Mets vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Petco Park tonight as the New York Mets, clinging to their playoff dreams, roll into sunny San Diego to face the Padres in a clash that’s got more at stake than just bragging rights. With the Mets sitting 8 games back and the Padres just 4 shy in the National League hunt, every pitch counts in this late-season rumble. Set your watches for a 09:40 PM EST start, and with the odds-makers setting the line with the Mets as underdogs at 127 and the Padres favored at -152, it’s anyone’s game. Toss in a partly cloudy sky, a gentle southwestern breeze, and perfect mid-70s temps, and you’ve got the recipe for a night of epic baseball. The Padres are looking to rebound from a tough loss, while the Mets aim to keep their recent winning momentum. So, as the Mets try to “Met-a-morphose” into victors and the Padres swing to “Pad” their lead, tonight’s game promises to be an unforgettable battle of wills!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 22, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SW at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 73.0° with 73% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+127	-152	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+132	-158	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+5	-6	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

139W-159L

43.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

164W-138L

56.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/14/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-4.5
06/14/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-4.5
06/15/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-1.5
06/15/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.5
06/16/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+9.5
06/16/24	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+9.5
04/10/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-2.5
04/10/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.5
04/11/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-1.5
04/11/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-1.5
04/12/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-0.5
04/12/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-0.5
07/07/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+4.5
07/07/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+4.5
07/08/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-3.5
07/08/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-3.5
07/09/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+0.5
07/09/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+0.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Luis Severino

ERA 4.1 | IP 142.7 | 8.0W-6.0L | KO 117.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-17-24	vsMIA	0-4W	9.0	4	0	8	Under
08-11-24	@SEA	1-12L	5.0	6	4	8	Over
08-06-24	@COL	3-6L	5.0	8	5	5	Over
07-31-24	vsMIN	8-3L	3.0	6	6	2	Over
07-25-24	vsATL	2-3W	5.0	7	2	6	Under
07-20-24	@MIA	1-0W	6.0	2	0	7	Under
07-10-24	vsWAS	2-6W	6.3	4	2	4	Over
07-05-24	@PIT	2-14L	6.0	9	7	3	Over
06-30-24	vsHOU	10-5L	7.0	8	4	3	Over
06-23-24	@CHC	5-2W	6.0	3	0	10	Under

Dylan Cease

ERA 3.458 | IP 148.3 | 12.0W-9.0L | KO 186.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-17-24	@COL	8-3W	5.7	3	3	5	Over
08-11-24	@MIA	6-7L	5.0	6	5	5	Over
08-06-24	@PIT	6-0W	1.0	1	0	2	Under
07-31-24	vsLAD	1-8W	5.7	3	1	6	Over
07-25-24	@WAS	3-0W	9.0	0	0	9	Under
07-20-24	@CLE	7-0W	7.0	1	0	10	Under
07-13-24	vsATL	0-4W	6.0	1	0	11	Under
07-07-24	vsARI	9-1L	7.0	5	3	8	Over
07-02-24	@TEX	0-7L	3.7	8	6	5	Under
06-26-24	vsWAS	5-8W	7.0	1	0	9	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/23	@ BAL	4-3W	8	3	Under
08/22	@ BAL	5-9L	5	1	Over
08/21	@ BAL	4-3W	6	2	Under
08/20	@ MIA	2-3L	9	1	Under
08/19	@ MIA	4-0W	7	2	Under
08/18	@ MIA	7-3W	10	2	Over
08/17	@ OAK	6-7L	9	2	Over
08/16	@ OAK	9-1W	11	2	Over
08/15	@ OAK	4-9L	9	0	Over
08/13	vs SEA	1-12L	6	1	Over
08/12	vs SEA	0-4L	4	0	Under
08/11	vs SEA	0-6L	7	0	Under
08/10	vs COL	9-1W	13	3	Over
08/09	vs COL	5-3W	11	0	Over
08/08	vs COL	3-6L	9	0	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/23	@ MIN	4-11L	7	2	Over
08/22	@ MIN	7-5W	10	2	Over
08/21	@ MIN	5-3W	4	0	Over
08/20	vs COL	2-3L	7	1	Under
08/19	vs COL	8-3W	15	1	Over
08/18	vs COL	3-7L	9	2	Over
08/16	@ PIT	8-2W	10	2	Over
08/15	@ PIT	3-0W	7	1	Under
08/14	@ PIT	2-1W	6	0	Under
08/13	vs MIA	6-7L	10	1	Over
08/12	vs MIA	9-8W	12	1	Over
08/11	vs MIA	6-2W	11	1	Over
08/10	vs PIT	7-6W	7	2	Over
08/09	vs PIT	9-8W	14	3	Over
08/08	vs PIT	6-0W	14	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	7.6	10.0	0.264	0.476	0.373	0.849	0.345	0.049
#2 Mark Vientos	6.7	8.8	0.284	0.564	0.372	0.936	0.379	0.071
#3 Brandon Nimmo	7.6	10.2	0.230	0.416	0.405	0.820	0.329	0.041
#4 J.D. Martinez	6.3	8.4	0.251	0.438	0.383	0.821	0.332	0.040
#5 Pete Alonso	6.5	8.6	0.244	0.466	0.380	0.847	0.341	0.055
#6 Jesse Winker	6.4	8.5	0.266	0.420	0.437	0.857	0.342	0.033
#7 Francisco Alvarez	5.5	7.2	0.250	0.407	0.352	0.759	0.310	0.028
#8 Jeff McNeil	5.3	6.9	0.235	0.388	0.326	0.713	0.295	0.031
#9 Harrison Bader	4.7	6.1	0.252	0.377	0.325	0.702	0.292	0.024

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.6	9.4	0.302	0.374	0.354	0.727	0.302	0.006
#2 Jurickson Profar	8.1	10.8	0.287	0.475	0.447	0.922	0.366	0.046
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.5	10.0	0.247	0.409	0.360	0.769	0.314	0.033
#4 Manny Machado	7.6	9.9	0.267	0.445	0.339	0.784	0.322	0.042
#5 Xander Bogaerts	7.3	9.2	0.264	0.373	0.332	0.705	0.292	0.020
#6 Jackson Merrill	7.8	10.1	0.294	0.496	0.346	0.842	0.346	0.042
#7 David Peralta	5.6	7.4	0.260	0.420	0.349	0.769	0.316	0.036
#8 Kyle Higashioka	5.3	7.1	0.225	0.506	0.292	0.798	0.328	0.079
#9 Tyler Wade	4.1	5.3	0.207	0.223	0.306	0.529	0.225	0.000

Mets Notable Injuries

Kodai Senga OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/28/24. Impact: 10.4
Christian Scott OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 4.0
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.6

Padres Notable Injuries

Ha-Seong Kim OUT (SS): Avg: 0.237 SLG:0.377 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.6
Stephen Kolek OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/01/24. Impact: 1.2