Mets vs Cardinals Game Breakdown

Get ready for a showdown that promises more twists and turns than a New York subway ride! Tonight, the gritty Mets, sitting 7.5 games shy of the top spot in the National League, are gearing up to clash with the Cardinals, who are fluttering 5.5 games back themselves, under the bright lights of Busch Stadium. With first pitch slated for 07:45 PM EST, the air in St. Louis is charged—not just with a balmy 91.4° heat and a brisk northwesterly breeze, but with the electric anticipation of a game that could tip the scales in the National League standings. Both teams are shaking off recent stumbles, and with the betting lines drawing a tight rope—Mets at 105 and Cardinals favored slightly at -125, and an over/under that’s teasing an 8-run game—it’s anyone’s guess who’ll come out on top. So, as the Cardinals try to soar past their recent dip and the Mets swing for metropolitan glory, it’s clear this isn’t just any game. It’s a high-flying, base-stealing battle of the birds and the boroughs!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 06, 2024 07:45PM EST

Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 91.4° with 49% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	STL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+101	-121	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-4	+4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

115W-139L

49.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

137W-119L

50.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Under	-2.0
04/26/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.0
04/27/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	7	Over	+3.0
04/27/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+3.0
04/28/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-2.0
04/28/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-2.0
06/16/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-1.0
06/16/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Under	-1.0
06/17/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Push	-0.0
06/17/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Push	-0.0
06/18/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	8	Over	+7.0
06/18/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+7.0
08/17/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-2.0
08/17/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-2.0
08/18/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Push	-0.0
08/18/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Push	-0.0
08/19/23	New York Mets NYM	13	Over	+7.0
08/19/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+7.0
08/20/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+2.0
08/20/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	7	Over	+2.0

Mets Vs Over/Under

Cardinals Vs Over/Under

Sean Manaea

ERA 3.068 | IP 29.3 | 1.0W-1.0L | KO 30.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-30-24	vsCHC	2-4W	5.0	3	1	3	Under
04-24-24	@SF	8-2W	4.7	4	0	6	Over
04-19-24	@LAD	9-4W	5.0	4	2	3	Over
04-13-24	vsKC	11-7L	3.7	9	8	4	Over
04-07-24	@CIN	3-1W	5.0	3	1	6	Under
04-01-24	vsDET	5-0L	6.0	1	0	8	Under
09-27-23	@SD	5-2L	6.0	7	2	8	Under
09-22-23	@LAD	5-1L	7.0	3	0	2	Under
09-17-23	@COL	11-10L	5.3	8	3	3	Over
09-12-23	@CLE	3-1L	5.7	2	3	5	Under

Kyle Gibson

ERA 3.789 | IP 38.0 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 29.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-30-24	@DET	2-1W	7.0	4	1	9	Under
04-24-24	vsARI	1-5W	6.0	5	1	6	Under
04-19-24	vsMIL	2-1L	6.0	3	1	3	Under
04-13-24	@ARI	2-4L	6.0	6	4	2	Under
04-07-24	vsMIA	10-3L	6.0	7	7	5	Over
04-01-24	@SD	6-2W	7.0	4	2	4	Push
09-30-23	@BOS	2-5W	5.0	7	0	4	Under
09-24-23	@CLE	5-1L	7.0	5	1	4	Under
09-19-23	@HOU	9-5L	4.7	5	3	5	Over
09-13-23	@STL	1-0W	6.7	3	1	4	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/07	vs TB	6-7L	8	1	Over
05/06	vs TB	1-3L	6	0	Under
05/05	vs TB	8-10L	10	2	Over
05/04	@ CHC	7-6W	8	0	Over
05/03	@ CHC	0-1L	5	0	Under
05/02	@ CHC	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/01	@ CHC	1-3L	4	1	Under
04/30	@ STL	4-2W	8	2	Under
04/29	@ STL	4-7L	7	1	Over
04/28	@ STL	2-4L	8	1	Under
04/26	vs SF	8-2W	10	3	Over
04/25	vs SF	1-5L	9	0	Under
04/24	vs SF	2-5L	4	1	Under
04/23	vs LAD	0-10L	7	0	Over
04/22	vs LAD	6-4W	8	1	Over

Cardinals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/07	@ CWS	1-5L	4	1	Under
05/06	@ CWS	5-6L	5	1	Over
05/05	@ CWS	3-0W	6	0	Under
05/03	vs DET	1-4L	7	1	Under
05/02	vs DET	6-11L	11	2	Over
05/02	vs DET	2-1W	7	0	Under
04/30	vs NYM	2-4L	4	0	Under
04/29	vs NYM	7-4W	10	0	Over
04/28	vs NYM	4-2W	5	2	Under
04/26	@ ARI	5-1W	8	0	Under
04/25	@ ARI	1-14L	6	1	Over
04/24	@ ARI	5-3W	7	2	Push
04/23	@ MIL	0-2L	6	0	Under
04/22	@ MIL	5-12L	6	0	Over
04/21	@ MIL	1-2L	5	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	8.6	11.7	0.221	0.369	46.7%	83.6%	2.5%
#2 Starling Marte	7.1	9.1	0.274	0.403	34.7%	75.0%	3.2%
#3 Francisco Lindor	7.9	10.5	0.207	0.393	31.1%	70.4%	4.4%
#4 Pete Alonso	8.0	10.7	0.206	0.42	33.6%	75.6%	6.1%
#5 J.D. Martinez	8.0	9.5	0.267	0.333	33.3%	66.7%	0.0%
#6 Jeff McNeil	7.0	8.9	0.231	0.308	35.0%	65.8%	0.9%
#7 Tyrone Taylor	6.1	7.9	0.288	0.425	32.9%	75.3%	2.7%
#8 Brett Baty	6.0	7.8	0.269	0.375	37.5%	75.0%	2.9%
#9 Omar Narvaez	4.6	6.0	0.186	0.233	23.3%	46.5%	0.0%

St. Louis Cardinals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brendan Donovan	7.2	9.6	0.215	0.354	33.8%	69.2%	2.3%
#2 Willson Contreras	8.3	11.0	0.275	0.539	48.0%	102.0%	5.9%
#3 Paul Goldschmidt	8.7	11.4	0.208	0.28	33.6%	61.6%	1.6%
#4 Nolan Arenado	7.5	9.8	0.279	0.388	38.8%	77.5%	1.6%
#5 Dylan Carlson	9.9	9.9	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#6 Ivan Herrera	6.1	8.1	0.21	0.355	29.0%	64.5%	4.8%
#7 Masyn Winn	5.9	7.4	0.255	0.34	37.2%	71.3%	0.0%
#8 Jose Fermin	5.7	7.3	0.167	0.167	66.7%	83.3%	0.0%
#9 Lars Nootbaar	5.7	7.5	0.169	0.273	29.9%	57.1%	1.3%