Twins vs Tigers Game Breakdown

Minnesota Twins

Twins

55W-45L

Minnesota Twins

July 26, 2024

06:40PM EST

Odds: 7.5 o/u

Tigers

50W-53L

Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers

Get ready to slide into some serious MLB action as the Minnesota Twins, boasting a solid 55-45 record, gear up to tame the Detroit Tigers at the iconic Comerica Park. With the first pitch hurling at 06:40 PM EST, the stakes are as high as the summer sun with the Twins looking to claw back from 4.5 games behind in the American League, while the Tigers, fresh off a sleek 3-0 shutdown against Cleveland, try to roar louder, sitting 11 games back. Vegas has the line buzzing with the Twins favored at -170 and an over/under that’s tempting at 7.5, promising a tight contest under clear skies and a perfect 75-degree breeze. Both teams are stepping onto the diamond hot off recent wins, setting the stage for what promises to be more than just a game. So, as the Twins aim to plant their flag and the Tigers sharpen their claws, let’s see who really rules the jungle in this head-to-head showdown!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 26, 2024 06:40PM EST
Location: Comerica Park, Detroit
Weather: Sunny with winds from the ENE at 7.2 mph. Temperature is at 75.4° with 36% humidity.

Vegas Odds

MIN ML DET ML Over/Under Line
Open -170 +141 7.5 -1.5/1.5
Recent -175 +144 7.5 -1.5/1.5
Difference -5 +3 0 –

Team Performance

min Team Logo
LAST 10
5W-5L
AWAY
130W-160L

63.6% Win Probability

det Team Logo
LAST 10
6W-4L
HOME
135W-152L

36.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
04/13/24 Minnesota Twins MIN 4 Under -2.5
Detroit Tigers DET 1
04/12/24 Minnesota Twins MIN 2 Over +2.5
Detroit Tigers DET 8
04/13/24 Minnesota Twins MIN 11 Over +8.5
Detroit Tigers DET 5
04/14/24 Minnesota Twins MIN 3 Under -0.5
Detroit Tigers DET 4
04/19/24 Detroit Tigers DET 5 Over +1.5
Minnesota Twins MIN 4
04/20/24 Detroit Tigers DET 3 Under -0.5
Minnesota Twins MIN 4
04/21/24 Detroit Tigers DET 6 Under -0.5
Minnesota Twins MIN 1
07/02/24 Detroit Tigers DET 3 Over +0.5
Minnesota Twins MIN 5
07/03/24 Detroit Tigers DET 9 Over +3.5
Minnesota Twins MIN 2
07/04/24 Detroit Tigers DET 3 Over +7.5
Minnesota Twins MIN 12
06/15/23 Detroit Tigers DET 8 Over +4.5
Minnesota Twins MIN 4
06/16/23 Detroit Tigers DET 7 Over +0.5
Minnesota Twins MIN 1
06/17/23 Detroit Tigers DET 0 Under -5.5
Minnesota Twins MIN 2
06/18/23 Detroit Tigers DET 6 Over +2.5
Minnesota Twins MIN 4
06/23/23 Minnesota Twins MIN 4 Under -2.5
Detroit Tigers DET 1
06/24/23 Minnesota Twins MIN 2 Under -2.5
Detroit Tigers DET 3
06/25/23 Minnesota Twins MIN 6 Over +1.5
Detroit Tigers DET 3
08/07/23 Minnesota Twins MIN 9 Over +4.5
Detroit Tigers DET 3
08/08/23 Minnesota Twins MIN 0 Under -1.5
Detroit Tigers DET 6
08/09/23 Minnesota Twins MIN 5 Over +6.5
Detroit Tigers DET 9
08/10/23 Minnesota Twins MIN 0 Under -4.5
Detroit Tigers DET 3
08/15/23 Detroit Tigers DET 3 Over +0.5
Minnesota Twins MIN 5
08/16/23 Detroit Tigers DET 8 Over +7.5
Minnesota Twins MIN 7

Twins Vs Over/Under

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Pablo Lopez
Pablo Lopez
ERA 4.865 | IP 111.0 | 8.0W-7.0L | KO 128.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
07-20-24 vsMIL 8-4L 7.0 4 1 7 Over
07-10-24 @CWS 3-2W 5.0 4 2 5 Under
07-05-24 vsHOU 13-12L 5.0 8 6 6 Over
06-29-24 @SEA 5-1W 6.0 4 1 9 Under
06-23-24 @OAK 3-0W 8.0 2 0 14 Under
06-18-24 vsTB 6-7W 4.0 7 5 3 Over
06-12-24 vsCOL 9-17W 5.0 5 2 5 Over
06-06-24 @NYY 5-8L 4.0 4 7 4 Over
05-31-24 @HOU 6-1W 7.0 6 1 6 Under
05-26-24 vsTEX 6-2L 4.7 7 6 6 Over
Keider Montero
Keider Montero
ERA 5.968 | IP 31.7 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 26.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
07-21-24 @TOR 4-5L 5.3 8 5 3 Over
07-13-24 vsLAD 9-11W 5.0 7 5 4 Over
07-08-24 vsCLE 0-1W 6.3 3 0 4 Under
07-03-24 @MIN 9-2W 6.3 6 2 4 Over
06-26-24 vsPHI 6-2L 4.3 5 5 6 Over
05-29-24 vsPIT 10-2L 4.3 5 4 5 Over

Twins Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
07/26 @ PHI 5-4W 9 1 Over
07/25 @ PHI 0-3L 3 0 Under
07/24 @ PHI 7-2W 12 0 Over
07/23 @ MIL 7-8L 9 3 Over
07/22 @ MIL 4-8L 7 1 Over
07/15 vs SF 4-2W 10 1 Under
07/14 vs SF 1-7L 10 0 Over
07/12 vs CWS 1-3L 6 1 Under
07/12 vs CWS 3-2W 5 2 Under
07/10 vs CWS 8-6W 15 3 Over
07/09 @ HOU 3-2W 11 1 Under
07/08 @ HOU 9-3W 14 2 Over
07/07 @ HOU 12-13L 17 2 Over
07/06 @ DET 12-3W 14 1 Over
07/05 @ DET 2-9L 8 1 Over

Tigers Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
07/27 vs CLE 3-0W 8 1 Under
07/26 vs CLE 1-2L 2 1 Under
07/25 vs CLE 4-5L 6 1 Over
07/24 vs CLE 8-2W 12 2 Over
07/23 vs TOR 4-5L 6 1 Over
07/22 vs TOR 6-3W 9 1 Over
07/21 vs TOR 5-4W 7 2 Over
07/15 @ LAD 11-9W 16 4 Over
07/14 @ LAD 3-4L 8 0 Under
07/13 @ CLE 10-1W 11 1 Over
07/12 @ CLE 5-4W 7 2 Over
07/11 @ CLE 8-9L 11 3 Over
07/10 @ CLE 1-0W 7 0 Under
07/09 vs CIN 5-1W 12 1 Under
07/08 vs CIN 5-3W 7 1 Over

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 Willi Castro
9.5 12.3 0.266 0.421 0.410 0.831 0.335 0.020
#2 Byron Buxton
10.6 13.9 0.278 0.502 0.361 0.863 0.353 0.042
#3 Trevor Larnach
8.2 10.9 0.240 0.423 0.356 0.779 0.317 0.048
#4 Royce Lewis
10.6 14.2 0.281 0.674 0.382 1.056 0.423 0.112
#5 Max Kepler
8.5 11.1 0.270 0.414 0.357 0.772 0.317 0.023
#6 Jose Miranda
8.3 10.8 0.325 0.522 0.396 0.918 0.374 0.035
#7 Carlos Santana
7.5 9.9 0.248 0.441 0.379 0.820 0.332 0.043
#8 Ryan Jeffers
6.8 9.2 0.237 0.456 0.370 0.826 0.336 0.052
#9 Edouard Julien
6.7 8.9 0.204 0.354 0.359 0.713 0.290 0.039
Detroit Tigers DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 Wenceel Perez
7.8 10.0 0.262 0.412 0.344 0.755 0.309 0.024
#2 Colt Keith
6.9 8.9 0.252 0.395 0.343 0.738 0.303 0.032
#3 Justyn-Henry Malloy
6.1 8.1 0.214 0.438 0.366 0.804 0.324 0.062
#4 Riley Greene
7.3 9.6 0.264 0.486 0.408 0.894 0.357 0.046
#5 Matt Vierling
6.3 8.2 0.251 0.445 0.307 0.752 0.310 0.039
#6 Bligh Madris
6.3 7.4 0.300 0.400 0.300 0.700 0.294 0.000
#7 Carson Kelly
5.2 6.9 0.237 0.393 0.353 0.746 0.306 0.040
#8 Zach McKinstry
5.3 6.7 0.183 0.291 0.257 0.549 0.231 0.017
#9 Javier Baez
4.4 5.8 0.177 0.250 0.223 0.473 0.202 0.009

Twins Notable Injuries

  • Chris Paddack OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/10/24. Impact: 4.7
  • Royce Lewis OUT (3B): Avg: 0.281 SLG:0.674 Last game: 07/04/24. Impact: 2.7
  • Carlos Correa OUT (SS): Avg: 0.308 SLG:0.52 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 4.1
  • Jose Miranda OUT (1B/3B): Avg: 0.325 SLG:0.522 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 4.0
  • Kyle Farmer OUT (2B): Avg: 0.189 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 1.1
  • Kody Funderburk OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 0.6

Tigers Notable Injuries

  • Reese Olson OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/22/24. Impact: 6.8
  • Casey Mize OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/02/24. Impact: 4.4
  • Parker Meadows OUT (OF): Avg: 0.131 SLG:0.286 Last game: 07/09/24. Impact: 2.2
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