Twins vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Petco Park tonight as the Minnesota Twins, just a whisper away from the top in the American League, clash with the San Diego Padres, who are hot on the heels of their National League rivals. With the first pitch slated for 09:40 PM EST under the partly cloudy San Diego skies, the stakes are as high as the temperature. Both teams are looking to swing their standings in their favor after their last face-off, where the Padres edged out with a 5-3 victory. The betting lines are buzzing, the crowd’s gearing up, and with a tight over/under of 7.5, every pitch counts. So, as the Twins try to plant their flag and the Padres aim to defend their turf, tonight’s game promises to be a classic duel of Twin ambitions and Padre prowess!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 20, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 82.9° with 61% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-124	+104	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-118	-102	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+6	-206	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

137W-167L

54.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

163W-137L

45.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/19/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Over	+0.5
08/19/24	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+0.5
05/09/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-0.5
05/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-0.5
05/10/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-0.5
05/10/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-0.5
05/11/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+0.5
05/11/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+0.5

Twins Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Bailey Ober

ERA 3.493 | IP 134.0 | 12.0W-5.0L | KO 140.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-15-24	@TEX	3-2W	6.0	7	2	3	Under
08-09-24	vsCLE	2-4W	6.0	2	0	9	Under
08-03-24	vsCWS	2-6W	7.0	2	2	7	Push
07-28-24	@DET	5-0W	8.0	1	0	11	Under
07-22-24	vsPHI	2-7W	7.0	4	2	4	Over
07-10-24	@CWS	1-3L	6.0	4	3	6	Under
07-04-24	vsDET	3-12W	6.0	7	3	8	Over
06-28-24	@SEA	2-3L	6.0	2	1	9	Under
06-22-24	@OAK	10-2W	9.0	4	2	10	Over
06-16-24	vsOAK	2-6W	6.3	6	1	8	Push

Martin Perez

ERA 4.53 | IP 101.3 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 84.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-14-24	vsPIT	2-8W	5.3	5	1	8	Over
08-09-24	@MIA	6-2W	7.0	3	2	6	Push
08-03-24	vsCOL	2-3W	6.0	3	1	7	Under
07-24-24	@STL	0-5W	6.0	4	0	2	Under
07-19-24	@PHI	7-8W	3.7	7	6	4	Over
07-10-24	@MIL	0-9W	4.7	9	5	5	Over
07-04-24	@STL	3-2L	7.3	6	1	2	Under
06-28-24	@ATL	1-6W	4.0	8	6	4	Under
05-26-24	@ATL	8-1L	3.0	4	1	2	Over
05-21-24	@SF	6-7W	4.3	5	4	4	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/21	vs SD	3-5L	5	0	Push
08/20	vs TEX	5-6L	7	2	Over
08/19	vs TEX	5-2W	8	1	Under
08/18	vs TEX	4-3W	5	2	Under
08/17	vs TEX	3-2W	6	1	Under
08/16	@ KC	1-4L	7	1	Under
08/15	@ KC	13-3W	15	3	Over
08/14	@ KC	8-3W	10	2	Over
08/13	@ CLE	3-5L	11	2	Push
08/12	@ CLE	1-2L	4	0	Under
08/11	@ CLE	6-3W	11	1	Over
08/11	@ CLE	4-2W	8	2	Under
08/09	vs CHC	2-8L	6	0	Over
08/08	vs CHC	3-7L	3	2	Over
08/07	vs CHC	3-0W	8	1	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/21	@ MIN	5-3W	4	0	Push
08/20	vs COL	2-3L	7	1	Under
08/19	vs COL	8-3W	15	1	Over
08/18	vs COL	3-7L	9	2	Over
08/16	@ PIT	8-2W	10	2	Over
08/15	@ PIT	3-0W	7	1	Under
08/14	@ PIT	2-1W	6	0	Under
08/13	vs MIA	6-7L	10	1	Over
08/12	vs MIA	9-8W	12	1	Over
08/11	vs MIA	6-2W	11	1	Push
08/10	vs PIT	7-6W	7	2	Over
08/09	vs PIT	9-8W	14	3	Over
08/08	vs PIT	6-0W	14	0	Under
08/06	@ COL	10-2W	12	3	Over
08/05	@ COL	3-2W	5	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Manuel Margot	8.3	10.8	0.234	0.332	0.316	0.648	0.270	0.016
#2 Carlos Santana	8.3	11.0	0.241	0.431	0.376	0.807	0.327	0.045
#3 Royce Lewis	9.3	12.6	0.261	0.594	0.382	0.976	0.390	0.091
#4 Jose Miranda	7.6	9.8	0.305	0.491	0.371	0.862	0.353	0.028
#5 Ryan Jeffers	8.6	11.6	0.232	0.464	0.357	0.821	0.335	0.060
#6 Willi Castro	6.8	8.9	0.258	0.409	0.380	0.789	0.321	0.022
#7 Kyle Farmer	6.2	8.4	0.192	0.291	0.331	0.623	0.260	0.007
#8 Trevor Larnach	5.3	7.0	0.241	0.418	0.356	0.774	0.315	0.046
#9 Austin Martin	5.9	7.7	0.244	0.335	0.347	0.682	0.281	0.006

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	6.9	8.5	0.304	0.376	0.356	0.732	0.304	0.006
#2 Jurickson Profar	6.7	8.9	0.288	0.472	0.451	0.923	0.367	0.044
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.1	9.5	0.244	0.403	0.360	0.762	0.312	0.034
#4 Manny Machado	7.3	9.5	0.268	0.441	0.338	0.779	0.320	0.041
#5 Xander Bogaerts	7.4	9.3	0.262	0.369	0.328	0.697	0.288	0.021
#6 Jackson Merrill	6.7	8.6	0.293	0.489	0.345	0.835	0.342	0.041
#7 David Peralta	5.0	6.6	0.265	0.432	0.358	0.790	0.323	0.037
#8 Kyle Higashioka	5.3	7.1	0.230	0.517	0.299	0.816	0.335	0.080
#9 Tyler Wade	3.8	4.9	0.217	0.235	0.322	0.557	0.235	0.000

Twins Notable Injuries

Joe Ryan OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 7.6
Byron Buxton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.275 SLG:0.528 Last game: 08/14/24. Impact: 3.6
Brooks Lee OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.263 SLG:0.347 Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 2.1
Brock Stewart OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 0.4