
Carlos Correa OUT (SS): Avg: 0.308 SLG:0.52 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 4.1
Kyle Farmer OUT (2B): Avg: 0.189 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 1.1
Brock Stewart OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 0.4
Kody Funderburk OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 0.6

Cubs Notable Injuries

Hayden Wesneski OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 2.6
Tomas Nido OUT (C): Avg: 0.19 SLG:0.294 Last game: 07/26/24. Impact: 0.8
Colten Brewer OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 0.7
Luke Little OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 1.2