Mets vs Braves Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 9th 2024
Mets
4W-6L
April 09, 2024
07:20PM EST
Odds: 9.5 o/u
Braves
6W-3L
Listen up, sports junkies! We’re in for a rip-roaring night of Major League Baseball as the underdog New York Mets, sporting a 4W-6L record, are barreling down south to Truist Park, looking to take another bite out of the peach state’s pride, the 6W-3L Atlanta Braves. With the first pitch set to sizzle the diamond at 07:20PM EST, the Mets are hungry to close the 2.5-game gap in the National League conference, while the Braves are sitting pretty at the top with a big fat zero in their games back column. If you’re a betting man, the over/under is at a tantalizing 9.5, with the Mets line at 160 and the Braves at -195. The Braves, still smarting from their recent 7-8 loss to the Mets, are eager for a rematch, while the Mets are riding high on their 8-7 victory. The weather’s looking a bit gloomy with overcast skies, winds blowing from the East at 8.1 mph, and the mercury sitting at a cool 57.9° with a sticky 90% humidity. So, buckle up folks! It’s time to see if the Mets can brave another win or if Atlanta can mete out some sweet revenge!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 09, 2024 07:20PM EST
Location: Truist Park, Atlanta
Weather: Overcast with winds from the E at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 57.9° with 90% humidity.
Vegas Odds
NYM ML | ATL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +160 | -195 | 9.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
Recent | +160 | -195 | 9.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
Difference | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
38.5% Win Probability
61.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/08/24 | New York Mets NYM | 8 | Over | +5.5 | |
Atlanta Braves ATL | 7 | ||||
04/28/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 4 | Under | -5.5 | |
New York Mets NYM | 0 | ||||
08/12/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 21 | Over | +14.5 | |
New York Mets NYM | 3 | ||||
05/01/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 3 | Under | -1.5 | |
New York Mets NYM | 5 | ||||
05/01/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 9 | Over | +7.5 | |
New York Mets NYM | 8 | ||||
06/06/23 | New York Mets NYM | 4 | Over | +0.5 | |
Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | ||||
06/07/23 | New York Mets NYM | 5 | Over | +2.5 | |
Atlanta Braves ATL | 7 | ||||
06/08/23 | New York Mets NYM | 10 | Over | +13.5 | |
Atlanta Braves ATL | 13 | ||||
08/11/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 7 | Under | -2.5 | |
New York Mets NYM | 0 | ||||
08/12/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | Under | -3.5 | |
New York Mets NYM | 0 | ||||
08/13/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | Over | +3.5 | |
New York Mets NYM | 7 | ||||
08/21/23 | New York Mets NYM | 10 | Over | +4.5 | |
Atlanta Braves ATL | 4 | ||||
08/22/23 | New York Mets NYM | 2 | Under | -4.5 | |
Atlanta Braves ATL | 3 | ||||
08/23/23 | New York Mets NYM | 0 | Under | -2.5 | |
Atlanta Braves ATL | 7 |
Mets Vs Over/Under
Braves Vs Over/Under
Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-08-24 | @ATL | 8-7W | 2.7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | Over |
09-28-23 | @STL | 0-3W | 4.0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | Under |
09-24-23 | @MIA | 1-6W | 3.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | Under |
09-21-23 | @STL | 6-0L | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Under |
07-29-23 | @ATL | 5-11W | 5.0 | 11 | 9 | 4 | Over |
07-23-23 | @ATL | 4-2L | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | Under |
07-18-23 | @PHI | 3-4W | 4.7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | Under |
07-03-23 | @CHC | 6-8W | 6.0 | 9 | 6 | 7 | Over |
06-27-23 | vsNYM | 2-7W | 5.7 | 7 | 7 | 2 | Under |
06-21-23 | @ARI | 5-1L | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | Under |
04-04-24 | vsDET | 6-3L | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | Under |
10-01-23 | @CHC | 0-4W | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | Under |
09-26-23 | @STL | 4-1L | 5.0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Under |
09-20-23 | @STL | 8-2L | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | Over |
09-14-23 | @MIA | 2-4W | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Under |
08-27-23 | @SD | 6-10W | 2.0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | Over |
08-20-23 | @TEX | 6-2L | 5.0 | 6 | 1 | 7 | Under |
08-15-23 | @LAD | 2-6W | 5.3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | Under |
08-09-23 | @COL | 6-7W | 5.0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | Over |
08-03-23 | @PIT | 1-14W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | Over |
Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-08-24 | vsNYM | 8-7L | 5.7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | Over |
04-01-24 | @CWS | 9-0W | 5.7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | Under |
09-22-23 | @WAS | 9-6W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Over |
09-17-23 | @MIA | 2-16L | 4.7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | Over |
09-11-23 | @PHI | 10-8W | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 9 | Over |
09-03-23 | @LAD | 1-3L | 4.0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | Under |
08-29-23 | @COL | 3-1W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | Under |
08-23-23 | vsNYM | 0-7W | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | Under |
08-16-23 | vsNYY | 0-2W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | Under |
08-11-23 | @NYM | 7-0W | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | Under |
04-02-24 | @CWS | 2-3L | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | Under |
09-29-23 | @DET | 7-5L | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Over |
09-27-23 | @CIN | 3-4W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
09-22-23 | @BAL | 8-9W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Over |
09-21-23 | @BAL | 2-5W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Under |
09-18-23 | @KC | 4-6W | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Over |
09-16-23 | @TEX | 1-2W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
09-12-23 | @SF | 3-1L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
09-11-23 | @SF | 4-5W | 0.7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Under |
09-08-23 | @LAA | 6-3L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
Mets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/10 | vs ATL | 8-7W | 11 | 3 | Over |
04/09 | vs CIN | 3-1W | 9 | 1 | Under |
04/08 | vs CIN | 6-9L | 11 | 0 | Over |
04/07 | vs CIN | 3-2W | 4 | 1 | Under |
04/06 | @ DET | 3-6L | 6 | 0 | Under |
04/06 | @ DET | 2-1W | 3 | 1 | Under |
04/03 | @ DET | 0-5L | 5 | 0 | Under |
04/02 | @ MIL | 1-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
04/01 | @ MIL | 6-7L | 12 | 3 | Over |
03/31 | @ MIL | 1-3L | 1 | 1 | Under |
10/04 | @ MIA | 1-2L | 5 | 0 | Under |
10/03 | @ PHI | 1-9L | 2 | 1 | Over |
10/02 | @ PHI | 11-4W | 9 | 3 | Over |
10/02 | @ PHI | 4-3W | 5 | 1 | Under |
09/29 | @ MIA | 11-2W | 12 | 3 | Over |
Braves Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/10 | @ NYM | 7-8L | 12 | 1 | Over |
04/09 | @ ARI | 5-2W | 7 | 3 | Under |
04/08 | @ ARI | 9-8W | 15 | 1 | Over |
04/07 | @ ARI | 6-5W | 12 | 1 | Over |
04/04 | vs CWS | 2-3L | 5 | 2 | Under |
04/03 | vs CWS | 9-0W | 11 | 1 | Under |
04/02 | vs PHI | 4-5L | 7 | 1 | Under |
04/01 | vs PHI | 12-4W | 19 | 4 | Over |
03/31 | vs PHI | 9-3W | 13 | 0 | Over |
10/03 | @ WAS | 9-10L | 11 | 2 | Over |
10/02 | @ WAS | 5-3W | 11 | 1 | Under |
10/01 | @ WAS | 6-10L | 17 | 0 | Over |
09/30 | @ CHC | 5-3W | 6 | 1 | Under |
09/29 | @ CHC | 6-5W | 9 | 2 | Over |
09/28 | @ CHC | 7-6W | 8 | 2 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
New York Mets | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9.3 | 12.1 | 0.275 | 0.469 | 41.8% | 88.6% | 4.1% | |
9.1 | 12.1 | 0.254 | 0.472 | 38.5% | 85.6% | 5.2% | |
#3
Pete Alonso
|
8.0 | 10.9 | 0.218 | 0.506 | 36.8% | 87.4% | 8.1% |
7.4 | 10.0 | 0.208 | 0.438 | 31.1% | 74.9% | 6.6% | |
#5
Brett Baty
|
6.4 | 8.3 | 0.214 | 0.326 | 30.0% | 62.6% | 2.6% |
7.1 | 8.9 | 0.248 | 0.324 | 32.4% | 64.8% | 1.6% | |
#7
DJ Stewart
|
7.4 | 9.9 | 0.236 | 0.497 | 36.9% | 86.6% | 7.0% |
7.0 | 9.2 | 0.234 | 0.446 | 28.1% | 72.7% | 4.3% | |
#8
Jeff McNeil
|
6.7 | 8.6 | 0.27 | 0.378 | 36.6% | 74.4% | 1.7% |
5.6 | 7.2 | 0.232 | 0.35 | 29.6% | 64.6% | 2.2% | |
#9
Joey Wendle
|
5.2 | 6.6 | 0.214 | 0.306 | 26.5% | 57.1% | 0.7% |
Atlanta Braves | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12.3 | 16.0 | 0.34 | 0.599 | 47.9% | 107.8% | 6.4% | |
#2
Ozzie Albies
|
10.5 | 13.8 | 0.28 | 0.515 | 37.2% | 88.7% | 5.6% |
#3
Austin Riley
|
9.8 | 13.0 | 0.28 | 0.517 | 38.8% | 90.5% | 5.9% |
#4
Matt Olson
|
11.2 | 15.1 | 0.283 | 0.604 | 46.2% | 106.6% | 8.9% |
8.6 | 11.4 | 0.276 | 0.565 | 39.0% | 95.4% | 7.6% | |
10.2 | 13.0 | 0.293 | 0.478 | 35.3% | 83.1% | 3.6% | |
7.2 | 9.4 | 0.267 | 0.424 | 35.3% | 77.7% | 3.5% | |
6.6 | 8.8 | 0.224 | 0.388 | 31.6% | 70.3% | 3.8% | |
6.6 | 8.6 | 0.253 | 0.418 | 36.7% | 78.5% | 3.0% |
Mets Notable Injuries
- Tylor Megill OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 5.9
Braves Notable Injuries
- Spencer Strider OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 8.2
- Sean Murphy OUT (C): Avg: 0.251 SLG:0.478 Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 1.4
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