Twins vs Mets Game Breakdown

Minnesota Twins

Twins

57W-48L

Minnesota Twins

July 31, 2024

01:10PM EST

Odds: 8.0 o/u

Mets

57W-50L

New York Mets
New York Mets

Get ready, sports fans! Today’s sizzling showdown at Citi Field has the Minnesota Twins, with a solid 57W-48L record, clashing bats with the New York Mets, who are closely tailing at 57W-50L. The stakes are high as the Twins look to claw back from a 6.5-game deficit in the American League, while the Mets aim to chop down their 7.5-game lag in the National League. With the first pitch hurling at 01:10 PM EST, the air at Citi Field is charged—partly from the patchy rain and partly from the electric anticipation. Betting lines are buzzing too, setting the stage with an over/under of 8.0, making this matchup a tightrope walk between two evenly matched titans. After yesterday’s face-off where the Mets shut out the Twins, today’s game is not just a rematch; it’s a chance for revenge. So, as the Twins try to ‘twin’ their way to victory, the Mets are all set to ‘met’ out some home-field justice!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 31, 2024 01:10PM EST
Location: Citi Field, New York
Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the SSW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 86.6° with 55% humidity.

Vegas Odds

MIN ML NYM ML Over/Under Line
Open -115 -105 8.0 -1.5/1.5
Recent -122 +102 8.5 -1.5/1.5
Difference -7 +207 +0.5 –

Team Performance

min Team Logo
LAST 10
4W-6L
AWAY
132W-163L

55.0% Win Probability

nym Team Logo
LAST 10
7W-3L
HOME
170W-124L

45.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
07/29/24 Minnesota Twins MIN 2 Over +9.0
New York Mets NYM 15
07/30/24 Minnesota Twins MIN 0 Under -6.0
New York Mets NYM 2
09/08/23 New York Mets NYM 2 Under -1.0
Minnesota Twins MIN 5
09/09/23 New York Mets NYM 4 Over +4.0
Minnesota Twins MIN 8
09/10/23 New York Mets NYM 2 Under -6.0
Minnesota Twins MIN 0

Twins Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Pablo Lopez
Pablo Lopez
ERA 4.729 | IP 118.0 | 9.0W-7.0L | KO 135.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
07-26-24 @DET 9-3W 7.0 6 2 7 Over
07-20-24 vsMIL 8-4L 7.0 4 1 7 Over
07-10-24 @CWS 3-2W 5.0 4 2 5 Under
07-05-24 vsHOU 13-12L 5.0 8 6 6 Over
06-29-24 @SEA 5-1W 6.0 4 1 9 Under
06-23-24 @OAK 3-0W 8.0 2 0 14 Under
06-18-24 vsTB 6-7W 4.0 7 5 3 Over
06-12-24 vsCOL 9-17W 5.0 5 2 5 Over
06-06-24 @NYY 5-8L 4.0 4 7 4 Over
05-31-24 @HOU 6-1W 7.0 6 1 6 Under
Luis Severino
Luis Severino
ERA 3.804 | IP 120.7 | 7.0W-3.0L | KO 94.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
07-25-24 vsATL 2-3W 5.0 7 2 6 Under
07-20-24 @MIA 1-0W 6.0 2 0 7 Under
07-10-24 vsWAS 2-6W 6.3 4 2 4 Under
07-05-24 @PIT 2-14L 6.0 9 7 3 Over
06-30-24 vsHOU 10-5L 7.0 8 4 3 Over
06-23-24 @CHC 5-2W 6.0 3 0 10 Under
06-18-24 @TEX 7-6W 6.3 8 6 1 Over
06-13-24 vsMIA 2-3W 6.0 7 1 2 Under
06-05-24 @WAS 9-1W 8.0 7 1 4 Over
05-31-24 vsARI 9-10W 5.3 6 5 4 Over

Twins Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
08/01 vs NYM 0-2L 2 0 Under
07/31 vs NYM 2-15L 9 1 Over
07/30 vs DET 5-0W 12 0 Under
07/29 vs DET 2-7L 6 1 Over
07/28 vs DET 9-3W 13 4 Over
07/26 @ PHI 5-4W 9 1 Over
07/25 @ PHI 0-3L 3 0 Under
07/24 @ PHI 7-2W 12 0 Over
07/23 @ MIL 7-8L 9 3 Over
07/22 @ MIL 4-8L 7 1 Over
07/15 vs SF 4-2W 10 1 Under
07/14 vs SF 1-7L 10 0 Under
07/12 vs CWS 1-3L 6 1 Under
07/12 vs CWS 3-2W 5 2 Under
07/10 vs CWS 8-6W 15 3 Over

Mets Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
08/01 @ MIN 2-0W 5 1 Under
07/31 @ MIN 15-2W 17 1 Over
07/30 @ ATL 2-8L 7 1 Over
07/29 @ ATL 0-4L 4 0 Under
07/28 @ ATL 8-4W 8 3 Over
07/27 @ ATL 3-2W 3 1 Under
07/26 vs NYY 12-3W 14 5 Over
07/25 vs NYY 3-2W 8 1 Under
07/24 vs MIA 6-4W 11 3 Over
07/23 vs MIA 2-4L 8 0 Under
07/22 vs MIA 1-0W 6 0 Under
07/21 vs MIA 4-6L 8 2 Over
07/15 @ COL 7-3W 6 1 Over
07/14 @ COL 7-6W 10 5 Over
07/13 @ WAS 7-0W 9 0 Under

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 Willi Castro
7.8 10.1 0.262 0.409 0.401 0.810 0.328 0.019
#2 Byron Buxton
8.8 11.6 0.277 0.504 0.360 0.863 0.353 0.043
#3 Matt Wallner
9.2 12.4 0.262 0.590 0.492 1.082 0.418 0.082
#4 Royce Lewis
8.8 11.8 0.269 0.644 0.375 1.019 0.409 0.106
#5 Carlos Santana
7.7 10.2 0.246 0.427 0.371 0.798 0.324 0.041
#6 Jose Miranda
6.8 8.8 0.319 0.510 0.392 0.901 0.368 0.034
#7 Max Kepler
6.8 8.9 0.271 0.412 0.357 0.769 0.316 0.022
#8 Ryan Jeffers
5.9 7.9 0.233 0.452 0.360 0.813 0.331 0.053
#9 Brooks Lee
5.7 7.4 0.256 0.346 0.346 0.692 0.285 0.026
New York Mets DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor
9.4 12.4 0.251 0.467 0.367 0.835 0.339 0.051
#2 Brandon Nimmo
8.6 11.6 0.236 0.422 0.419 0.841 0.335 0.042
#3 J.D. Martinez
8.2 10.8 0.263 0.446 0.382 0.828 0.335 0.039
#4 Pete Alonso
8.2 10.9 0.244 0.464 0.370 0.835 0.338 0.052
#5 Jesse Winker
7.2 9.6 0.264 0.425 0.456 0.881 0.348 0.035
#6 Mark Vientos
6.6 8.7 0.290 0.562 0.378 0.940 0.381 0.069
#7 Jeff McNeil
6.7 8.7 0.231 0.365 0.308 0.674 0.280 0.027
#8 Francisco Alvarez
5.9 7.7 0.268 0.445 0.378 0.823 0.334 0.030
#9 Harrison Bader
5.1 6.6 0.261 0.399 0.329 0.728 0.302 0.028

Twins Notable Injuries

  • Chris Paddack OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/10/24. Impact: 4.7
  • Carlos Correa OUT (SS): Avg: 0.308 SLG:0.52 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 4.1
  • Kyle Farmer OUT (2B): Avg: 0.189 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 1.1
  • Brock Stewart OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 0.4
  • Kody Funderburk OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 0.6

Mets Notable Injuries

  • Kodai Senga OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/28/24. Impact: 10.4
  • Christian Scott OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 4.0
  • Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.6
  • Reed Garrett OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 0.8
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