Mets vs Braves Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 9th 2024

thefield
New York Mets

Mets

4W-6L

New York Mets

April 09, 2024

07:20PM EST

Odds: 9.5 o/u

Braves

6W-3L

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves

Listen up, sports junkies! We’re in for a rip-roaring night of Major League Baseball as the underdog New York Mets, sporting a 4W-6L record, are barreling down south to Truist Park, looking to take another bite out of the peach state’s pride, the 6W-3L Atlanta Braves. With the first pitch set to sizzle the diamond at 07:20PM EST, the Mets are hungry to close the 2.5-game gap in the National League conference, while the Braves are sitting pretty at the top with a big fat zero in their games back column. If you’re a betting man, the over/under is at a tantalizing 9.5, with the Mets line at 160 and the Braves at -195. The Braves, still smarting from their recent 7-8 loss to the Mets, are eager for a rematch, while the Mets are riding high on their 8-7 victory. The weather’s looking a bit gloomy with overcast skies, winds blowing from the East at 8.1 mph, and the mercury sitting at a cool 57.9° with a sticky 90% humidity. So, buckle up folks! It’s time to see if the Mets can brave another win or if Atlanta can mete out some sweet revenge!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 09, 2024 07:20PM EST
Location: Truist Park, Atlanta
Weather: Overcast with winds from the E at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 57.9° with 90% humidity.

Vegas Odds

NYM ML ATL ML Over/Under Line
Open +160 -195 9.5 1.5/-1.5
Recent +160 -195 9.5 1.5/-1.5
Difference 0 0 0

Team Performance

nym Team Logo
LAST 10
4W-6L
AWAY
111W-132L

38.5% Win Probability

atl Team Logo
LAST 10
6W-4L
HOME
149W-93L

61.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
04/08/24 New York Mets NYM 8 Over +5.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 7
04/28/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 4 Under -5.5
New York Mets NYM 0
08/12/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 21 Over +14.5
New York Mets NYM 3
05/01/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 3 Under -1.5
New York Mets NYM 5
05/01/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 9 Over +7.5
New York Mets NYM 8
06/06/23 New York Mets NYM 4 Over +0.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 6
06/07/23 New York Mets NYM 5 Over +2.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 7
06/08/23 New York Mets NYM 10 Over +13.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 13
08/11/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 7 Under -2.5
New York Mets NYM 0
08/12/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 6 Under -3.5
New York Mets NYM 0
08/13/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 6 Over +3.5
New York Mets NYM 7
08/21/23 New York Mets NYM 10 Over +4.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 4
08/22/23 New York Mets NYM 2 Under -4.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 3
08/23/23 New York Mets NYM 0 Under -2.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 7

Mets Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Adrian Houser
Adrian Houser
ERA 4.284 | IP 111.3 | 8.0W-5.0L | KO 96.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
04-08-24 @ATL 8-7W 2.7 6 4 3 Over
09-28-23 @STL 0-3W 4.0 1 0 4 Under
09-24-23 @MIA 1-6W 3.0 6 2 2 Under
09-21-23 @STL 6-0L 2.0 1 0 0 Under
07-29-23 @ATL 5-11W 5.0 11 9 4 Over
07-23-23 @ATL 4-2L 6.0 3 1 5 Under
07-18-23 @PHI 3-4W 4.7 7 4 3 Under
07-03-23 @CHC 6-8W 6.0 9 6 7 Over
06-27-23 vsNYM 2-7W 5.7 7 7 2 Under
06-21-23 @ARI 5-1L 5.0 2 0 3 Under
04-04-24 vsDET 6-3L 5.0 3 1 3 Under
10-01-23 @CHC 0-4W 5.0 3 0 5 Under
09-26-23 @STL 4-1L 5.0 3 4 5 Under
09-20-23 @STL 8-2L 6.0 4 1 4 Over
09-14-23 @MIA 2-4W 5.0 5 2 5 Under
08-27-23 @SD 6-10W 2.0 4 4 2 Over
08-20-23 @TEX 6-2L 5.0 6 1 7 Under
08-15-23 @LAD 2-6W 5.3 5 4 6 Under
08-09-23 @COL 6-7W 5.0 5 4 5 Over
08-03-23 @PIT 1-14W 6.0 4 1 5 Over
Reynaldo Lopez
Reynaldo Lopez
ERA 3.273 | IP 66.0 | 3.0W-7.0L | KO 83.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
04-08-24 vsNYM 8-7L 5.7 5 4 4 Over
04-01-24 @CWS 9-0W 5.7 3 0 6 Under
09-22-23 @WAS 9-6W 1.0 0 0 1 Over
09-17-23 @MIA 2-16L 4.7 6 6 5 Over
09-11-23 @PHI 10-8W 6.0 6 4 9 Over
09-03-23 @LAD 1-3L 4.0 6 2 3 Under
08-29-23 @COL 3-1W 6.0 3 1 8 Under
08-23-23 vsNYM 0-7W 7.0 2 0 11 Under
08-16-23 vsNYY 0-2W 6.0 4 0 10 Under
08-11-23 @NYM 7-0W 5.0 3 0 4 Under
04-02-24 @CWS 2-3L 6.0 4 1 5 Under
09-29-23 @DET 7-5L 1.0 2 0 1 Over
09-27-23 @CIN 3-4W 1.0 0 0 1 Under
09-22-23 @BAL 8-9W 1.0 0 0 1 Over
09-21-23 @BAL 2-5W 1.0 1 0 2 Under
09-18-23 @KC 4-6W 0.3 0 0 1 Over
09-16-23 @TEX 1-2W 1.0 0 0 1 Under
09-12-23 @SF 3-1L 1.0 0 0 1 Under
09-11-23 @SF 4-5W 0.7 1 0 0 Under
09-08-23 @LAA 6-3L 1.0 0 0 1 Under

Mets Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
04/10 vs ATL 8-7W 11 3 Over
04/09 vs CIN 3-1W 9 1 Under
04/08 vs CIN 6-9L 11 0 Over
04/07 vs CIN 3-2W 4 1 Under
04/06 @ DET 3-6L 6 0 Under
04/06 @ DET 2-1W 3 1 Under
04/03 @ DET 0-5L 5 0 Under
04/02 @ MIL 1-4L 7 0 Under
04/01 @ MIL 6-7L 12 3 Over
03/31 @ MIL 1-3L 1 1 Under
10/04 @ MIA 1-2L 5 0 Under
10/03 @ PHI 1-9L 2 1 Over
10/02 @ PHI 11-4W 9 3 Over
10/02 @ PHI 4-3W 5 1 Under
09/29 @ MIA 11-2W 12 3 Over

Braves Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
04/10 @ NYM 7-8L 12 1 Over
04/09 @ ARI 5-2W 7 3 Under
04/08 @ ARI 9-8W 15 1 Over
04/07 @ ARI 6-5W 12 1 Over
04/04 vs CWS 2-3L 5 2 Under
04/03 vs CWS 9-0W 11 1 Under
04/02 vs PHI 4-5L 7 1 Under
04/01 vs PHI 12-4W 19 4 Over
03/31 vs PHI 9-3W 13 0 Over
10/03 @ WAS 9-10L 11 2 Over
10/02 @ WAS 5-3W 11 1 Under
10/01 @ WAS 6-10L 17 0 Over
09/30 @ CHC 5-3W 6 1 Under
09/29 @ CHC 6-5W 9 2 Over
09/28 @ CHC 7-6W 8 2 Over

Team’s Batting Order

Mets Notable Injuries

  • Tylor Megill OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 5.9

Braves Notable Injuries

  • Spencer Strider OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 8.2
  • Sean Murphy OUT (C): Avg: 0.251 SLG:0.478 Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 1.4
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