Mets vs Reds Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 7th 2024
Mets
2W-6L
April 07, 2024
01:40PM EST
Odds: 9.0 o/u
Reds
5W-3L
Hold onto your baseball caps folks, because we’ve got a real humdinger on our hands today! Our beloved Mets, currently sitting at a 2W-6L record, are packing their bags and heading to the home of the chili dog, the Great American Ball Park, to face off against the Cincinnati Reds, who are currently sitting pretty with a 5W-3L record. It’s a classic East Coast vs. Midwest showdown, folks! With the first pitch set to soar across the diamond at 1:40PM EST, it’s going to be a race against the clock for the Mets, who are currently trailing in the National League standings by 3.5 games, to catch up to the Reds, who are only 1.5 games back. The betting lines are hotter than a habanero, with the over/under set at 9.0, the Mets at -101, and the Reds at -119. The Reds are riding high after their recent 9-6 victory over the Mets, so the boys from the Big Apple will be looking to even the score. And speaking of scores, the weather is looking to be a mild 52° with a 50% humidity, and a breeze blowing in from the ESE at 15.0 mph. So whether you’re a die-hard Mets fan or a Reds loyalist, today’s game is sure to be a real ‘Met’ch made in heaven or a ‘Red’ hot showdown!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 07, 2024 01:40PM EST
Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the ESE at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 52.0° with 50% humidity.
Vegas Odds
NYM ML | CIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -101 | -119 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
Recent | -120 | +100 | 8.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
Difference | -19 | +219 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
54.5% Win Probability
45.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/05/24 | New York Mets NYM | 3 | Under | -4.0 | |
Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | ||||
04/06/24 | New York Mets NYM | 6 | Over | +6.0 | |
Cincinnati Reds CIN | 9 | ||||
05/09/23 | New York Mets NYM | 6 | Over | +4.0 | |
Cincinnati Reds CIN | 7 | ||||
05/10/23 | New York Mets NYM | 2 | Under | -6.0 | |
Cincinnati Reds CIN | 1 | ||||
05/11/23 | New York Mets NYM | 0 | Under | -4.0 | |
Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | ||||
09/15/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | Under | -1.0 | |
New York Mets NYM | 3 | ||||
09/16/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | Under | -4.0 | |
New York Mets NYM | 2 | ||||
09/17/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 4 | Over | +3.0 | |
New York Mets NYM | 8 |
Mets Vs Over/Under
Reds Vs Over/Under
Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-01-24 | vsDET | 5-0L | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | Under |
09-27-23 | @SD | 5-2L | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 8 | Under |
09-22-23 | @LAD | 5-1L | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | Under |
09-17-23 | @COL | 11-10L | 5.3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | Over |
09-12-23 | @CLE | 3-1L | 5.7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | Under |
09-06-23 | @CHC | 2-8W | 3.0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | Over |
08-31-23 | @SD | 7-2L | 3.3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | Over |
08-26-23 | @ATL | 7-3L | 3.7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Over |
08-21-23 | @PHI | 4-10W | 2.7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | Over |
08-15-23 | @TB | 0-7W | 3.3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | Under |
Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-01-24 | @PHI | 6-3W | 5.3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | Over |
09-27-23 | @CLE | 3-4L | 2.3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | Under |
09-22-23 | vsPIT | 7-5L | 4.3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | Over |
09-16-23 | @NYM | 3-2W | 3.7 | 6 | 2 | 5 | Under |
09-08-23 | vsSTL | 9-4L | 4.0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | Over |
09-02-23 | vsCHC | 1-2W | 6.3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | Under |
08-28-23 | @SF | 1-4L | 3.3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | Under |
08-23-23 | @LAA | 9-4W | 4.0 | 5 | 3 | 5 | Over |
08-16-23 | vsCLE | 2-7W | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | Over |
08-11-23 | @PIT | 9-2W | 5.7 | 4 | 2 | 9 | Over |
Mets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/08 | vs CIN | 6-9L | 11 | 0 | Over |
04/07 | vs CIN | 3-2W | 4 | 1 | Under |
04/06 | @ DET | 2-1W | 3 | 1 | Under |
04/06 | @ DET | 3-6L | 6 | 0 | Over |
04/03 | @ DET | 0-5L | 5 | 0 | Under |
04/02 | @ MIL | 1-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
04/01 | @ MIL | 6-7L | 12 | 3 | Over |
03/31 | @ MIL | 1-3L | 1 | 1 | Under |
10/04 | @ MIA | 1-2L | 5 | 0 | Under |
10/03 | @ PHI | 1-9L | 2 | 1 | Over |
10/02 | @ PHI | 11-4W | 9 | 3 | Over |
10/02 | @ PHI | 4-3W | 5 | 1 | Under |
09/29 | @ MIA | 11-2W | 12 | 3 | Over |
09/29 | @ MIA | 2-4L | 6 | 2 | Under |
09/26 | vs PHI | 2-5L | 3 | 1 | Under |
Reds Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/08 | @ NYM | 9-6W | 8 | 1 | Over |
04/07 | @ NYM | 2-3L | 7 | 1 | Under |
04/05 | vs PHI | 4-1W | 6 | 0 | Under |
04/04 | vs PHI | 4-9L | 8 | 0 | Over |
04/03 | vs PHI | 6-3W | 8 | 1 | Over |
04/02 | @ WAS | 6-5W | 14 | 2 | Over |
04/01 | @ WAS | 6-7L | 10 | 2 | Over |
03/30 | @ WAS | 8-2W | 10 | 2 | Over |
10/03 | vs STL | 3-4L | 9 | 1 | Under |
10/02 | vs STL | 6-15L | 14 | 2 | Over |
10/01 | vs STL | 19-2W | 17 | 6 | Over |
09/29 | vs CLE | 3-4L | 8 | 0 | Under |
09/28 | vs CLE | 11-7W | 10 | 5 | Over |
09/26 | @ PIT | 4-2W | 6 | 2 | Under |
09/25 | @ PIT | 12-13L | 16 | 3 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
New York Mets | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.7 | 11.4 | 0.275 | 0.469 | 41.8% | 88.6% | 4.1% | |
9.4 | 12.5 | 0.254 | 0.472 | 38.5% | 85.6% | 5.2% | |
#3
Pete Alonso
|
10.3 | 14.1 | 0.218 | 0.506 | 36.8% | 87.4% | 8.1% |
8.2 | 11.0 | 0.208 | 0.438 | 31.1% | 74.9% | 6.6% | |
#5
Brett Baty
|
6.4 | 8.3 | 0.214 | 0.326 | 30.0% | 62.6% | 2.6% |
8.2 | 10.4 | 0.248 | 0.324 | 32.4% | 64.8% | 1.6% | |
7.7 | 10.2 | 0.234 | 0.446 | 28.1% | 72.7% | 4.3% | |
#8
Jeff McNeil
|
5.6 | 7.2 | 0.27 | 0.378 | 36.6% | 74.4% | 1.7% |
6.7 | 8.7 | 0.232 | 0.35 | 29.6% | 64.6% | 2.2% |
Cincinnati Reds | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.2 | 10.9 | 0.244 | 0.409 | 39.6% | 80.4% | 3.8% | |
9.2 | 12.1 | 0.273 | 0.467 | 41.0% | 87.7% | 4.0% | |
7.9 | 10.4 | 0.27 | 0.477 | 35.6% | 83.3% | 5.9% | |
7.9 | 10.5 | 0.251 | 0.473 | 38.3% | 85.6% | 4.4% | |
6.9 | 9.1 | 0.228 | 0.388 | 37.0% | 75.8% | 2.3% | |
7.3 | 9.5 | 0.234 | 0.409 | 32.5% | 73.5% | 3.4% | |
6.4 | 8.3 | 0.25 | 0.338 | 34.2% | 68.0% | 0.9% | |
#8
Luke Maile
|
5.8 | 7.8 | 0.235 | 0.391 | 34.1% | 73.2% | 3.4% |
5.0 | 6.6 | 0.17 | 0.283 | 26.4% | 54.7% | 0.0% |
Mets Notable Injuries
- Tylor Megill OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 5.9
Reds Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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