Mets vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Hey sports fans, get ready for a sizzling showdown in sunny Miami as the New York Mets, trying to claw their way up from 11 games back, square off against the Miami Marlins, who are swimming even deeper in the standings at 18 games back. The action heats up at LoanDepot Park with the first pitch at 04:10 PM EST. Today’s matchup comes hot on the heels of a dominating Marlins victory, shutting out the Mets in a 7-0 stunner just yesterday. With the betting world buzzing, the line’s set with the Mets favored at -139 and an over/under that’s teasing at 7.5. As the South Florida breeze cools the 93-degree heat, today’s game promises to be more than just a battle of bats and gloves. Will the Mets ‘met’e out revenge or will the Marlins continue to make a splash? Let’s dive into the details and find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 18, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the S at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 93.0° with 62% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-139	+116	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-123	+103	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+16	-13	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

118W-141L

55.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

125W-137L

44.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/17/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Over	+0.5
05/17/24	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+0.5
03/30/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+0.5
03/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+0.5
03/31/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-4.5
03/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-4.5
04/01/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+0.5
04/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+0.5
04/02/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.5
04/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-1.5
04/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+4.5
04/07/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+4.5
04/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-0.5
04/08/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-0.5
04/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+1.5
04/09/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+1.5
09/18/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-4.5
09/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-4.5
09/19/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-0.5
09/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-0.5
09/20/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+3.5
09/20/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+3.5
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-1.5
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+5.5
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+5.5
10/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-6.5
10/02/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-6.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Luis Severino

ERA 3.6 | IP 45.0 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 41.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-12-24	vsATL	3-4W	5.0	4	2	4	Under
05-05-24	@TB	6-7L	5.0	4	4	6	Over
04-29-24	vsCHC	3-1L	8.0	1	1	5	Under
04-23-24	@SF	1-5L	6.0	5	3	5	Under
04-17-24	vsPIT	1-9W	6.0	5	1	4	Over
04-12-24	vsKC	1-6W	5.0	1	1	4	Under
04-06-24	@CIN	6-9L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
03-30-24	vsMIL	7-6L	5.0	12	6	6	Over
09-08-23	@MIL	8-2L	4.0	4	2	5	Over
09-02-23	@HOU	5-4L	4.0	6	4	3	Over

Braxton Garrett

ERA 8.438 | IP 5.3 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 8.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-12-24	vsPHI	6-7W	5.3	5	5	8	Over
09-27-23	@NYM	2-11L	4.0	3	4	2	Over
09-19-23	vsNYM	3-4W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
09-13-23	@MIL	2-0W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
09-07-23	vsLAD	10-0L	3.7	3	1	4	Over
08-31-23	@WAS	6-1W	6.0	3	1	1	Under
08-25-23	vsWAS	7-4L	6.0	7	3	3	Over
08-19-23	@LAD	1-3L	6.0	5	3	6	Under
08-14-23	vsHOU	1-5W	5.0	4	0	1	Under
08-08-23	@CIN	3-2W	6.0	6	2	3	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/19	vs MIA	0-7L	6	0	Under
05/18	vs PHI	6-5W	8	1	Over
05/17	vs PHI	4-10L	9	1	Over
05/16	@ PHI	0-4L	4	0	Under
05/15	@ PHI	4-5L	8	0	Over
05/14	@ ATL	4-3W	10	1	Under
05/13	@ ATL	1-4L	2	1	Under
05/12	@ ATL	2-4L	4	1	Under
05/09	vs STL	7-5W	14	2	Over
05/08	vs STL	4-3W	10	1	Under
05/07	vs TB	6-7L	8	1	Over
05/06	vs TB	1-3L	6	0	Under
05/05	vs TB	8-10L	10	2	Over
05/04	@ CHC	7-6W	8	0	Over
05/03	@ CHC	0-1L	5	0	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/19	@ NYM	7-0W	13	1	Under
05/17	vs DET	2-0W	4	1	Under
05/16	vs DET	1-0W	4	0	Under
05/15	vs DET	5-6L	12	1	Over
05/14	@ PHI	7-6W	8	1	Over
05/13	@ PHI	3-8L	11	2	Over
05/12	@ PHI	2-8L	5	0	Over
05/10	vs LAD	1-3L	6	1	Under
05/09	vs LAD	2-8L	6	2	Over
05/08	vs LAD	3-6L	7	1	Over
05/07	vs OAK	12-3W	14	1	Over
05/06	vs OAK	4-20L	7	2	Over
05/05	vs OAK	1-3L	7	0	Under
05/04	@ COL	5-4W	9	1	Over
05/03	@ COL	4-1W	7	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	7.7	10.5	0.215	0.396	44.3%	83.9%	4.0%
#2 Pete Alonso	8.0	10.7	0.226	0.458	34.5%	80.4%	6.0%
#3 Francisco Lindor	8.9	11.9	0.195	0.362	29.9%	66.1%	4.0%
#4 J.D. Martinez	8.7	10.8	0.309	0.456	38.2%	83.8%	2.9%
#5 Mark Vientos	7.1	9.2	0.294	0.529	35.3%	88.2%	5.9%
#6 Starling Marte	7.7	9.8	0.255	0.364	32.1%	68.5%	2.4%
#7 Harrison Bader	7.1	8.8	0.268	0.325	33.3%	65.9%	0.8%
#8 Jeff McNeil	5.8	7.4	0.232	0.305	34.4%	64.9%	0.7%
#9 Tomas Nido	4.7	5.8	0.216	0.294	25.5%	54.9%	2.0%

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	7.9	10.3	0.244	0.405	35.7%	76.2%	3.0%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	7.1	9.3	0.257	0.454	33.3%	78.7%	4.9%
#3 Josh Bell	6.8	9.0	0.218	0.341	34.7%	68.8%	2.9%
#4 Jesus Sanchez	6.8	8.8	0.231	0.306	30.6%	61.2%	1.7%
#5 Jake Burger	7.1	9.6	0.188	0.312	24.0%	55.2%	3.1%
#6 Nick Gordon	6.2	8.1	0.225	0.387	26.1%	64.9%	4.5%
#7 Otto Lopez	5.7	7.6	0.268	0.537	36.6%	90.2%	7.3%
#8 Vidal Brujan	4.9	6.2	0.264	0.402	36.8%	77.0%	1.1%
#9 C. Bethancourt	4.3	5.9	0.132	0.17	18.9%	35.8%	0.0%