Twins vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some prime Daily Fantasy action as the Minnesota Twins, boasting a solid 69-56 record, storm into sunny San Diego to clash with the 72-55 Padres at the iconic Petco Park tonight at 06:40PM EST. It’s a battle of the conference contenders with the Twins looking to catch up from 3.5 games back in the American League, while the Padres are hot on their heels just 3.0 games behind in the National League. The stakes are high and the betting lines are buzzing, setting the over/under at a tantalizing 8.5. Fresh off a heated encounter just yesterday where the Padres edged out a 7-5 victory, both teams are fired up to tip the scales tonight under partly cloudy skies, a gentle southern breeze, and perfect baseball weather. So, as the Twins try to plant their flag and the Padres aim to defend their turf, expect a showdown that’s nothing short of Twin-tastic and Padre-digm shifting!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 21, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSW at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 79.0° with 67% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+109	-131	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+4	-6	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

137W-168L

47.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

164W-137L

52.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/19/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-0.5
08/19/24	San Diego Padres SD	5	Under	-0.5
08/20/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+3.5
08/20/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+3.5
05/09/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-1.5
05/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-1.5
05/10/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-1.5
05/10/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-1.5
05/11/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-0.5
05/11/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-0.5

Twins Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

S. Woods

ERA 3.773 | IP 107.3 | 4.0W-3.0L | KO 92.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-16-24	@TEX	4-3W	5.0	3	2	1	Under
08-10-24	vsCLE	2-1L	7.0	4	2	7	Under
08-04-24	vsCWS	7-13W	4.0	6	3	6	Over
07-29-24	@NYM	2-15L	3.3	7	6	2	Over
07-23-24	vsPHI	3-0L	6.0	3	0	5	Under
07-13-24	@SF	4-2W	4.3	7	2	7	Under
07-07-24	vsHOU	2-3W	6.0	3	2	4	Under
07-02-24	vsDET	3-5W	5.7	4	3	4	Push
06-26-24	@ARI	8-3W	5.3	4	3	4	Over
06-20-24	vsTB	7-6L	6.0	4	2	6	Over

Matt Waldron

ERA 4.294 | IP 138.3 | 7.0W-10.0L | KO 127.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-16-24	@COL	3-7L	5.7	9	7	6	Over
08-10-24	@MIA	9-8W	4.3	5	5	5	Over
08-04-24	vsCOL	2-10W	5.7	2	1	7	Over
07-30-24	vsLAD	5-6W	4.0	5	5	6	Over
07-24-24	@WAS	12-3W	6.0	4	3	4	Over
07-19-24	@CLE	0-7L	6.0	6	1	5	Under
07-12-24	vsATL	6-1L	7.0	6	4	1	Under
07-06-24	vsARI	7-5L	6.0	5	3	6	Over
06-30-24	@BOS	1-4L	4.3	6	4	3	Under
06-24-24	vsWAS	6-7W	6.0	5	2	8	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/22	vs SD	5-7L	13	1	Over
08/21	vs SD	3-5L	5	0	Push
08/20	vs TEX	5-6L	7	2	Over
08/19	vs TEX	5-2W	8	1	Under
08/18	vs TEX	4-3W	5	2	Under
08/17	vs TEX	3-2W	6	1	Under
08/16	@ KC	1-4L	7	1	Under
08/15	@ KC	13-3W	15	3	Over
08/14	@ KC	8-3W	10	2	Over
08/13	@ CLE	3-5L	11	2	Push
08/12	@ CLE	1-2L	4	0	Under
08/11	@ CLE	6-3W	11	1	Over
08/11	@ CLE	4-2W	8	2	Under
08/09	vs CHC	2-8L	6	0	Over
08/08	vs CHC	3-7L	3	2	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/22	@ MIN	7-5W	10	2	Over
08/21	@ MIN	5-3W	4	0	Push
08/20	vs COL	2-3L	7	1	Under
08/19	vs COL	8-3W	15	1	Over
08/18	vs COL	3-7L	9	2	Over
08/16	@ PIT	8-2W	10	2	Over
08/15	@ PIT	3-0W	7	1	Under
08/14	@ PIT	2-1W	6	0	Under
08/13	vs MIA	6-7L	10	1	Over
08/12	vs MIA	9-8W	12	1	Over
08/11	vs MIA	6-2W	11	1	Push
08/10	vs PIT	7-6W	7	2	Over
08/09	vs PIT	9-8W	14	3	Over
08/08	vs PIT	6-0W	14	0	Under
08/06	@ COL	10-2W	12	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Willi Castro	8.0	10.5	0.256	0.405	0.376	0.782	0.319	0.022
#2 Trevor Larnach	7.5	9.9	0.240	0.416	0.355	0.771	0.314	0.046
#3 Royce Lewis	9.2	12.4	0.262	0.589	0.381	0.970	0.388	0.089
#4 Matt Wallner	7.9	10.7	0.264	0.573	0.491	1.064	0.412	0.064
#5 Carlos Santana	7.2	9.5	0.243	0.434	0.377	0.811	0.328	0.045
#6 Jose Miranda	6.7	8.6	0.304	0.488	0.370	0.857	0.351	0.028
#7 Edouard Julien	6.8	9.0	0.204	0.346	0.356	0.702	0.286	0.037
#8 Christian Vazquez	5.4	6.9	0.246	0.382	0.289	0.671	0.280	0.031
#9 Austin Martin	5.3	6.9	0.251	0.341	0.358	0.698	0.287	0.006

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.6	9.4	0.303	0.375	0.355	0.731	0.303	0.006
#2 Jurickson Profar	7.6	10.1	0.288	0.477	0.449	0.926	0.368	0.046
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.6	10.1	0.247	0.406	0.361	0.767	0.313	0.034
#4 Manny Machado	8.4	11.0	0.268	0.446	0.337	0.783	0.322	0.042
#5 Xander Bogaerts	7.6	9.6	0.265	0.374	0.330	0.704	0.291	0.020
#6 Jackson Merrill	7.9	10.2	0.292	0.489	0.344	0.834	0.342	0.040
#7 David Peralta	5.4	7.1	0.265	0.428	0.355	0.783	0.321	0.036
#8 Kyle Higashioka	5.2	7.0	0.230	0.517	0.299	0.816	0.335	0.080
#9 Tyler Wade	4.4	5.7	0.214	0.231	0.316	0.547	0.231	0.000

Twins Notable Injuries

Joe Ryan OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 7.6
Byron Buxton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.275 SLG:0.528 Last game: 08/14/24. Impact: 3.6
Brooks Lee OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.263 SLG:0.347 Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 2.1
Brock Stewart OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 0.4

Padres Notable Injuries

Ha-Seong Kim OUT (SS): Avg: 0.237 SLG:0.377 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.6
Stephen Kolek OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/01/24. Impact: 1.2