Mets vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready to light up the scoreboard tonight as the New York Mets roll into sunny San Diego, ready to clash with the Padres at the iconic Petco Park. The stakes are high with the Mets looking to close a 7-game gap and the Padres aiming to tighten their 4.5-game deficit in the National League standings. With the first pitch slated for 09:40 PM EST, the air’s buzzing with anticipation under partly cloudy skies, a gentle breeze, and perfect baseball weather. Fresh off their previous encounter where the Mets dominated with an 8-3 victory, both teams are itching to prove their mettle. With the betting lines tipping slightly in favor of the Padres, tonight’s matchup promises to be an explosive showdown. So, as the Mets try to ‘mete’ out another victory and the Padres look to ‘pad’ their lead, expect a thrilling duel that’s anything but ‘pad’-estrian!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 23, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the WSW at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 72.0° with 64% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+117	-140	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+119	-142	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+2	-2	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

140W-159L

45.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

164W-139L

54.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/14/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-5.0
06/14/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-5.0
06/15/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-2.0
06/15/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.0
06/16/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+9.0
06/16/24	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+9.0
08/22/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+3.0
08/22/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+3.0
04/10/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-3.0
04/10/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-3.0
04/11/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-2.0
04/11/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.0
04/12/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-1.0
04/12/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.0
07/07/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+4.0
07/07/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+4.0
07/08/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-4.0
07/08/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-4.0
07/09/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Push	-0.0
07/09/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Push	-0.0

Mets Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Paul Blackburn

ERA 4.192 | IP 73.0 | 5.0W-3.0L | KO 58.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-18-24	vsMIA	3-2L	6.0	4	1	4	Under
08-13-24	vsOAK	9-4L	4.0	6	7	4	Over
08-07-24	@COL	5-3W	6.0	5	2	6	Over
08-02-24	@LAA	5-1W	6.0	6	1	6	Under
07-26-24	@LAA	5-4L	5.0	5	4	2	Over
05-10-24	@SEA	1-8W	4.0	7	7	5	Over
05-04-24	@MIA	4-20W	7.0	4	1	3	Over
04-28-24	@BAL	7-6L	4.0	7	6	5	Over
04-23-24	@NYY	3-4W	6.0	5	4	5	Under
04-17-24	@STL	3-6W	5.7	6	3	7	Over

Joe Musgrove

ERA 4.229 | IP 55.3 | 3.0W-4.0L | KO 49.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-18-24	@COL	2-3L	4.3	3	1	6	Under
08-12-24	vsPIT	1-2W	4.3	2	0	1	Under
05-26-24	vsNYY	2-5W	5.3	6	1	5	Under
05-21-24	@CIN	0-2L	3.0	3	2	3	Under
05-01-24	vsCIN	2-6W	6.0	4	2	9	Over
04-26-24	vsPHI	9-3L	3.7	8	7	4	Over
04-21-24	vsTOR	3-6W	7.0	5	3	3	Over
04-15-24	@MIL	7-3W	6.0	7	3	3	Over
04-09-24	vsCHC	5-1L	4.0	5	4	5	Under
04-03-24	vsSTL	2-3W	6.0	5	1	7	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/24	vs SD	8-3W	17	0	Over
08/23	@ BAL	4-3W	8	3	Under
08/22	@ BAL	5-9L	5	1	Over
08/21	@ BAL	4-3W	6	2	Under
08/20	@ MIA	2-3L	9	1	Under
08/19	@ MIA	4-0W	7	2	Under
08/18	@ MIA	7-3W	10	2	Over
08/17	@ OAK	6-7L	9	2	Over
08/16	@ OAK	9-1W	11	2	Over
08/15	@ OAK	4-9L	9	0	Over
08/13	vs SEA	1-12L	6	1	Over
08/12	vs SEA	0-4L	4	0	Under
08/11	vs SEA	0-6L	7	0	Under
08/10	vs COL	9-1W	13	3	Over
08/09	vs COL	5-3W	11	0	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/24	@ NYM	3-8L	7	0	Over
08/23	@ MIN	4-11L	7	2	Over
08/22	@ MIN	7-5W	10	2	Over
08/21	@ MIN	5-3W	4	0	Over
08/20	vs COL	2-3L	7	1	Under
08/19	vs COL	8-3W	15	1	Over
08/18	vs COL	3-7L	9	2	Over
08/16	@ PIT	8-2W	10	2	Over
08/15	@ PIT	3-0W	7	1	Under
08/14	@ PIT	2-1W	6	0	Under
08/13	vs MIA	6-7L	10	1	Over
08/12	vs MIA	9-8W	12	1	Over
08/11	vs MIA	6-2W	11	1	Over
08/10	vs PIT	7-6W	7	2	Over
08/09	vs PIT	9-8W	14	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	7.9	10.3	0.266	0.478	0.376	0.854	0.346	0.048
#2 Mark Vientos	7.8	10.3	0.286	0.564	0.373	0.937	0.380	0.070
#3 Brandon Nimmo	7.7	10.3	0.229	0.413	0.402	0.816	0.327	0.040
#4 J.D. Martinez	7.5	10.0	0.251	0.438	0.383	0.821	0.332	0.040
#5 Pete Alonso	7.1	9.5	0.247	0.468	0.383	0.850	0.343	0.054
#6 Jesse Winker	6.6	8.7	0.268	0.423	0.436	0.859	0.343	0.033
#7 Francisco Alvarez	5.9	7.7	0.244	0.398	0.344	0.742	0.304	0.027
#8 Jeff McNeil	5.5	7.2	0.240	0.391	0.330	0.721	0.298	0.031
#9 Harrison Bader	5.2	6.7	0.252	0.377	0.325	0.702	0.292	0.024

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	8.4	10.4	0.303	0.374	0.354	0.728	0.302	0.006
#2 Jurickson Profar	7.4	9.9	0.289	0.475	0.450	0.925	0.367	0.045
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.5	10.0	0.244	0.404	0.356	0.760	0.311	0.033
#4 Manny Machado	7.8	10.2	0.265	0.442	0.338	0.781	0.321	0.042
#5 Xander Bogaerts	7.4	9.3	0.262	0.369	0.332	0.701	0.290	0.020
#6 Jackson Merrill	7.0	9.1	0.291	0.492	0.343	0.834	0.343	0.042
#7 David Peralta	5.7	7.5	0.267	0.424	0.360	0.785	0.321	0.035
#8 Kyle Higashioka	5.0	6.7	0.225	0.506	0.292	0.798	0.328	0.079
#9 Tyler Wade	4.7	6.1	0.207	0.223	0.306	0.529	0.225	0.000

Mets Notable Injuries

Kodai Senga OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/28/24. Impact: 10.4
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.6

Padres Notable Injuries

Ha-Seong Kim OUT (SS): Avg: 0.237 SLG:0.377 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.6
Stephen Kolek OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/01/24. Impact: 1.2