Twins vs Guardians Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some major league excitement as the Minnesota Twins look to steal a win at Progressive Field against the Cleveland Guardians tonight! With the Twins trailing in the American League rankings and the Guardians sitting pretty at the top, this showdown at 06:40 PM EST is set to sizzle. The stakes are high with the over/under teasing at 8.5, and the betting lines tipping slightly in favor of the home team. Fresh off yesterday’s face-off where the Guardians edged out a narrow victory, both teams are fired up under the sunny skies of a 77.7° evening in Cleveland. So, as the Twins try to claw back and the Guardians aim to fortify their lead, tonight’s game promises to be a guardian of intense rivalries and twin ambitions!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 17, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland

Weather: Sunny with winds from the E at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 77.7° with 56% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+107	-128	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+116	-139	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+9	-11	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

140W-174L

46.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

172W-138L

53.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/04/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-2.5
04/04/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.5
04/06/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-4.5
04/06/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.5
08/09/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-2.5
08/09/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-2.5
05/17/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-3.5
05/17/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-3.5
05/18/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+6.5
05/18/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	11	Over	+6.5
05/19/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.5
05/19/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-1.5
08/09/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Over	+0.5
08/09/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+0.5
08/10/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-5.5
08/10/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.5
08/11/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-0.5
08/11/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-0.5
09/16/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-1.5
09/16/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.5
05/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-6.5
05/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-6.5
05/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-1.5
05/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.5
05/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-6.5
05/07/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-6.5
06/01/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+4.5
06/01/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+4.5
06/02/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-7.5
06/02/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-7.5
06/03/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-2.5
06/03/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.5
06/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-5.5
06/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.5
08/28/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+7.5
08/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	10	Over	+7.5
08/29/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-2.5
08/29/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.5
08/30/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-1.5
08/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.5
09/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	20	Over	+17.5
09/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+17.5
09/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+2.5
09/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Over	+2.5
09/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.5
09/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-5.5

Twins Vs Over/Under

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Zebby Matthews

ERA 7.105 | IP 25.3 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-11-24	vsLAA	4-6W	3.3	5	2	5	Over
09-06-24	@KC	0-5L	5.0	9	4	4	Under
08-31-24	vsTOR	15-0L	2.0	10	9	5	Over
08-25-24	vsSTL	3-2L	5.0	4	1	7	Under
08-19-24	@SD	3-5L	5.0	4	5	1	Push
08-13-24	vsKC	3-13W	5.0	5	2	5	Over

Gavin Williams

ERA 5.235 | IP 65.3 | 3.0W-9.0L | KO 69.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-12-24	vsTB	5-2L	5.3	7	3	5	Under
09-07-24	@LAD	2-7L	0.7	2	5	0	Over
09-02-24	@KC	4-2W	7.0	1	1	6	Under
08-27-24	vsKC	6-1L	5.0	3	2	6	Under
08-22-24	@NYY	0-6L	4.3	4	3	5	Under
08-16-24	@MIL	3-5L	4.0	6	5	5	Push
08-10-24	@MIN	2-1W	6.0	4	1	3	Under
08-04-24	vsBAL	9-5L	4.0	8	6	8	Over
07-30-24	@DET	5-0W	5.0	2	0	8	Under
07-25-24	vsDET	3-0L	6.0	6	3	9	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/18	vs CLE	3-4L	8	0	Under
09/17	@ CIN	9-2W	12	1	Over
09/16	@ CIN	1-11L	5	0	Over
09/15	@ CIN	4-8L	5	1	Over
09/13	@ LAA	6-4W	11	1	Over
09/12	@ LAA	10-5W	10	3	Over
09/11	@ LAA	2-6L	5	1	Push
09/10	vs KC	0-2L	5	0	Under
09/09	vs KC	2-4L	5	0	Under
09/08	vs KC	0-5L	4	0	Under
09/07	vs TB	4-3W	7	2	Under
09/06	vs TB	4-9L	11	2	Over
09/05	vs TB	1-2L	6	1	Under
09/04	vs TB	5-4W	10	2	Over
09/03	@ TOR	4-3W	6	1	Under

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/18	@ MIN	4-3W	10	1	Under
09/17	@ TB	2-0W	7	0	Under
09/16	@ TB	6-1W	8	2	Under
09/15	@ TB	1-3L	4	0	Under
09/14	@ TB	2-5L	5	0	Under
09/13	vs CWS	6-4W	10	1	Over
09/12	vs CWS	5-0W	11	1	Under
09/11	vs CWS	5-3W	8	2	Push
09/10	vs LAD	0-4L	6	0	Under
09/09	vs LAD	2-7L	7	1	Over
09/08	vs LAD	3-1W	5	2	Under
09/06	vs KC	1-4L	7	0	Under
09/05	vs KC	7-1W	10	1	Push
09/04	vs KC	4-2W	9	2	Under
09/03	@ PIT	6-1W	13	4	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Edouard Julien	8.0	10.5	0.210	0.341	0.345	0.687	0.282	0.032
#2 Matt Wallner	8.5	11.4	0.247	0.541	0.433	0.974	0.385	0.067
#3 Royce Lewis	8.9	12.0	0.246	0.500	0.343	0.843	0.343	0.065
#4 Trevor Larnach	7.1	9.4	0.250	0.438	0.373	0.812	0.329	0.046
#5 Byron Buxton	9.8	13.0	0.276	0.530	0.365	0.895	0.365	0.054
#6 Carlos Santana	6.7	8.9	0.244	0.436	0.377	0.813	0.329	0.046
#7 Carlos Correa	7.2	9.5	0.310	0.525	0.433	0.958	0.382	0.046
#8 Willi Castro	6.1	8.0	0.251	0.391	0.381	0.772	0.315	0.021
#9 Ryan Jeffers	6.1	8.2	0.232	0.446	0.351	0.797	0.326	0.053

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Angel Martinez	7.6	9.8	0.250	0.388	0.371	0.759	0.309	0.026
#2 Andres Gimenez	8.3	10.6	0.244	0.329	0.318	0.647	0.271	0.015
#3 Jose Ramirez	9.2	12.1	0.273	0.517	0.363	0.880	0.357	0.061
#4 Josh Naylor	7.9	10.7	0.243	0.456	0.362	0.818	0.332	0.056
#5 Lane Thomas	7.0	9.2	0.240	0.396	0.350	0.747	0.306	0.028
#6 Kyle Manzardo	7.0	9.0	0.229	0.407	0.288	0.695	0.290	0.025
#7 Will Brennan	5.9	7.5	0.251	0.378	0.316	0.694	0.287	0.026
#8 Bo Naylor	5.6	7.3	0.206	0.361	0.299	0.660	0.273	0.037
#9 Brayan Rocchio	4.8	6.4	0.212	0.325	0.350	0.675	0.278	0.023

Twins Notable Injuries

Carlos Correa OUT (SS): Avg: 0.31 SLG:0.525 Last game: 09/18/24. Impact: 3.8
Max Kepler OUT (OF): Avg: 0.258 SLG:0.389 Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 1.1