Twins vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some sizzling MLB action as the Minnesota Twins, boasting a solid 23-15 record, swoop into the Rogers Centre to clash with the Toronto Blue Jays, who are eager to shake off their 17-21 blues. Today’s showdown kicks off at the chirp of 3:07 PM EST, under a sunny Toronto sky with just a hint of an eastern breeze. With the Twins just a whisper away from the top of the American League and the Blue Jays looking to claw back from their 8.5-game lag, the stakes are as high as the over/under of 7.5. Fresh off a nail-biter where the Twins edged the Jays just yesterday, both teams are fired up to either double down or flip the script. So, as the Twins try to plant their cleats firmly in the win column and the Blue Jays aim to take flight, today’s game promises to be more than just peanuts and Cracker Jacks—it’s a full-blown feast of fastballs and home runs!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 11, 2024 03:07PM EST

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Weather: Sunny with winds from the E at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 55.4° with 77% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	TOR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+134	-160	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+121	-144	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-13	+16	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

115W-144L

45.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

144W-114L

54.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/10/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-2.5
05/10/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-2.5
05/26/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-3.5
05/26/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-3.5
05/27/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+8.5
05/27/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	9	Over	+8.5
05/28/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-4.5
05/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-4.5
06/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-2.5
06/09/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-2.5
06/10/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	9	Over	+5.5
06/10/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Over	+5.5
06/11/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+5.5
06/11/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Over	+5.5

Twins Vs Over/Under

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

S. Woods

ERA 1.742 | IP 20.7 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 21.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-06-24	vsSEA	1-3W	6.0	1	0	8	Under
04-30-24	@CWS	6-5W	3.7	7	2	2	Over
04-25-24	vsCWS	3-6W	5.0	7	2	6	Over
04-13-24	@DET	4-1W	6.0	2	1	5	Under
04-22-23	vsWAS	10-4L	4.7	7	5	5	Over
10-02-22	vsDET	10-4L	5.0	3	3	3	Over

Kevin Gausman

ERA 3.78 | IP 33.3 | 2.0W-3.0L | KO 31.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-04-24	@WAS	6-3W	5.3	3	0	8	Over
04-28-24	vsLAD	1-3W	7.0	5	1	5	Under
04-23-24	@KC	2-3L	6.7	7	3	2	Under
04-17-24	vsNYY	6-4L	5.0	4	1	6	Over
04-12-24	vsCOL	12-4L	3.7	10	6	4	Over
04-06-24	@NYY	8-9L	1.3	4	6	0	Over
03-31-24	@TB	9-2W	4.3	2	1	6	Over
09-26-23	vsNYY	2-0L	7.0	3	0	5	Under
09-20-23	@NYY	6-1W	6.0	3	0	10	Under
09-14-23	vsTEX	9-2L	4.7	6	4	5	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/12	vs TOR	3-2W	7	1	Under
05/11	@ SEA	11-1W	11	2	Over
05/10	@ SEA	6-3W	7	3	Over
05/09	@ SEA	6-10L	9	1	Over
05/08	@ SEA	3-1W	5	0	Under
05/07	@ BOS	2-9L	9	1	Over
05/06	@ BOS	3-1W	8	1	Under
05/05	@ BOS	5-2W	8	0	Under
05/03	vs CWS	10-5W	12	1	Over
05/02	vs CWS	6-5W	9	0	Over
05/01	vs CWS	3-2W	4	1	Under
04/30	vs LAA	11-5W	17	0	Over
04/29	vs LAA	16-5W	17	3	Over
04/28	vs LAA	5-3W	11	1	Push
04/27	@ CWS	6-3W	10	5	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/12	@ MIN	2-3L	8	1	Under
05/10	vs PHI	5-3W	12	0	Push
05/09	vs PHI	1-10L	6	0	Over
05/07	vs WAS	8-11L	10	1	Over
05/06	vs WAS	6-3W	9	1	Over
05/05	vs WAS	3-9L	7	0	Over
05/03	@ KC	1-6L	4	1	Under
05/02	@ KC	1-4L	4	0	Under
05/01	@ KC	6-5W	12	3	Over
04/30	@ LAD	3-1W	8	1	Under
04/29	@ LAD	2-4L	3	0	Under
04/28	@ LAD	2-12L	5	1	Over
04/27	vs KC	1-2L	3	0	Under
04/26	vs KC	2-3L	6	1	Under
04/25	vs KC	2-3L	9	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Edouard Julien	8.0	10.8	0.205	0.427	38.5%	81.2%	6.0%
#2 Ryan Jeffers	7.8	10.5	0.296	0.6	44.3%	104.3%	7.0%
#3 Trevor Larnach	7.8	10.3	0.345	0.545	43.6%	98.2%	5.5%
#4 Max Kepler	8.0	10.6	0.338	0.568	44.6%	101.4%	4.1%
#5 Carlos Correa	7.1	9.4	0.274	0.425	43.8%	86.3%	2.7%
#6 Alex Kirilloff	6.6	8.6	0.218	0.396	30.7%	70.3%	2.0%
#7 Willi Castro	7.0	9.0	0.273	0.461	36.7%	82.8%	2.3%
#8 Carlos Santana	6.1	8.1	0.194	0.347	30.6%	65.3%	4.0%
#9 Jose Miranda	6.0	7.7	0.295	0.462	35.9%	82.1%	2.6%

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	8.9	11.2	0.206	0.298	30.5%	60.3%	2.1%
#2 Daulton Varsho	8.4	11.3	0.219	0.439	35.1%	78.9%	5.3%
#3 V. Guerrero	9.2	11.9	0.253	0.377	39.7%	77.4%	2.7%
#4 Justin Turner	7.6	10.0	0.261	0.429	37.8%	80.7%	3.4%
#5 Bo Bichette	7.8	10.0	0.2	0.274	27.4%	54.8%	0.7%
#6 Daniel Vogelbach	6.6	9.2	0.103	0.172	27.6%	44.8%	0.0%
#7 Alejandro Kirk	6.6	8.7	0.205	0.288	34.2%	63.0%	1.4%
#8 Cavan Biggio	5.8	7.6	0.198	0.284	38.3%	66.7%	1.2%
#9 Kevin Kiermaier	5.9	7.6	0.224	0.313	29.9%	61.2%	1.5%